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NEW LEADERSHIP

November 25,1998 
Here to examine the direction of the Republican party and answer your questions are two veteran Congress-watchers, Professors John Pitney and William Connelly, authors of one of the first studies of the House Republicans, Congress' Permanent Minority?



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Will the GOP move to a more moderate position?

What issues are the new GOP House members likely to move on?

Will the turmoil impact the 2000 elections?

Isn't the GOP skating on thin ice with its core support?

Has the GOP really changed?

Why doesn't GOP leadership get the message?

Can Livingston succeed as speaker?

Who of the GOP candidates would be most beneficial to the party if they became speaker?

 

 

 

Win Smith of Lompoc, CA asks:

With the new GOP leadership, will I see a change in these issues? (1) Republican candidates are usually anti-choice, (2) Republican leaders spend as much, if not more, than democrats, and (3) Republican policy is almost always more destructive to the environment

John Pitney responds:

With a smaller procedural majority, congressional Republicans are less likely to attach abortion provisions to bills dealing with other issues. Nevertheless, they will remain basically pro-life -- which is not necessarily a losing position. According to a New York Times survey earlier this year, public support for legal abortion plunges from 61 percent if it takes place in the first three months of a pregnancy to only 15 percent in the second three months. By carefully shifting the focus to specific topics such as partial-birth abortion, pro-life Republicans can shift the debate to more favorable ground.

On federal spending, the GOP did indeed have a bad day when it approved a massive pork-barrel highway bill. (For a whimsical calculation, consider the current price of boneless pork: $3.39 a pound. At that rate, the $218 billion highway measure amounts to 237 pounds for every man, woman, and child in America.) On the other hand, discretionary spending has fallen from 7.9 percent of gross domestic product in fiscal 1994 to 6.4 percent today. The GOP leaders must be doing something right. And if Speaker-designate Livingston gets Social Security out of the picture, the budget calculation will become less rosy, thus creating more pressure for further spending cuts.

On the environment, think tanks such as the Competitive Enterprise Institute, the Pacific Research Institute, and the Reason Foundation have made a compelling case that marketplace incentives can better protect the air and water than old-style bureaucratic controls. Republicans have to do a much more skillful job at conveying these ideas to the general public.

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