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The vice-presidential debate is, in some respect, a
side show. Conventional wisdom suggests that voters
make their choice primarily on the name at the top of
the ticket. In a post-Dick Cheney world, however, voters
must consider the possibility that whomever they elect
as vice-president may not be limited to an auxiliary
role.
Thursday's debate gave voters a unique opportunity to
consider the full implications of an Obama-Biden or
McCain-Palin administration. Both candidates were polite,
and - for the most part - stylistically sound. But what
about the issues?
Candidates talk economy, taxes
With poll numbers handing Senator Obama a substantial
advantage on economic issues, Governor Palin entered
Thursday's debate fighting an uphill battle. Senator
Biden immediately went on the offensive, blaming the
Bush administration's "failed policies" for
the sub-prime mortgage crisis and seeking to tie Senator
McCain to Bush's legacy.
Palin, however, stayed on-message, doing her best to
distance McCain from an unpopular president. Palin repeatedly
spoke of the need for "reform" and "oversight,"
and labeled both herself and Senator McCain as "mavericks"
who would challenge the established Washington bureaucracy
and take on corporate greed.
Biden responded by attacking McCain's judgment, asserting
that McCain was "surprised" by the subprime
mortgage crisis, whereas Obama had predicted it years
in advance. Biden's attack - which he repeated multiple
times throughout the debate - was never fully addressed
by Governor Palin.
The McCain campaign correctly calculated, however,
that they would not win the economic debate by focusing
on the subprime mortgage crisis. Palin, therefore, attempted
to move the debate towards an issue where Republicans
have historically held an advantage: taxes.
Palin argued that McCain's proposed tax cuts would spark
economic growth and claimed Obama had voted to raise
taxes 94 times as a member of the Senate. She quickly
abandoned this line of argument, however, when Biden
pointed out that by the same standard McCain had voted
for more than 400 tax increases in his time in the Senate.
Instead, Palin argued that Obama's tax plan would hurt
small businesses by raising taxes on wealthy Americans.
Biden disagreed and argued that Obama's plan would not
affect small businesses.
The tax debate was never fully resolved, with each
side claiming that only their candidate's plan would
preserve American jobs and promote economic growth.
Palin's foreign policy test
The media narrative surrounding Governor Palin's candidacy
has emphasized her foreign policy inexperience. Given
these circumstances, Palin appeared relatively confident
in Thursday's debate. Biden, however, was still able to
take advantage of her inexperience on several key issues.
Palin's inexperience was most apparent in the debate
over Iraq policy. When Biden launched into a long explanation
of Obama's withdrawal plan, Palin appeared momentarily
flustered, pausing for a few seconds before asserting
that Obama's plan amounted to "surrender."
Palin was unable to take advantage of traditional Democratic
weaknesses on the war, relying heavily on a few major
talking points at the expense of detail. In contrast,
Biden effectively answered Palin's claim that Obama
had voted against funding the troops by pointing out
that McCain had voted against similar legislation, and
once again attacked McCain's weakest point by associating
him with Bush's "failed" Iraq policies.
Palin's answers were similarly vague on topics such
as interventionism and nuclear disarmament. At other
times, though, Palin displayed an impressive knowledge
of foreign policy. The governor went on the offensive
against Obama's Iran policy, labeling it "naïve"
and "dangerous," and held her own against
Biden on issues relating to Pakistan and Israel. By
citing foreign policy experts such as Henry Kissinger,
Palin was also able to hedge against some of her inexperience
and boost her foreign policy credibility.
One winner?
The ever-present question, of course, is whether American
voters care more about substance or style. While Governor
Palin probably ended up behind on substance, she was
hardly the stylistic disaster that some had predicted.
If nothing else, Palin remained confident throughout
the debate and prevented Senator Biden from scoring
any major perceptual victories. The McCain campaign
may not have won this debate, but they can feel secure
that they probably didn't lose it either.
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