Iraq Poll
Conducted by Ipsos-Public Affairs
June 14-16, 2004

1.	Six months from now, will there be more, fewer, or the same amount of American troops in Iraq as there are now?
	More	38%
	Fewer	25%
	Same Amount	33%
	Not Sure	4%
2.	Six months from now, should there be more, fewer, or the same amount of American troops in Iraq as there are now?
	More	16%
	Fewer	65%
	Same amount	14%
	Not sure	5%
3.	How much of an effect will the handling of the war in Iraq have on your decision about whom to vote for in the election for President of the United States in November-a great deal, quite a bit, only some, very little, or no effect at all?
	A great deal	38%
	Quite a bit	16%
	Only some	14%
	Very little	9%
	No effect at all	22%
	Not sure	1%
	Total Great Deal/Quite a Bit	54%
	Total Very Little/No Effect	31%
4a.	Do you think people in Iraq today are safer or less safe than they were before the war, or has there been no change?
	Safer	44%
	Less safe	27%
	No change	27%
	Not Sure	2%
4b.	Do you think people in the U.S. today are safer or less safe than they were before the war, or has there been no change?
	Safer	30%
	Less safe	31%
	No change	38%
	Not Sure	1%
4.	In your opinion, who would best handle the situation in Iraq from this point on?
	George W. Bush	50%
	John Kerry	37%
	(NOT READ) Neither	8%
	(NOT READ) Both equally	1%
	Not sure	4%
5.	Has your confidence in the U.S. military increased, decreased, or been unchanged, as a result of what has gone on in Iraq?
	Increased a lot	23%
	Increased a little	11%
	Been unchanged	52%
	Decreased a little	5%
	Decreased a lot	8%
	Not sure	1%
	Total Increased	34%
	Total Decreased	13%
6.	Next I am going to read you a set of statements. For each, tell me whether you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree:
	Pay and benefits for active military should be increased in order to attract enough volunteers to carry out large-scale missions such as the war in Iraq in the future
	Strongly agree	47%
	Somewhat agree	33%
	Somewhat disagree	10%
	Strongly disagree	8%
	Not sure	2%
	Total agree	80%
	Total disagree	18%
	It is a mistake to have National Guard reserve troops patrolling the streets in Baghdad and guarding prisoners
	Strongly agree	24%
	Somewhat agree	22%
	Somewhat disagree	26%
	Strongly disagree	25%
	Not sure	3%
	Total agree	46%
	Total disagree	51%
	A military draft should be instituted in the U.S. to ensure we have enough troops to carry out large-scale missions such as the war in Iraq in the future
	Strongly agree	17%
	Somewhat agree	14%
	Somewhat disagree	18%
	Strongly disagree	50%
	Not sure	1%
	Total agree	31%
	Total disagree	68%
7.	Now I am going to read you a set of items. Which ONE of the following do you consider the most important foreign policy success of the United States in the past 15 years?
	Increased cooperation between the U.S. and Cold War enemies like Russia and China	45%
	The overthrow of Saddam Hussein in Iraq	19%
	The overthrow of the Taliban in Afghanistan	10%
	NAFTA, the free trade agreement between the U.S., Canada and Mexico	8%
	The first Gulf War that liberated Kuwait from Iraqi invaders	7%
	U.S. efforts that brought peace to Kosovo	4%
	(NOT READ) Other	-
	(NOT READ) None of these	2%
	Not sure	5%
8.	If the United States were involved in a new war next year and you could choose any ONE of the following Presidents, who would you most like to see as Commander in Chief:
	George W. Bush	25%
	Franklin Delano Roosevelt	24%
	Abraham Lincoln	18%
	Harry Truman	14%
	George Herbert Walker Bush	6%
	Lyndon Baines Johnson	3%
	Woodrow Wilson	1%
	(NOT READ) Oppose any new war	--
	(NOT READ) None of the above	4%
	(NOT READ) Other	3%
	Not Sure	2%
9.	I'm going to read you some things people say describe the ways the war in Iraq has affected them personally, and for each one I read, tell me whether that describes you or not:
		Yes, Describes
	A close friend, family member or co-worker who is a full-time member of the armed forces has served or is serving in Iraq	36%
	A close friend, family member or co-worker is a National Guard reserve member who has served or is serving in Iraq	32%
	A close friend, family member or co-worker has been wounded or killed in Iraq	9%
	Total Affected Personally	46%
	Total Not Affected/Refused	54%
10.	Given everything that has happened, do you feel it was worth or not worth it for the United States to go to war in Iraq?
	Worth it	53%
	Not worth it	44%
	Don't know / Not sure	3%
	The same question was asked again on June 25-27. The sample size was 1,002 adults, with a margin of error of +/-3%.
	Worth it	46%
	Not worth it	49%
	Don't know / Not sure	5%
Demographics:
Age Group:
	18-24	10%
	25-34	21%
	35-44	21%
	45-54	20%
	55-64	11%
	65+	16%
	Refused/Not sure	1%
Employment Status:
	TOTAL EMPLOYED	62%
	--Full time	51%
	--Part time	11%
	Not employed	17%
	Retired	21%
	Refused/Not sure	-
Last Year of School Completed:
	Grade school or some high school	8%
	Completed high school	22%
	Some college, but did not finish	24%
	Completed a two-year college degree	14%
	Completed a four-year college degree	19%
	Completed a post-graduate degree such as a Master's or Ph.D.	13%
	Refused/Not sure	-
Marital Status:
	Yes	55%
	No	45%
	Refused/Not sure	-
Party Affiliation:
	Strongly Republican	19%
	Moderately Republican	26%
	Definitely Independent/neither	9%
	Moderately Democrat	26%
	Strongly Democrat	18%
	Refused/Not sure	2%
	Total Republican	45%
	Total Democrat	44%
Race/Ethnicity
	White	79%
	Black	8%
	Hispanic	7%
	Asian	3%
	American Indian	1%
	Other	1%
	Refused	1%
Household Income:
	Under $15,000	11%
	$15,000 to less than $20,000	4%
	$20,000 to less than $25,000	9%
	$25,000 to less than $30,000	5%
	$30,000 to less than $40,000	10%
	$40,000 to less than $50,000	9%
	$50,000 to less than $75,000	16%
	$75,000 to less than $100,000	8%
	$100,000 or more	12%
	Refused/Not sure	16%
Region:
	Northeast	19%
	Midwest	23%
	South	36%
	West	22%
Metropolitan Status:
	Urban	28%
	Suburban	47%
	Rural	25%
Gender
	Male	48%
	Female	52%

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