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President George W. BushPresident George W. Bush
President George W. Bush has vowed to slash the federal deficit in half by 2009 by controlling spending and by promoting fiscal policies, such as tax cuts, that he says will spur economic growth.

"The best way to address the deficit and move toward a balanced budget is to encourage economic growth -- and to show some spending discipline in Washington, D.C. We must work together to fund only our most important priorities," President Bush said in his 2003 State of the Union speech.

The president also said he plans to work with Congress to set spending priorities that focus on domestic and international security. In his 2004 State of the Union speech, he called on Congress to limit the growth of discretionary spending -- that is spending on programs funded by annual appropriations bills -- by 4 percent in order to reduce the deficit.

The president acknowledges the size of the federal deficit has grown substantially during his administration, but attributes the record deficit to the economic recession that started in January 2000 before his inauguration and the increase of military and security spending in the wake of the Sept. 11, 2001 attacks.

Under these circumstances, the president has argued, running a deficit is necessary and a sound fiscal policy. "As a matter of fact, we increased expenses, particularly (for) ... the military. If I put somebody in harm's way, they're going to get the best, as far as I'm concerned," Mr. Bush said in a March 2004 speech, where he defended the budget increases to bolster national security and to prepare for the war on terrorism and in Iraq.

Treasury Secretary John Snow maintains the president's tax cuts represent a key part of the nation's deficit reduction strategy, saying: "Making the tax cuts permanent is an important part of deficit reduction because lower taxes have stimulated our economy so effectively. A growing economy leads to increased Treasury receipts, and when combined with restrained spending, deficits can be shrunk."

To reach the deficit reduction goals, President Bush proposes:

- Holding discretionary spending growth below 4 percent, and spending unrelated to defense and security, below 1 percent growth;

- Offsetting increases in mandatory spending by reduction of mandatory spending;

- Reinstating caps on discretionary spending until 2009;

-Making tax cuts permanent to spur economic growth, leading to increased Treasury tax revenues.

Background Information

iconBush 2004: The President Discusses Economic Priorities

Senator John KerrySenator John Kerry
Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., has pledged to restore financial discipline in order to promote future economic growth and stability. Kerry advocates a smaller government, proposing spending caps across the board except in the areas of security, education, health care and Social Security.

Kerry has warned the deficits stand to become "a fiscal cancer that will erode any recovery and threaten the prospect of lasting prosperity" and destroy the solvency of Social Security, Medicare, placing an "enormous burden" on future generations.

The Democratic contender has criticized President Bush for moving the federal budget "from record surpluses to record deficits" and for "excessive spending and ineffective tax giveaways for the wealthiest Americans." Kerry also challenged President Bush's state spending plan, saying it "has left states with nearly $90 million in budget deficits," prompting lay offs, education cuts, and nonfederal tax increases.

At an April 7 speech, Kerry said as president he would cut the deficit in half in four years by rolling back the Bush administration's tax cuts "for the wealthiest Americans while expanding tax cuts for the middle class."

To reduce the budget deficits, the Massachusetts senator proposes several measures to balance budgets and ensure fiscal discipline:

-Create a 'State Tax Relief and Education Fund' to alleviate the severe budget shortfalls experienced by many states. The new fund would help struggling states "with an additional $25 billion to prevent education budget cuts, tuition increases, and tax and fee raising" that Kerry says hinders overall economic and job growth;

- Roll back the Bush administration's tax cuts, including dividend tax cuts, for people earning more than $200,000;

- Push through legislation he co-authored with Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., creating a commission designed to eliminate corporate welfare and other pork barrel spending projects by Congress;

- Reduce size of the federal government, curtail government spending to level of the gross domestic product (GDP) as that during the Clinton administration, lower the number of political appointees and ban bonuses for appointees;

- Renew Congress' budget enforcement rules requiring any new spending and tax cuts to be offset with other spending cuts;

- Authorize the president with power of line-item veto of excessive, wasteful spending in the budget and then submit the list for congressional approval.

Background Information

iconKerry 2004: John Kerry's Framework to cut the deficit in half

Recent Developments

President George W. BushThis year's deficit, according to the White House's February estimate, is projected to top $521 billion -- an estimated 4.5 percent of the GDP.

The Debate over Tax Cuts

Many Democrats, including Sen. John Kerry, complain that the president is leaving a growing debt to future generations because of his tax cuts, which, they say, will cause more than $3 trillion in long-term revenue loss over ten years.

President Bush is looking "to pass the bucks to the privileged while passing the buck to our children," Kerry said on April 7 at Georgetown University. "Because of this president's decisions, a child born today will inherit a $20,000 debt -- a 'birth tax' that he or she had no part in creating."

Greg Mankiw, the chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, defended the president's tax plan, contending that the $2 trillion in tax cuts he pushed through Congress since 2001 have spurred as economic growth, which will ultimately boost the government's income.

"It's a reasonable policy response to the recession and the war on terrorism that we've been fighting," Mankiw said. "As a percentage of the economy, the deficit will be shrinking."

Mr. Bush has attacked Kerry on his plans, pointing to a "trillion dollar tax gap" between the costs of the Massachusetts Democrat's proposals and his promise to lower the deficit. Meanwhile, Kerry has said he would roll back the president's tax cuts for people making $200,000 a year or more to help shrink the deficit.

The Effect of the U.S. Budget Deficit on the Global Economy

The International Monetary Fund on Jan. 7, 2004 issued a report critical of U.S. budget policies, saying sustained deficits, unless immediately corrected, could halt global economic expansion by pushing up interest rates. The IMF also cautioned that the federal deficit seriously threatened the prospects of funding Social Security and health care programs for aging generations.

Several weeks later, at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, Vice President Dick Cheney said the budget deficit did matter for global economic stability, but that it was "manageable" and "very important for us to reduce the tax burden on the American economy."

Treasury Secretary John Snow in April also said the U.S. budget deficit did not pose a risk to global economic stability, noting the brisk pace of U.S. economic recovery.

Also on PBS.org
100 Dollar Bill
The Budget of the U.S. Government

Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 2005 contains the Budget Message of the President, information on the President’s budget and management priorities, and budget overviews organized by agency, including assessments of their performance.
-- U.S. Office of Management & Budget

HistoryTop

President Ronald ReaganFrom 1970 to 1997, the U.S. government ran substantial deficits by spending much more than it brought in. By 1998, the U.S. government announced a budget surplus, which continued through 2001.

The U.S. federal deficit has swung from a surplus of 2.5 percent of the GDP in 2000 to a deficit of nearly 4 percent in 2003, or roughly $374.2 billion.

However, new estimates from the Treasury Department suggest the deficit is not as high as the White House projection of $521 billion in February. Treasury Department officials said in May that the deficit for 2004 is $100 billion less due to rising individual tax receipts.

This revised number is more on par with the Jan. 26, 2004 estimate from the Congressional Budget Office, Congress' nonpartisan scorekeeper, that the federal budget deficit would swell to $477 billion this year, the largest ever in terms of dollars, amounting to 4.2 percent of GDP.

The deficit ballooned under former President Reagan, peaking at 6 percent of the GDP in 1986. Between 1983 and 1986, the U.S. budget deficit ranged between 4.8 percent and 6 percent, according to a study by the nonpartisan RAND Corporation.

But, the RAND study rejects the notion that the current U.S. deficit is the worst or largest in history, calculating that the federal deficit was much worse in 1983 and during the World War II era.

In 1992, when President Clinton took office, the budget deficit had risen to $290 billion, the highest in history, according to the Center for National Policy.

By 1993, budget deficits became such a potent political issue that President Clinton abandoned much of his economic and health care agenda in order to push through a deficit-reduction plan. By May 1998, Clinton announced a projected surplus of $39 billion for that year, and a $150 billion surplus over the next five years. In September 2000, the Clinton administration announced the federal budget surplus for fiscal year 2000 amounted to at least $230 billion, making it the largest in U.S. history.

-- By Liz Harper, Online NewsHour

Related Report

U.S. Capitol Building
Current Budget Projections

The Congressional Budget Office's budget projections give the Congress a baseline against which to measure the effects of proposed changes in tax and spending laws. The projections start with the Congress's most recent budgetary decisions and show what would happen to the federal budget if no policy changes were made over the projection period.
-- Congressional Budget Office

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