JUDY WOODRUFF: Well, what is so attractive for these companies to be interested in bidding if they're not going to have ownership? And we're talking about a country, of course, that's still at war.YAHIA SAID: That's a good question. Of course, Iraq is the last repository -- the largest, last largest reserve of oil almost left on the planet. This is a hundred billion, maybe even more barrels of oil that is easily accessible, that is easy to extract and easy to produce. And so no major oil company can stay away from this.
But the terms that the minister announced today are not extremely or particularly lucrative for the companies. These are terms similar to those used in the region, in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, where the companies, the foreign companies are only invited as service providers, and ownership remains with the state or its national oil company.
JUDY WOODRUFF: Now, we know that the northern part of Iraq, the Kurdish-controlled part of the country, has separately had its own negotiations with oil companies. Will that remain separate? And will those contracts still stand?
YAHIA SAID: Indeed, the Kurdish region is offering contracts -- has offered by now almost 30 contracts on completely different terms, where an equity ownership is being offered to the international oil companies.
None of the oil majors have participated in the Kurdish contracts as of yet, but there are many midlevel oil companies involved.
Indeed, there is a big difference between the model that is being presented by the central government in Baghdad and the one offered by Kurdistan. And this is going to be a conflict at some point, but they are both insisting that they're acting in a way consistent with the constitution and in a legal way.
But these are entirely different models that -- it will be hard to coexist on an ongoing basis.
JUDY WOODRUFF: So an unresolved conflict about that. We know, obviously, war has been going on, but what has taken so long for these -- for this bidding process to begin?
YAHIA SAID: Well, the conflict, of course, and the violence has been a major impediment, both for the Iraqis to be able to organize investments, whether it's their own or foreign investment in the industry.
But, also, declining Iraqi capacity to engage -- whether by itself or in cooperation with oil companies -- to engage in the development of the oil sector.
The Iraqis state machinery has lost lots of people, has been starved of resources for many years, including the past five years of conflict. And so there is just a declining capacity to deliver services and to carry out investment.
Also, Iraq is making a lot of money out of its current level of output and there is not so much an urgency. There's no such sense of urgency to develop it further.
Iraq this year is expected to make about $100 billion worth of revenues, which few expect Iraq to be able to spend. And, therefore, there is a reduced sense of urgency to develop those. And this may explain the hardening of the conditions that the Iraqi government is putting on those contracts.