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| INFORMED OPINIONS | |
June 26, 1998 |
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With the world watching, President Clinton meets with Chinese citizens during his historical visit. Will he make a political statement to the Chinese government? After a background report by Kwame Holman, former U.S. diplomats to China discuss President Clinton's options when he visits Tiananmen Square. |
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MARGARET WARNER: Now the views of three veteran diplomats who served in China and dealt directly with Chinese leaders. John Holdridge was the number 2 at the U.S. mission in Beijing in the |
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| Why suppress dissidents? | ||||||||||||||||||||
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WINSTON LORD, Former U.S. Ambassador to China: The easy answer is because they're Communists. The fact is they fear any expression of dissent or discord. They don't understand that MARGARET WARNER: Amb. Holdridge, how do you explain it, again, given that they-one what the purpose of the trip is for the Chinese and they surely knew what the American reaction would be? JOHN HOLDRIDGE, Former Deputy Chief of Mission, China: I suppose they did know what the MARGARET WARNER: Amb. Lilley, do you think there was a factor like that, it was sort of a thumb in the eye to the Americans?
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| The American response. | ||||||||||||||||||||
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MARGARET WARNER: Amb. Holdridge, what did you make of the American response? Do you think that the President and the National Security Adviser Berger responded appropriately? JOHN HOLDRIDGE: I felt the President's response was quite appropriate. I was not sure about Sandy Berger's response when he said their human rights record is terrible. I think that really is a great overstatement. They have made demonstrable progress, the economic side certainly, and the President earlier on today was apparently at a place where they had held village-level elections. And this is a process which is continuing.
MARGARET WARNER: Amb. Lord, your view of the American response, do you think it was a little too tough, Sandy Berger's? WINSTON LORD: Absolutely not. I think it was appropriate. I flatly disagree with my good friend, John Holdridge. I think the record remains terrible, despite the progress that's been made in certain areas. First of all, they shouldn't leave the protest to Amb. Sasser. Secretary Albright ought to be getting ahold of her counterpart and saying, look, you're on the verge of messing up his visit, messing up your interests and ours, it's in your self-interest to show tolerance and discipline and not to become thugs like your officials have been. By the way, this is just one of many things. They canceled the visas to Radio Free Asia reporters. By the way, American journalists have shown no solidarity, to my disappointment. They're censoring an offer coming from Shanghai, delaying MARGARET WARNER: Why? WINSTON LORD: Because that's the symbol of mourning throughout China. It would send a very positive signal to the Chinese people that we care and we remember 1989. So that's the first thing to watch for, and then, of course, the President's remarks at his press conference a couple of hours later. |
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| Presidential protocol. | ||||||||||||||||||||
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MARGARET WARNER: Amb. Lilley, how do you think the President should deal with this issue now, both publicly and privately? JAMES LILLEY: Which issue, Margaret? MARGARET WARNER: Well, the round up of the dissidents and the whole human rights issue, in other words, do you agree with Winston Lord that in a way what's happened the last couple of days means he has to put more emphasis on this issue?
JAMES LILLEY: I agree with Winston. I think Winston put it very well. But I think the Chinese do have a sense then-John knows the old expression-fan compas-that you're firing empty cannons, that you are rhetoric only, and that you don't really mean business. And they know all about rhetoric, and they can take it. I would suggest that the President might do something like the Italian prime minister did, is to go over and have a moment of silence before the Martyrs Monument and say a silent prayer. The Chinese can interpret it any way they want. MARGARET WARNER: And that's in Tiananmen Square, right? JAMES LILLEY: Yes. It's where the headquarters of the movement was, and the Chinese can say he's honoring revolutionary martyrs, and the other people can say he's honoring the people that died at Tiananmen Square. That's the sort of compromise you can get. And it seems to me he has to say something, as Winston suggests, that the President has been put in an awkward position, because the Chinese have sort of bullied him on this one. MARGARET WARNER: Amb. Lord, back to you for a minute. What should he say? How far he should he go in what he says? WINSTON LORD: Well, first of all, besides projecting values and calling for a I would point out that a demonstration in 1976 that was called a counterrevolutionary riot in favor of Deng Xiaoping, the verdict on that was reversed when Deng got into power two years later and said this was a patriotic movement. So he's got to address 1989; he can't just talk about freedom and human rights. He should also talk, however, about our positive agenda with China. It's not just human rights. It's the Asian financial crisis, Korea, Indonesia, South Asia, nuclear problems, the environment. We have a positive agenda. That's why I support the trip. But to set up this positive agenda, he's got to be strong on the human rights question. |
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| Should Clinton speak directly? | ||||||||||||||||||||
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MARGARET WARNER: Amb. Holdridge, do you agree that he needs to speak as directly as Amb. Lord says in public?
MARGARET WARNER: Amb. Lilley, your view on this, on how much he should say publicly? JAMES LILLEY: I would like to stress what Amb. Lord just said. The real issues are not where he goes on Tiananmen Square. It's the human rights of |
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| Defining success. | ||||||||||||||||||||
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MARGARET WARNER: Amb. Lord, reply to that, and Amb. Holdridge, if you'd WINSTON LORD: Well, I, of course, agree that this positive agenda has got to be engaged, and that's one measure of success by demonstrating to the American people that there is a whole range of big issues that we and China have to work together on and on some China is being cooperative, like the Asian financial crisis and Korea. On South Asia they contributed to the problem by helping Pakistan's nuclear capability, but now they're taking a more constructive approach, plus the control of international crime, narcotics, protecting the environment. There's a major agenda that has to be addressed and success would be if there's good discussions on this and our public understands that we have this positive agenda, the other part of the success, however, is threatened now, and that is to show the American people that, in fact, there have been some positive changes in China. And, indeed, there have. But the Chinese ham-headedness is threatening to mess up that part of the-goals-or concrete achievements, but dialogue on these geopolitical and economic issues are very important, indeed. MARGARET WARNER: Amb. Holdridge, how would you define success for this trip? JOHN HOLDRIDGE: If the President comes back without any visible scars at this point, it seems to me that the whole trip is now being driven by human rights, And this makes life much more complicated for the President and I would like to see the position made certainly clear about human rights, and I'm quite positive that the President will make that position clear, but also at the same time stress the positive aspects and the need for the United States and China to work together to maintain peace and order in the Pacific. MARGARET WARNER: Amb. Lilley, briefly, because we're almost out of time, you gave us a list of what you thought were the big issues they had to address. Is there one concrete thing the President could come away with from the trip that would make it a success, in your view? JAMES LILLEY: It seems to me a more cooperative policy on handling the very dangerous problem of North Korea. I was ambassador to South Korea for several years, and I know how dangerous North Korea is. They just sent a MARGARET WARNER: All right. Well, thank you, Amb. Lilley, Amb. Lord, Amb. Holdridge. Thank you all three very much. |
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