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| THE STATE OF THE RACE | |
March 6, 1996 |
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Following Senator Bob Dole's sweep of Tuesday's eight primaries, two candidates called it quits. Their departure leaves only Patrick Buchanan and Steve Forbes as possible threats to the Seantor's nomination. Margaret Warner discusses the election with four Republican operatives. |
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MARGARET WARNER: Now the perspectives of four key Republican players in this campaign. Vin Weber, former House member from Minnesota, is co-chairman of the
MARGARET WARNER: Malcolm Wallop, how do you think the last 24 hours have left this campaign?
MARGARET WARNER: Vin Weber, do you think that at this point Pat Buchanan or Steve Forbes can deny this nomination of Bob Dole?
VIN WEBER, Dole Campaign Co-Chairman: No. I think that Bob Dole has effectively won the nomination, unless he makes some huge, unexpected error. The question at this point is will the Republican Party unite behind Sen. Dole early enough, quickly MARGARET WARNER: Gary Bauer, Pat Buchanan has said, though, that he's going to stay in this all the way to San Diego. What do you--you have not endorsed him, but you are often advocating his policy positions. What do you think he really wants at this point?
GARY BAUER, Family Research Council: Well, I think Pat all along has been interested in where the Republican Party is on a host of issues. I think he has been very specific MARGARET WARNER: You're shaking your head.
MR. WEBER: Well, I like Gary. I think Pat has a right to stay in the case. Gary, there's MR. BAUER: I think there are millions of Republican voters who still want a chance to vote in primaries with choice, instead of having it decided in Washington, that the race is over. MARGARET WARNER: Let me let both Bill Bennett and Malcolm Wallop weigh in on this point of whether it strengthens the ultimate nominee for this fight to continue and have Buchanan stay in the race or not. MR. WALLOP: Sure it has, and we ought not to be coronating Bob Dole. I mean, this is, after all, an election, an election in which he tried very hard to keep any choice for New York Republicans off the ballot. We believe that, that Steve Forbes has a message that is resonant in this country, and Bob Dole will either have to embrace some of it, or contest the reason why we ought not to have a pro-growth, future-oriented presidency as the goal of the Republican Party. MARGARET WARNER: Bill Bennett, what do you see as the impact of the continued Buchanan and Forbes candidacies?
MARGARET WARNER: Gary Bauer, do you think there's something concrete, though, he wants--I mean, the abortion, the abortion plank in the Republican platform, something concrete? MR. BAUER: Oh, absolutely. MARGARET WARNER: And what is it?
MARGARET WARNER: Vin Weber, respond--
MARGARET WARNER: Let me let Bob Dole's surrogate here weigh on this. How are you going to satisfy both of these? MR. WEBER: Pardon me. We're at the whining and nitpicking stage in this campaign. When you talk about economic reform and economic growth, Bob Dole, along with Newt Gingrich, was responsible for forming and choosing Jack Kemp as the head of the tax commission that has really set in motion the supply side reform of the tax code. For this, he gets Jack Kemp endorsing Steve Forbes for President, which I totally don't understand. But to suggest that Dole has not been taking substantive, as opposed to rhetorical steps, to put growth economics on the platform of the Republican Party and on the agenda of this campaign is simply not fair, looking at what this leader has done for us. MR. BAUER: Look, Sen. Dole's a great guy, Vin, but when he says in New Hampshire he didn't realize economic issues were going to be a major factor in the New Hampshire campaign--
MR. WEBER: That's not what he said. That's not fair. MR. BAUER: Well, whatever he said, it's hard to put a good spin on it. MR. WEBER: He said he didn't realize that trade was going to dominate the New Hampshire primary. MR. BAUER: He said--he said economics-- MARGARET WARNER: Let me ask you all this. Given these differences, I mean, Vin, how does Bob Dole handle in the coming months the continued Buchanan and Forbes candidacies?
MR. WEBER: Oh, you know, certainly he has to speak as the whole Republican Party does to the concerns raised by Pat Buchanan about joblessness in industries affected by trade and certainly he ought to address Steve Forbes' concerns about growth, but essentially, he's won the nomination because he is the Republican candidate that can unite the party. No one is suggesting that either of these other candidates have any chance at all of uniting the Republican Party. MARGARET WARNER: All right. Let me ask Malcolm Wallop to weigh in on that. Do you have--does Steve Forbes have a plausible scenario for winning this thing? What is the scenario for winning it?
MR. WALLOP: We believe it would be very, very competitive in Texas and Florida, and if that is the case, then in the Middle West states and on to California there is a 09/96 scenario which we find within our campaign structure plentiful and Bob Dole, keep in mind, has a contract with the American taxpayer that says that he has only $37 million to spend, and he's virtually spent it all now. That's his fault and his choice, but we believe that we have a competitive message to give out that is resonating and has resonated in certain elections with the American people. Stop whining, as Vin suggests. It is an alternative to a campaign that has yet to put any real structural proposals on the table as compared to before. MARGARET WARNER: And Sen. Wallop, is Steve Forbes committed to go all the way to San Diego fighting this? MR. WALLOP: I have heard nothing to the contrary of that, and his public statements have all been in that direction. So I would have to guess at this moment that that's his intention.
MR. BENNETT: My concern, my candidate, Lamar Alexander, before he dropped out, raised some worries about the Dole candidacy, but he said today, look, the American people are choosing Bob Dole, let's get behind him. The question now is how people spend their time. I think you can make a very good case that instead of Bob Dole having to fight rear guard actions and side actions, it would be very good for a lot of
MARGARET WARNER: Let me quickly ask before we go, what impact are these various endorsements from today going to have? Bill Bennett, how about the Kemp endorsement and the Alexander and Lugar endorsements? I mean, do voters really follow figures like this? MR. BENNETT: Well, some do. I think a lot of the Alexander voters will get behind Dole. The Kemp endorsement I don't know--obviously, pleasing to Forbes, I'm still sorting this one out. I don't know. MARGARET WARNER: What do you think these endorsements mean? MR. WEBER: I think Lugar and Alexander have made the logical case. It's time to get behind Sen. Dole. I don't understand it. You know, I have to say, Jack Kemp, who is my dear friend, as he is all of us, referenced David Donald's book on Lincoln today in endorsing Forbes, that's a misuse of Lincoln. If you read that book, the person that he described as Lincoln is much closer to Bob Dole, an experienced politician, a very skillful coalition builder, very concerned about party politics, nothing of the outsider trashing all the party leadership in the course of things. It was just a mistake on Jack's part, but it's not going to have any impact. MARGARET WARNER: But let me ask you this. Jack Kemp did say today that he was not going to endorse until the Dole campaign sent in surrogates into New York to criticize the flat tax. Do you think that was a mistake?
MARGARET WARNER: Malcolm Wallop, do you think you're going to--can you count on getting a sizeable number of the Alexander and Lugar supporters? MR. WALLOP: Well, certainly, we want to attract them, and we want to attract Buchanan voters as well, but let me just correct Vin. Lincoln did not come to Washington knowing anybody in Washington or even the positions in the cabinet. He had been nowhere in the country, nowhere abroad. MARGARET WARNER: All right. MR. WALLOP: That's not the point. The point is that the Republican Party cannot help but benefit by a thorough debate of where it goes. I have no worry about us getting behind the candidate in the end, and Bill Clinton is going to do with his money what, what Vin is worried about Republicans doing by contesting Republican ideas. Bill Clinton will shoot at Bob Dole, if he's the nominee, and everybody that drops out from now till San Diego, and there will be no way for Dole to shoot back. MARGARET WARNER: Gary.
MARGARET WARNER: Vin Weber, quick prediction tomorrow in the New York primary. MR. WEBER: It's going to be a big win for Bob Dole. MARGARET WARNER: How big? MR. WEBER: I, I would say I think he'll beat the combined vote of Buchanan and Forbes, I think.
MR. WALLOP: I don't believe that to be the case. I think that Forbes may be a strong second, keeping in mind that it's been very difficult for Forbes voters to find their people on the ballot, the hierarchical structure of Republicans in New York having seen fit to try to keep any competition off the ballot for Dole. MARGARET WARNER: Senator, thanks. I'm sorry. We'll have to leave it there, but thank you all very much. We'll be back. |
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