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NEW LEADERSHIP

November 25,1998 
Here to examine the direction of the Republican party and answer your questions are two veteran Congress-watchers, Professors John Pitney and William Connelly, authors of one of the first studies of the House Republicans, Congress' Permanent Minority?



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Will the GOP move to a more moderate position?

What issues are the new GOP House members likely to move on?

Will the turmoil impact the 2000 elections?

Isn't the GOP skating on thin ice with its core support?

Has the GOP really changed?

Why doesn't GOP leadership get the message?

Can Livingston succeed as speaker?

Who of the GOP candidates would be most beneficial to the party if they became speaker?

 

 

 

Fred Arnold of Rocky Mount, NC comments:

Speaker-to-be Livingston's strength is seen to be his ability to "reach across the aisle" to pass legislation. Will he have any success? House Minority Leader Gephardt has already said that he believes the election gave him a working majority, allying with moderate Republicans to promote a presumably more "liberal" agenda. It seems that Livingston would have little to offer Democrats that they couldn't get on their own. Please Comment

William Connelly responds:

In the 106th Congress, House Republicans, saddled with the narrowest majority in decades, may find themselves at times wishing that they had lost their majority in the 1998 elections. As the majority party under conditions of divided government, Republicans will find themselves constantly stuck on the horns of a dilemma for which they can blame James Madison. Our separation of powers system confronts both parties in the House with a central strategic dilemma, one that does not plague parties in parliamentary systems. In the British parliamentary system, for example, the majority party forms the "government" while the minority party plays the loyal "opposition." This "government vs. opposition" calculus, however, is more complicated under our separation or powers. Indeed, under conditions of "divided government" the House majority party is regularly torn between the need to be part of the "government" or part of the "opposition." In the 106th Congress, Republicans will find themselves facing the twin temptations of government or opposition, and compromise or confrontation with the Democratic White House. Meanwhile, it will be easier for Democrats to obstruct, than it will be for Republicans to advance legislation.

Certainly Speaker-designate Livingston's ability to "reach across the aisle" may prove instrumental as he seeks to govern the perennially unruly House, especially given his party's slim majority. Republicans can at least console themselves with the knowledge that the minority Democrats face a similar dilemma. Often Dick Gephardt and Tom Daschle will find themselves as much at odds with Bill Clinton and Al Gore as they are with Bob Livingston and Trent Lott. Republicans, of course, also have the added consolation that they control the committee chairmanships.

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