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President Bush is looking "to pass the bucks to the privileged while passing the buck to our children," Kerry said on April 7 at Georgetown University. "Because of this president's decisions, a child born today will inherit a $20,000 debt -- a 'birth tax' that he or she had no part in creating." Greg Mankiw, the chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, defended the president's tax plan, contending that the $2 trillion in tax cuts he pushed through Congress since 2001 have spurred as economic growth, which will ultimately boost the government's income. "It's a reasonable policy response to the recession and the war on terrorism that we've been fighting," Mankiw said. "As a percentage of the economy, the deficit will be shrinking." Mr. Bush has attacked Kerry on his plans, pointing to a "trillion dollar tax gap" between the costs of the Massachusetts Democrat's proposals and his promise to lower the deficit. Meanwhile, Kerry has said he would roll back the president's tax cuts for people making $200,000 a year or more to help shrink the deficit. The Effect of the U.S. Budget Deficit on the Global Economy The International Monetary Fund on Jan. 7, 2004 issued a report critical of U.S. budget policies, saying sustained deficits, unless immediately corrected, could halt global economic expansion by pushing up interest rates. The IMF also cautioned that the federal deficit seriously threatened the prospects of funding Social Security and health care programs for aging generations. Several weeks later, at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, Vice President Dick Cheney said the budget deficit did matter for global economic stability, but that it was "manageable" and "very important for us to reduce the tax burden on the American economy." Treasury Secretary John Snow in April also said the U.S. budget deficit did not pose a risk to global economic stability, noting the brisk pace of U.S. economic recovery. |
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The U.S. federal deficit has swung from a surplus of 2.5 percent of the GDP in 2000 to a deficit of nearly 4 percent in 2003, or roughly $374.2 billion. However, new estimates from the Treasury Department suggest the deficit is not as high as the White House projection of $521 billion in February. Treasury Department officials said in May that the deficit for 2004 is $100 billion less due to rising individual tax receipts. This revised number is more on par with the Jan. 26, 2004 estimate from the Congressional Budget Office, Congress' nonpartisan scorekeeper, that the federal budget deficit would swell to $477 billion this year, the largest ever in terms of dollars, amounting to 4.2 percent of GDP. The deficit ballooned under former President Reagan, peaking at 6 percent of the GDP in 1986. Between 1983 and 1986, the U.S. budget deficit ranged between 4.8 percent and 6 percent, according to a study by the nonpartisan RAND Corporation. But, the RAND study rejects the notion that the current U.S. deficit is the worst or largest in history, calculating that the federal deficit was much worse in 1983 and during the World War II era. In 1992, when President Clinton took office, the budget deficit had risen to $290 billion, the highest in history, according to the Center for National Policy. By 1993, budget
deficits became such a potent political issue that President Clinton
abandoned much of his economic and health care agenda in order to push
through a deficit-reduction plan. By May 1998, Clinton announced a projected
surplus of $39 billion for that year, and a $150 billion surplus over
the next five years. In September 2000, the Clinton administration announced
the federal budget surplus for fiscal year 2000 amounted to at least
$230 billion, making it the largest in U.S. history. |
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