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Delayed Election Results in Zimbabwe Could Portend Violent Crackdown

Posted: April 7, 2008 PRINTER FRIENDLY VERSION: PDF
People in the African nation of Zimbabwe are anxiously awaiting election results between a charismatic opposition leader, who claims to have won a surprise victory, and President Robert Mugabe, who has ruled the southern African nation with a heavy hand since 1980.
Zimbabwe voters, courtesy Flickr user  Sokwanele_Zimbabwe
People wait in line to vote in recent elections in Zimbabwe, the results of which are still being contested by longtime President Robert Mugabe and challenger Morgan Tsvangirai.

Presidential elections were held March 29 between President Mugabe and his long-time opponent Morgan Tsvangirai but electoral officials have not yet released the results.

Election problems


Banner for Morgan Tsvangirai, courtesy Flickr user Sokwanele_Zimbabwe

Unofficial election results show that labor leader Morgan Tsvangirai won more votes than Mugabe, but not enough to avoid an election runoff.
Mr. Tsvangirai, a labor leader who heads the opposition party Movement for Democratic Change (MDC), claimed he won the election outright and called on the international community to help ensure a peaceful transition of power.

"This is also a time for firm diplomacy. Major powers here, such as South Africa, the U.S. and Britain, must act to remove the white-knuckle grip of Mugabe's suicidal reign and oblige him and his minions to retire," Tsvangirai wrote in an opinion piece published in the British newspaper The Guardian.

Mugabe, who heads the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF) party, delayed the release of the election results claiming "revelations of errors and miscalculations in the compilation of the poll result," according to the state-run Sunday Mail newspaper.

Unofficial results show that Tsvangirai won more votes than Mugabe but not the necessary majority required to avoid a runoff vote. Many observers believe that it is unlikely that Mugabe could win a fair runoff election.

"You know, Mugabe is a very proud man. And many people say that he would just refuse to go into a runoff. It would be beneath his dignity and hurt his pride," National Public Radio reporter Charlayne Hunter-Gault told the NewsHour.

Zimbabwe under Mugabe's rule


Man searching for food, courtesy Flickr user Sokwanele_Zimbabwe

A man searches for food in a pile of trash in Zimbabwe, where inflation and government policies have crippled the economy.
President Mugabe has ruled Zimbabwe since the colony formerly known as Rhodesia gained its independence from Great Britain in 1980. He was the country's first prime minister and considered a hero of his country's struggle for independence.

Since then Mugabe has used violence to control his political opponents.

In 2000, Mugabe began a land redistribution program and seized white-owned farms. But instead of giving these farms to the poor, Mugabe often gave them to his cronies and supporters.

These new owners were unprepared to run the farms and Zimbabwe's economy has plummeted. Inflation is running at an annual 100,000 percent and four out of five people are unemployed. There are chronic food and fuel shortages.

In addition, the HIV/AIDS epidemic has ravaged Zimbabwe's people. The life expectancy for women in Zimbabwe is 34 years. For men it is 37, according to the World Health Organization.

The situation is dire for children, too: for every 1,000 children born, on average, 129 boys and girls don't live to age five. In contrast, in the United States the life expectancy of men is 75 years and 80 years for women. The average number of children who die before age five is eight per 1,000.

Election results


Robert and Grace Mugabe, courtesy Flickr user Pan-African News Wire File Photos

Robert Mugabe, in power since 1980, is calling for a vote recount.
On Monday, Zimbabwe's High Court again postponed a decision to release the election results, rejecting a Zimbabwe Electoral Commission argument that it did not have jurisdiction over the release of results.

According to election law, a runoff election must be held within three weeks of the release of election results. Mugabe has also called for a recount of the votes already cast.

By postponing the release of results, many election observers believe Mugabe is trying to gain time to mount what could become a violent crackdown and denial of the election's outcome.

The opposition MDC party is criticizing Mugabe's stalling tactics.

"You can't ask for the remarking of an exam whose result is not known by the student," Nelson Chamisa, spokesman for the MDC told The New York Times. "It shows their mischief and shenanigans in trying to manipulate the poll."

--Compiled by Annie Schleicher for NewsHour Extra
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