Visit Your Local PBS Station PBS Home PBS Home Programs A-Z TV Schedules Support PBS Shop PBS Search PBS

   
the Online NewsHour
E-mail This Page Print This Page
the Online NewsHourFUNDED IN PART BYPacific LifeChevronCorporation for Public Broadcasting2
BROWSE BY
REGION
TOPIC
RECENT PROGRAMSLOCAL TV LISTINGSSUBSCRIPTIONSNEWS FOR STUDENTSSEARCH


REGION: North America
TOPIC: Politics
Online NewsHour
TRANSCRIPT
Originally Aired: February 5, 2008
Analysis

Shields and Brooks Reflect on Nominating Process

Minutes before the first polls start closing in the 2008 Super Tuesday nominating contests, analysts Mark Shields and David Brooks offer some last observations on the hectic day of voting.
Mark Shields and Jim Lehrer
 
audioRealAudioDownload   videoStreaming Video

JIM LEHRER: Now some final thoughts from Mark Shields and David Brooks.

David, do you think there should be a second look taken at Super Tuesday?

DAVID BROOKS, Columnist, New York Times: I like the process, and I like it because it means the consultants haven't really mattered much this year and advertising hasn't really mattered that much this year.

In the early states, they're so small that a candidate like Mike Huckabee can come along without consultants, without money, do well in New Hampshire. McCain does very well with no consultants basically.

And then in Super Tuesday, it's so big, no one has the money to do the advertising, so it's based on free media and campaigning and other things. So I like the small and the super big, because it takes away the consultants.

JIM LEHRER: Your view, sir?

MARK SHIELDS, Syndicated Columnist: I disagree. I think I like the small. I like the retail politics. I like the fact that they have to answer questions from school teachers, and nurses, and small business people.

But I think where we are now, there's no way you're having any meaningful exchange with voters. When you've got states -- I was just looking. New Mexico, Arizona, Colorado and Utah, I mean, that's a natural grouping, but at the same time Alabama, and Georgia, and Alaska, and California?

I mean, they're spending all the time in the air, going back and forth. And all it is, is you go in, you make a speech, and there's no exchange or interchange. So I really don't.

And I think the point that Michael Beschloss made that money does become determinant in this -- I agree with you, Mike Huckabee had it right, but Mike Huckabee, this is where it's really costing him, because he doesn't have the money to sustain and maintain the campaign.

DAVID BROOKS: But McCain never raised that much. I mean, Romney spent more money than Obama or Clinton or anybody else in the race.

MARK SHIELDS: No, no...

DAVID BROOKS: We had this myth that you had to raise $100 million to win the nomination. It's turned out not to be true, if John McCain wins it tonight.

Proportional vs. winner-take-all


JIM LEHRER: Do you think the Democrats should rethink winner-take-all, I mean, rethink the proportional thing and go back to winner-take-all?

MARK SHIELDS: Well, yes, I do. It came for a very simple thing. In the 1968 Democratic convention, the middle of the Vietnam War, the insurgent campaigns of Gene McCarthy and Robert Kennedy, three-quarters of the delegates had been chosen for that convention two years before, so there wasn't an open process.

And what they said was, "We have to open this process," but they also mandated that the delegations be half men and half women. And so it became easier to have primaries than to have caucuses, because they found out the conventions wouldn't challenge the results of an open primary.

So primaries took -- but, yes, proportional representation makes no sense when there's two candidates. One of them is going to get 50 percent. I mean, so what's the point of proportional?

If you don't get a majority in a democracy -- yes, if there's seven candidates in there and somebody gets 15 percent, you can make an argument that people get representation, but there's only -- it's down to Clinton and Obama. If you win, you ought to get the delegates.

JIM LEHRER: Do you agree or disagree with Mr. Shields?

DAVID BROOKS: I basically agree. It does have the effect of pushing everything along, so it lengthens out the process. And if you like the long process, then proportional representation does lengthen it out.

That has pros and cons. It means it's probably bad for the party who want to unify behind a candidate, and it's probably bad for the candidates, because they're all exhausted. But it's probably good for people in the late states.

JIM LEHRER: And in this particular case, the specifics of tonight very much are affected by the fact that it's winner-take-all more on the Republicans than it is the Democrats. That's why we're talking about the possibility of John McCain winning tonight, winning the whole thing.

DAVID BROOKS: Absolutely right. And that's why the Democratic race won't be settled tonight.

MARK SHIELDS: And the Democrats -- I mean, Democrats, it's borne of a very illogical sort of child psychology, which is every child's a winner, where we give everybody a medal, there's no winners, no losers, everybody gets a gold star. So you get 20 percent.

I mean, if you get 58 percent in a congressional district and I get 41 percent, OK, we split the delegates. I mean, 58 percent to 41 percent is a more thumping landslide victory that we've had in 90 percent of the presidential elections in this country's history. But why would we split them is absolutely...

DAVID BROOKS: Why should we have delegate haves and delegate have-nots? We should make it fair; we should make it equal.

JIM LEHRER: Again, thank you both very much.

LATEST POLITICS HEADLINES
McCain-Obama Race Grabs Attention Across Europe
Obama to Push Building U.S.-Europe Relations in Berlin Address
Housing Rescue Bill Awaits Senate, but Questions Linger
Vote 2008
  Main: Vote 2008
  Main: 2008 Primaries
REPORTS
  Primary Election Map
  Big Picture Cities
  Reporters' Blog
CANDIDATES
  Democrats
  Republicans
RESOURCES
  Election Feeds
    Vote 2008 RSS
    Vote 2008 Podcast
  Lesson Plans
  Archive
Shields and Brooks Reflect on Nominating Process



CURRENT NEWSHOUR HEADLINES
Shields and Brooks on Obama's Trip, McCain's Strategy

Ask Your Questions on China's Preparations for the Olympics

Ricardo Pau-Llosa Reflects on Latin American Art, Shares Poem







ABOUT US | FEEDBACK | SUBSCRIPTIONS / FEEDS: 
POD|RSS
Funded, in part, by:Pacific LifeChevronCorporation for Public Broadcasting
            Support the kind of journalism done by the NewsHour...Become a member of your local PBS station.
PBS Online Privacy Policy

Copyright ©1996- MacNeil/Lehrer Productions. All Rights Reserved.