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Tuesday, October 24, 2006

Election Analysis

Tennessee Senate Race

Political reporter Halimah Abdullah analyzes Tennessee's Senate battle between Harold Ford, Jr. and Bob Corker.

"I think both parties weren't expecting quite this level of a horse race between the two candidates."

Who will win the Senate race in TN?

Share your comments

Tavis: What makes this race too close to call?

Halimah Abdullah: Early on, I think both parties weren't expecting quite this level of a horse race between the two candidates. But several weeks ago, Harold Ford, Jr., the Congressman from Memphis, picked up a lot of momentum. And he's been going full steam ever since.

Tavis: What happened a few weeks ago that caused that momentum to kick in?

Abdullah: Well, one of the things that happened, actually, back in August, after the Republican primary, was that the candidate who emerged from that primary basically had to take a little bit of a breather. It was quite a contentious primary between the three candidates in that particular race, and when Corker paused to take a breath, very briefly, roughly a week or so, Ford just kept going. And ever since, he's kind of steamrolled ahead and is fairly neck-in-neck.

Tavis: I know Harold Ford, Jr. well, and I know what makes Harold Ford, Jr. run. The question I wanna ask you from your prism is what makes Harold Ford, Jr. think he can win in Tennessee as a Black man? Running for Bill Frist's seat, no less.

Abdullah: I think that for Congressman Ford and for the National Democratic Party, there's definitely some excitement about some attitudes among voters both here in the state and nationally. Concerns about the Bush administration polling numbers that have been low; worries about the war in Iraq and those types of efforts; and excitement about the fact that another moderate Democrat, Governor Bredesen, was elected to a statewide position a few years ago. So, those things combined kind of adds a degree of excitement to the Ford campaign.

Tavis: Again, everybody covering this race has made note of this, time and time again, that Harold Ford, Jr. is trying to do the impossible as an African American. Speak to that part of the equation, and how that, at the moment, is factoring - the race question, that is, factoring into this race?

Abdullah: It's been interesting to watch that issue play out, or to some degree, watch how it hasn't exactly played out. Our paper, the Memphis Commercial Appeal, along with Mason-Dixon and another paper out East did a poll asking people exactly that question, whether or not people would feel comfortable voting for an African American. And of course in the poll, people say, "Of course."

Read the full transcript

VIEWPOINTS

Who will win the Senate race in TN?

The first Black Senator from the south since reconstruction days — what a chance to make history. Once again TN comes up short.

While working the Avondale precinct I saw our backbone come out in the rain to vote. Old, young, crippled , some could not hear, some on walkers, and some in wheel chairs. There was even a proud Black Man with his son holding him on one side and his grandson holding him on the other that had to come and vote for this Harold Ford Jr. It was a sight to see.

This precinct that only saw 300 voters come out during the presidential election saw 540 voters for Harold Ford Jr come out on a day when the rain was ever present. There was such hope it was a sight to see. If race was not an issue, some one please tell me how a Democrat (white) can win a governor's office by 64% over his opponent and a senatoral democrat (black) lose by 2%. Was there a good old boys factor working here?

A viewer, Chattanooga, TN
Wednesday, November 8, 2006

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Posted October 24, 2006
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