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REGION: North America
TOPIC: Politics
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Originally Aired: February 11, 2008
Update

Candidates Make Final Pitches for 'Potomac Primaries'

Democratic and Republican candidates are campaigning hard for votes in Tuesday's "Potomac Primaries," when Maryland, Virginia and Washington, D.C., voters go to the polls. Political experts discuss the outlook for the latest stage in the nomination contests.
Maryland supporters of Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill.
 
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JIM LEHRER: Finally tonight, a Campaign 2008 update, including a preview of tomorrow's 'Potomac Primaries'. Judy Woodruff is in charge.

JUDY WOODRUFF: Democratic and Republican presidential candidates crisscrossed the Potomac River today on the eve of what traditionally have been the all-but-ignored primaries in Maryland, Virginia and the District of Columbia.

Barack Obama, buoyed by wins in all four weekend contests in Washington state, Nebraska, Louisiana and Maine, rallied supporters on the University of Maryland campus in College Park.

He drew a contrast with rival Hillary Clinton, telling the crowd he's the Democratic candidate who would be strongest against John McCain.

SEN. BARACK OBAMA (D), Illinois: I may be skinny, but I'm tough, too.

I'm looking forward to mixing it up with John McCain. I admire John McCain's half-a-century of service to this country. He is a genuine American hero.

But he is on the wrong side of the issues. He wants to perpetuate the failed Bush economic policies and continue giving tax breaks to the wealthy, while we're running up a deficit, and people's needs go unmet.

He wants to continue a 100-year war in Iraq, spending $9 billion a month that could be spent right here in the United States of America. I am happy to have an argument with the Republicans.

JUDY WOODRUFF: Clinton, meanwhile, was in Washington, D.C., arguing she would be McCain's tougher opponent.

SEN. HILLARY CLINTON (D), New York: We have to start imagining right now what it will take for our nominee to go toe-to-toe with John McCain on national security, on defense, on homeland security.

He and I serve on the Senate Armed Services Committee. I feel totally comfortable standing up there with John McCain and drawing the contrasts that we need to draw.

JUDY WOODRUFF: The surprising news coming out of the Clinton camp this weekend was that manager Patti Solis Doyle is being replaced by Maggie Williams, Hillary Clinton's chief of staff when she was first lady.

But this morning, Clinton insisted Solis Doyle would continue to have an important role in the campaign.

SEN. HILLARY CLINTON: She is a dear friend, a trusted adviser, and there's just too much to be done, so we had to add some more people, and she's remaining as my senior adviser, working with me on politics and a lot of very difficult issues that we're confronting.

So there really is no significant change; it's merely that we've got to get more help.

JUDY WOODRUFF: It was also revealed over the weekend that Clinton traveled to Chapel Hill, North Carolina, last Thursday to meet John Edwards and presumably ask for his endorsement.

Obama was reportedly planning to visit with Edwards tonight, but their meeting was being rescheduled. Edwards ended his presidential bid two weeks ago without endorsing either candidate.

Meanwhile, John McCain was in Annapolis, Md., where he acknowledged his campaign for the Republican nomination needs to step up its efforts to court the party's more conservative members.

SEN. JOHN MCCAIN (R), Arizona: Our party is dispirited because of spending and corruption, as we all know, and we've got to re-energize our base.

And, also, primaries are tough. Look, as I've said before, after the 2000 primary that I had with President Bush, it took some time for my supporters to come over and solidly support President Bush's candidacy, but they certainly did. And I urged them to do so.

JUDY WOODRUFF: McCain was asked if Mike Huckabee was hurting his campaign by staying in the race.

SEN. JOHN MCCAIN: We're doing fine. We have 700-and-something, close to 800 delegates. And the last time I checked, Governor Huckabee has very few. So I think I'm pretty happy with the situation that we're in.

JUDY WOODRUFF: But Huckabee did chalk up wins over the weekend in Louisiana and Kansas. And in Richmond, Va., this morning, he dismissed suggestions he bow out.

FORMER GOV. MIKE HUCKABEE (R), Arkansas: What it's saying to the people of Texas, and North Carolina, and Ohio, and Pennsylvania, and many of the other states, Nebraska, is that: We don't even need to come to your state. We don't need to bother with what you think or your positions.

If I had pulled out Friday, we wouldn't be in Virginia today, but neither would John McCain. Who would be answering questions? Who would be talking to the people of Virginia, Maryland or the District of Columbia? Nobody.

And I just think the people ultimately lose when we have this kind of microwaved election. We ought to cook it slow.

JUDY WOODRUFF: Up next after tomorrow's Potomac primary are the two-party primaries in Wisconsin and the Democratic primary in Hawaii, all on February 19th.

Huckabee keeping McCain on his toes


JUDY WOODRUFF: And for a look at the presidential race, tomorrow's primaries, and what lies beyond, we are joined by Linda Douglass of the National Journal and Paul West. He's the Washington bureau chief for the Baltimore Sun.

It's good to see you both. Thank you for being here.

LINDA DOUGLASS, National Journal: Thanks, Judy.

PAUL WEST, Washington bureau chief, Baltimore Sun: Thanks.

JUDY WOODRUFF: Let's talk about the Republicans first. Now, John McCain may be ahead in delegates, but Mike Huckabee keeps winning these primaries and caucuses.

Linda, what's going on?

LINDA DOUGLASS: Well, I mean, it really does underscore the problem that he has with the Republican base of social conservatives who simply aren't happy with him.

I mean, it's not as though Huckabee is likely to get the nomination. It's almost become numerically impossible for him to do that.

But there hasn't been a Republican candidate who's gone forward to get the nomination and do well without the support of the Republican base, so it really does underscore what kinds of problems he has.

JUDY WOODRUFF: So has the media and everybody else sort of anointed McCain too early, Paul?

PAUL WEST: Well, I don't think so. McCain mathematically is going to be the nominee.

The problem is he's got this fly buzzing around his face in Mike Huckabee. And if Huckabee wins another primary, like tomorrow in Virginia, he becomes a junkyard dog and he becomes a real problem for McCain.

JUDY WOODRUFF: So what happens from here on? I mean, do people think Huckabee is going after the vice presidential nod or...

LINDA DOUGLASS: I think everybody thinks that Huckabee has been going after the vice presidential slot. He stays in. He runs a polite campaign. He doesn't tear McCain down.

He certainly doesn't attack him in the way that he was attacking Mitt Romney. He shows that he's got strength with all those social conservatives, something McCain presumably would need.

But fiscal conservatives, economic conservatives don't love Huckabee, either. They don't trust him on taxes any more than they trust John McCain. So at the end of the day, he doesn't necessarily look like the best choice for John McCain to put on the ticket.

JUDY WOODRUFF: What do you look for to happen tomorrow, Paul, for the Republican side?

PAUL WEST: On the Republican side, I would expect that there would be a sweep for McCain. And if that's the case, he'll pick up about 116 delegates and get much closer to the number that he needs.

JUDY WOODRUFF: These are winner-take-all.

PAUL WEST: It's winner-take-all by state and, in some cases, by congressional district, but basically he should win 100 delegates or more tomorrow.

JUDY WOODRUFF: But you see Huckabee lingering, in other words?

PAUL WEST: Well, I think Huckabee -- I mean, I think we should take Huckabee at his word. He's waiting for a miracle, and it might happen.

LINDA DOUGLASS: But there are places where he will, you know, at least get votes. He won't get delegates necessarily, but there are places in the country, such as Texas, where he's going to have some kind of following that will make him look like he's got some kind of a following.

PAUL WEST: And in Virginia tomorrow, he'll get lots of votes in Virginia.

Clinton, Obama remain in tight race


JUDY WOODRUFF: In fact, I just saw some new poll numbers -- and we're always wary of the polls now -- that showed him up, beyond what we had seen a few days ago.

Let's talk about the Democrats. Clean sweep over the weekend for Barack Obama, all four states. Linda, what is what the voters are saying in these states tell us about the race?

We've all had a chance now to look at these exit polls and the results, two-to-one in a couple of these contests. What does it say about Obama and Clinton?

LINDA DOUGLASS: Well, what it certainly says about both of them is that they are continuing to win with groups with whom they have been strong all along.

Obama is continuing to win with young people, who haven't turned out before; with people who are independent, the more conservative Democrats; and certainly with African-American voters, no question about that, as a source of great strength for him in a place like Louisiana.

Hillary Clinton continues to do very well with women. She continues to do well with white men. She continues to do well with the more downscale voters, but not well enough to win.

And these were -- first of all, these were caucuses where Obama is very well-organized. He has a very, very good ground operation. And, secondly, in Louisiana, Hillary Clinton was making the argument today -- she made it herself -- that it was that large African-American turnout that made the difference for him.

Change versus experience


JUDY WOODRUFF: How much of a problem is it for Obama, Paul, with all the momentum he's getting, that he still is having a tough time cracking these groups of voters in the Democratic Party, women?

PAUL WEST: Well, right, and I think that's something we need to be looking at. It's been uneven. He has done well with white voters; he has done well with women, at least black women. And it's possible that he's going to continue to improve his numbers among those groups.

But the other thing he's doing is he's inspiring people, he's exciting people, and he's winning on this dynamic of change that we've heard so much about. She's running as ready on day one; he's running on change. And this year, change has been trumping experience by a considerable margin.

LINDA DOUGLASS: He's also winning states. I mean, when you look at how many states he's won, he's won 19 states. Hillary Clinton is certainly trying to minimize the importance of the caucus states, because those involve people who have to take many steps in order to vote.

But Obama is saying, "We went and organized. We have passionate supporters, and we've shown in red states, like Kansas and Nebraska, all around the country, geographically, that we can win in every state."

Clinton changes campaign managers


JUDY WOODRUFF: What about the state of Hillary Clinton's campaign, Paul? She changed campaign managers yesterday; they made the announcement. We just heard Senator Clinton say, "Well, we're just growing the campaign. We needed a bigger staff."

PAUL WEST: She looks like she's panicking right now. It was a very strange thing to do, and the explanations don't really cut it, I don't think.

She's trying to show her donors that she understands that things need to change, but she really hasn't run a bad campaign. Sure, there are things that she could have done better. But the fact of the matter is she's up against something that she didn't anticipate and that maybe nobody could have anticipated.

JUDY WOODRUFF: Are you saying they didn't need to make a change in campaign managers?

PAUL WEST: I'm not sure they're really making a change. I think changing titles with people who are still there -- you know, Maggie Williams knows Hillary Clinton very well. She's very intelligent. She's very tough.

But the people who are running the campaign are the same people who were running it before. And that's Hillary, and Bill, and Mark Penn, and Mandy Grunwald, and Harold Ickes.

JUDY WOODRUFF: The same circle. What do you look for tomorrow, Linda?

LINDA DOUGLASS: Well, the expectations are very high for Obama. He's supposed to win in the District of Columbia, and in Maryland, and in Virginia.

And I would keep a close eye on Virginia. He's got a very big lead in a couple of recent polls, but still there are parts of Virginia that seem to be tailor-made for Hillary Clinton. So if she can, in the western part, again, downscale voters and people who make the long commute to Washington, people who live in what you call the exurbs and so forth -- so if she does better than expected or wins in Virginia, that changes the story immediately.

JUDY WOODRUFF: Does that raise a question about -- and we've got less than a minute, 30 seconds here -- does that raise that question, Paul, about people being willing to vote for a black candidate?

PAUL WEST: Well, I think we've seen that people are willing to vote for a black candidate. I don't think we know, if he's the nominee of the party, if they will vote for him in the general election. They've clearly been willing to vote for him in the primaries, and he's gaining momentum. They're going to continue to vote for him.

JUDY WOODRUFF: All right, well, all of this, we will be watching tomorrow, two states, Maryland, Virginia, and the District of Columbia. Paul West, Linda Douglass, thank you very much.

LINDA DOUGLASS: Thanks, Judy.

PAUL WEST: Thanks.

JIM LEHRER: A reminder that you can stay up on the campaign on our Web site, including using our interactive election map to find more information on the upcoming contests. As always, just go to pbs.org.

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Candidates Make Final Pitches for 'Potomac Primaries'



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