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JIM
LEHRER: That report by Elizabeth Brackett. Elizabeth said, by the way,
that all of that said, none of the people in the group said any of their
votes changed as a result of last night's debate. Next, the official campaign
views of what happened last night and what happens next and in two weeks
and a day from now. Edward Rollins is the former White House political
director, now the director of the Reagan-Bush campaign. Richard Leone
is a senior adviser to the Mondale-Ferraro campaign.
First to you, Mr. Rollins. Vice President Bush, among others on your
side today, said for all practical purposes the election is over; Ronald
Reagan has been re-elected for another four years. Do you agree, sir?
EDWARD ROLLINS: Well, unfortunately we have to wait until November 6th
to have, I think, the support the President has ratified, but I certainly
thought the President performed extremely well last night, and we think
on November 6th the potential is there for a great victory.
JIM LEHRER: Performed very well last night in what way, from your perspective?
Mr.
ROLLINS: I think that he very definitely defended his own programs, he
laid out the weaknesses of Mondale's record and history as a United States
senator, which he had the worst record in 1969 through 1974 on defense
issues. He clearly pointed out that the words really aren't what's relevant;
it's what action and the actions that Mondale has taken historically have
been anti-defense, not pro-defense. And I think that he really punched
some holes in the Mondale rhetoric.
JIM LEHRER: I read today somewhere -- please don't pin me as to where
I read it -- but that the quip of the President's that we just saw about
the age question had been worked out in advance, well-rehearsed, etc.
Is that true?
Mr. ROLLINS: Absolutely not. That's typical of many White House agents
trying to take credit for something the President did himself spontaneously.
JIM LEHRER: I see. Do you think that, whatever, do you believe that
the has put the age question behind you now?
Mr. ROLLINS: I don't think the age question was a very serious question
at all. The President had one off night in the last 44 months. Walter
Mondale had one good night in the last two years of campaigning. I think
Ronald Reagan has been a very vigorous, very active President and I think
the American public has already made that judgment that he can do the
job and he will do the job effectively in another four years.
JIM
LEHRER: Were you concerned at all about what the folks in Bensonville,
Illinois, said, at least a couple of them did, about the President's closing
statement? They never quite figured out what it is he was saying?
Mr. ROLLINS: No, I don't think closing statements really matter a whole
lot. I don't think debates matter a whole lot in the big picture. I think
that the job the President has done really is what the American public's
going to vote on, and I think that he'll have an overwhelming vote on
November 6th.
JIM LEHRER: What do you think really mattered the most last night in
that debate, though?
Mr. ROLLINS: I think the President was forceful. The President was certainly
had facts and figures at his fingertips. I think that he showed once again
the confidence that he has in his own ability to lead this country and
lead this country effectively.
JIM LEHRER: Mr. Rollins, thank you. Turning to you, Mr. Leone, is the
election over? Has Walter Mondale had it for all practical purposes?
RICHARD
LEONE: You know, I think that that comment by Vice President Bush and
a recent comment by his press secretary and, frankly, what Ed just said
about debates not mattering much show a kind of cyncism about the American
people. They've become engaged in this election in the last few weeks
since the debate.They're going to make a decision on the most important
issues before the country and the world, and I think they're going to
make that decision between now and Election Day. They're going to make
it themselves and no amount of wishing away that choice or hoping that
they don't pay attention is going to make that process go away.
JIM LEHRER: Mr. Leone, the polls show that the majority of Americans
have already made a decision in favor of President Reagan. That's not
campaign rhetoric.
Mr. LEONE: I think we've learned about volatility in the polls, and
if you look at Lou Harris who had the race at nine points last week, and
ABC, which had it closing to 10; our own polling has it under 10. All
of the major states, all of the states we need to win are under 10 points.
Anything can happen in two weeks. We've learned that several times this
year. And I suggest that what has happened in the last two weeks demonstrates
that when people start becoming interested and look at the two candidates
and what they're saying, we're going to see a lot of movement.
JIM
LEHRER: The experts -- and I put "experts" in quotation marks,
but anyhow -- the experts said going in last night that for Walter Mondale
to close this gap that still exists, and that you concede still exists,
he had to score a real knockout last night or Ronald Reagan had to score
a real dropdown last night. Did either happen?
Mr. LEONE: I don't believe that was necessary. We came into the first
debate way underestimated with a real expectations problem, and Mondale
overcame that. He crossed the threshold to leadership in a dramatic way.
People began to look at this race in a serious way. Last night we had
an opportunity to continue the trend which has been moving in our direction
by raising issues like Star Wars and Central America and Lebanon. The
President in all those areas showed he wasn't in command of the facts
and didn't have a sensible foreign policy, was primitive in thinking about
our nuclear weapons systems. And I think that will count heavily against
him in the next two weeks, and it will accelerate this trend.
JIM LEHRER: It is your view then that Walter Mondale got the best of
last night's debate?
Mr.
LEONE: Yes. I think we won the debate. In addition, more importantly,
this particular occasion will have consequences for the actual vote in
two weeks.
JIM LEHRER: Do you believe he did as well comparatively speaking as
he did in the first debate two weeks ago?
Mr. LEONE: I some respects he did better. The first debate was important
in crystallizing the fact that there was a real race going on. Last night
we had a clean message about arms control, nuclear war, Central America
and Lebanon. In all those cases the President basically made mistakes
or indicated he didn't know what the heck was going on. Now, that's going
to be very important in the next two weeks. We wanted a fight on that
ground, we now have the fight we want.

JIM LEHRER: All right, gentlemen, don't go away because we have a specific
exchange from last night. Both sides, interestingly enough, said today
that they believe their man did particularly well in the one-two over
the so-called Star Wars anti-missile defense system in space. They felt
most particularly good with the question of sharing the advanced technology
required with the Soviet Union. Here is some of what each said about it
last night.
Pres.
REAGAN: What if we come up with a weapon that renders those missiles obsolete?
There has never been a weapon invented in the history of man that has
not led to a defensive counterweapon. But suppose we came up with that.
Now, some people have said, "Ah, that would make war imminent because
they would think that we could now launch a first strike because we could
defend against the enemy." But why not do what I have offered to
do and asked the Soviet Union to do -- say, "Look, here's what we
can do. We'll even give it to you. Now, will you sit down with us and
once and for all get rid, all of us, of these nuclear weapons and free
mankind from that threat?" I think that would be the greatest use
of a defensive weapon.
Mr.
MONDALE: First of all, let me sharply disagree with the President on sharing
the most advanced, the most dangerous, the most important technology in
America with the Soviet Union. I would not let the Soviet Union get their
hands on it at all. The most dangerous aspect of this proposal is for
the first time we would delegate to computers the decision as to whether
to start a war. That's dead wrong. There wouldn't be time for a president
to decide; it would be decided by these remote computers. Might be an
oil fire, it might be a jet exhaust; a computer might decide it's a missile
and off we go. Why don't we stop this madness now and draw a line and
keep the heavens free from war?
JIM LEHRER: Mr. Leone, let's go from war to you first this time. How
did Walter Mondale get the best of that exchange?
Mr. LEONE: Well, I think the President was wrong in two important respects.He
was naive about the sharing of technology. The technology involved in
not only recognizing a missile launched but in striking it can be used
in a variety of ways in a warfare situation. If we're ahead in that technology
it'd be very dangerous to give it to the Soviet Union. It's naive to think
of us working for 10 years without them working and then turning the results
over
to them. Secondly, Star Wars itself is a foolish system. It would cut
the response time to 50 seconds; the decision would have to be made by
a computer. We could launch World War III without any human being playing
a role in the process. There is no responsible scientist outside the administration
who thinks it's a good idea to proceed, and we'd be very happy to fight
the rest of the election as a referendum on whether or not we should spend
a trillion dollars building Star Wars.
JIM LEHRER: Do you believe that Walter Mondale made that point effectively
last night to the American people?
Mr. LEONE: I think he made it in a variety of ways. He continued that
process today. He started some time ago, a week or 10 days ago, and we're
very happy that the debate has focused to some extent on that exchange.
JIM LEHRER: You used the word "naive" a couple of times. Is
that Mr. Mondale's position, that Ronald Reagan is naive after almost
four years as President of the United States?
Mr. LEONE: The President's performance was astonishing last night in
a couple of respects. At one point he said, "I'm not a scientist,
I don't know where they're going to put those things." Obviously
this is a system which would be based in space. In addition, if you marry
it to the anti-satellite systems which we're already testing, which could
blind us or our adversaries, you create a more dangerous world. A president
has to know about that. That's not technical knowledge that ought to be
beyond the mastery of the commander-in-chief
JIM
LEHRER: But what's wrong, as Mr. Reagan said at one time, well, what's
wrong with just trying it? Let's try it. Nobody's ever tried this kind
of approach before.
Mr. LEONE: Well, what's wrong with trying it is it's destabilizing.
Multiple warheads were "let's try 'em. Let's try submarine-based
missiles." What leads to an arms race is "just trying"
to build more hardware. The other side responds. It accelerates the race.
People begin looking for ways to break through. We've already looked at,
in the United States, boosters on our MX missiles which would enable the
missiles to get off quicker, so that an enemy Star Wars system wouldn't
have time to respond. Now, the Soviet Union is undoubtedly doing that.
Quicker missiles mean less response time, a hair trigger. People will
feel the need to respond more quickly to any possible attack. They make
the world more dangerous. And I think that that kind of thought, that
somehow we can bridge this technology and break through, is naive.
JIM LEHRER: All right, turning to you, Mr. Rollins. Why do you and others
in the Reagan camp feel that this was a good score for Mr. Reagan?
Mr.
ROLLINS: Well, I think first of all Mr. Mondale showed his naivete. This
is a defensive system, and when he talked in terms of computers starting
a war, I've never found a defensive system yet that could ever start a
war. Unlike Dr. Leone, I'm not an arms control expert, but I certainly
know that, you know, fires in oil drums on something that's still very
much a research project is kind of a far-fetched extreme example. I think
far more important is that Walter Mondale has made nuclear freeze his
major foreign policy initiative, and last night he could not even talk
about which weapons he wanted to verify. Geraldine Ferraro, the other
evening on another television show, made the same kind of statement, and
she didn't know how you could verify warheads. Walter Mondale last night
talked about 2,000 new warheads being aimed at this country in the last
three years, which basically came under the provisions of SALT II, which
he basically approved and wanted the Senate to ratify. So I think he certainly
shows a naivete for someone who's been vice president of the United States
and a candidate for more than four years.
JIM LEHRER: Well, what do you see as the major difference, then, between
these two candidates on arms control and this whole area, whether it's
in space or whether it's nuclear freeze or what?
Mr. ROLLINS: The key difference, I think is that the President basically
wants to negotiate out of strength; Walter Mondale wants to negotiate
out of a position of weakness.
JIM LEHRER: What do you think about the folks, here again, that Elizabeth
Brackett talked to in Illinois who came away thinking that it wasn't a
good idea to share this information with the Soviet Union, as Mr. Reagan
wants to?
Mr.
ROLLINS: Well, I think the President basically said that if somewhere
down the road -- it's purely a research proposal at this stage, if somewhere
down the road the Russians were willing to basically disarm, as we would
basically end up doing, and sit down and have some serious negotiations
on it, that we would share the technology. I think any effort towards
peace, whether it's the freeze that a Mondale wants or the efforts that
we want, is certainly worth at least discussing, and that's all the President
was doing last night.
JIM LEHRER: Did you feel at all -- uncomfortable is probably not the
word -- odd when, here you have a conservative President suggesting sharing
information with the Soviets and a candidate who is generally considered
more moderate or liberal being against it?
Mr. ROLLINS: Well, I think that the President himself has basically
stated over and over again that the great gole that he has in a second
term is to guarantee peace for generations in the future. I think one
of the most telling remarks that he ever made to me one time in 1982 when
I was arguing with him that the defense buildup politically was not the
best route to go from a purely political perspective, the President turned
to me and he said. "Ed, if you're alive in the year 2000, which I
won't be, it'll be because of my defense proposals, and the Russians know
that I meant business." And I think that's a very telling remark
of this President's commitment to peace.
JIM LEHRER: All right, gentlemen, thanks to you both. Judy?
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