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PANEL
TO INVESTIGATE IRAQ INTELLIGENCE, 02/02/04 Related
Lesson Plan
The issue of what the United States knew about prewar Iraq returns to the forefront as President Bush said he would announce an inquiry into faulty intelligence. On Monday President Bush said he would call for an independent, bipartisan commission to investigate intelligence failures in Iraq but defended his decision to go to war. "I want all the facts. We do know that Saddam Hussein had the intent and capabilities to cause great harm, we know he was a danger. … He slaughtered thousands of people," the president said. Faulty intelligence The president's decision
comes after rising pressure from both Democrats and Republicans to respond
to information suggesting that the agencies charged with spying on other
countries overstated Iraq's stockpiles of chemical and biological weapons. Last week, former
chief U.S. weapons inspector David Kay told Congress that prewar weapons
intelligence assessments on Iraq, which led to the American invasion,
was flawed. "My view was that the best evidence that I had seen was that Iraq indeed had weapons of mass destruction. It turns out we were all wrong, probably, in my judgment, and that is most disturbing," Kay said. During the hearing Kay also urged Congress to begin an investigation into why the intelligence in Iraq was wrong. "It's really up to you and your staff on behalf of the American people to take on that challenge. It's not something that anyone from the outside can do. I do believe we have to understand why reality turned out to be different than expectations and estimate," Kay added. Political implications President Bush's decision, which reverses his earlier opposition to a probe, also follows attacks by Democrats, including the leading presidential candidate, Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry. Kerry has said Mr. Bush, Vice President Dick Cheney and Secretary of State Colin Powell chose intelligence that supported their case against Saddam Hussein, "misleading" Congress during the debate over whether to authorize military action against Iraq. The president did
not set a timetable for the investigation, but the findings are not expected
until after the presidential elections in November. By establishing the commission himself, President Bush will have greater control over its membership and mandate, which according to White House officials, will be broad - to examine America's "global security challenges of the 21st century." In addition to examining the possible misjudgments in Iraq, the panel will examine problems in gathering information in such secretive regimes as North Korea and Iran as well as stateless groups such as terrorists. "What we don't know yet is (reconciling) what we thought and what the Iraq Survey Group has found, and we want to look at that," the president said. "But we also want to look at our war against proliferation and weapons of mass destruction, kind of in a broader context." On Sunday, Dan Bartlett, the White House communications director, said that the president will get commission members from experts who are "very distinguished statesmen and women, who have served their country and who have been users of intelligence, or served in a gathering capacity." Previous intelligence problems Problems with intelligence are not new. The United States has faced additional intelligence shortfalls, most recently in the failure to anticipate the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks. In addition, the United States failed to predict that both Pakistan and India intended to test nuclear weapons in 1998. The United States was also surprised to learn after the collapse of the Soviet Union that the Soviet Union was not as economically sound or powerful as had been thought. David Kay summed up some of the problems in intelligence gathering in a discussion with Jim Lehrer on the NewsHour last week. "We are not very good as a nation in our intelligence capability at reading the most fundamental secrets of a society, what are its capabilities, what are its intentions? You can't photograph those. You need Americans on the ground penetrating those societies and people who are speaking their languages," Kay said. By Annie Schleicher, Online NewsHour (c) 2004 MacNeil/Lehrer Productions |