| When
Spanish explorer Ponce De Leon waded ashore the east coast of Florida
in 1513 he dubbed the land "La Florida" in honor of "Pascua
Florida," the "flowery Easter" or "Easter Festival
of Flowers."
For Democrats
and Republicans in 2004 the word "Florida" still holds
an almost holy appeal and fervor, but for entirely different reasons.
For many Democrats,
the state is the site of electoral grand theft -- the place where
they believe voting irregularities and a halted recount cost 2000
presidential candidate Al Gore the presidency he rightfully earned.
Florida Republicans
on the other hand say that voters have given them a mandate to
run the state by electing Gov. Jeb Bush to two terms, and sending
GOP majorities to both houses of the legislature.
Though
both parties have made huge efforts to gain a solid advantage,
the state remains closely divided and its political profile continues
to be a changing portrait shaped by growth, migration and immigration.
The current
eclectic population is a reflection of the state's heritage. Throughout
its history, Florida has been under Spanish, English, French,
American and Confederate rule. Just as the European powers clashed
over control of the huge peninsula known for its riches and strategic
location, modern American presidential hopefuls battle for its
bounteous supply of 27 electoral votes.
More than
any other issue, growth has proven to be the key to Florida's
political history -- and no region of the state has grown more
rapidly than South Florida. Between the 1960s and 1980s, Miami
replaced Jacksonville as the state's political power center.
South Florida
had been a major retirement destination with elderly northerners
making permanent homes there. A large influx of Cuban exiles --
either fleeing or expelled by Fidel Castro -- also filled the
region from the late 1950s to the early 1970s. The Cuban community
proved to be economically and politically powerful. Miami-Dade
County passed a statute making itself officially bilingual --
codifying and legitimizing Cuban influence and culture.
The Cuban
community has also been solidly Republican in national elections
since the 1980s, but some of that allegiance has begun to erode,
especially among younger Cuban-Americans.
Cubans were
also just the first wave a large immigration boom, mostly from
Latin America and the Caribbean that has and is still changing
the region. This new wave of immigrants has made South Florida
more politically and ethnically diverse.
Central Florida
has also undergone a relatively recent and dramatic transformation
due to growth. In 1971, the region's rural landscape, dotted with
cattle ranches, gave way to the Walt Disney World resort behemoth.
In intervening years, resorts, theme parks, condominiums and golf
courses were built at a blistering rate, drawing both professionals
and service industry employees to the area in large numbers.
The
area has seen so much growth that "it is becoming its own
megalopolis -- a 'Tamplando' or 'Orlampa," wrote Michael
Barone in the Almanac of American Politics.
The region's population centers, clustered around Interstate 4
-- which bisects the state from Daytona Beach to Tampa -- are
inhabited by the most dense concentration of the state's coveted
"swing voters."
These voters'
"swing" tendency is determined by their middle class
economic status and diverse backgrounds. Worker-attracting industries
now range from tourism to agriculture to high tech. Rural farming
communities, ramshackle trailer parks, suburban subdivisions and
upscale resorts dot the landscape.
The Orlando
Sentinel has called the area "a region in name only, where
job growth has brought an assorted population of 4.6 million people
not united by jobs, family, background, or beliefs."
While groups
of voters in the rest of the state are widely considered to have
already committed to one candidate, the Floridians living along
I-4 seem to be an amazingly malleable group.
Its voters'
apparently open minds have also made the I-4 corridor some of
the most targeted political territory in the country. When national
candidates show up in the Sunshine State, they're usually a stone's
throw from the Interstate. The 2004 presidential campaigns have
also bombarded the region with millions of dollars' worth of ads.
In recent
years the growth and diversity of Central and South Florida has
started to spill into the northern part of the state. Panhandle
cities like Panama City Beach have reinvented themselves as spring
break destinations. Retirement communities are beginning to spring
up in North Central Florida areas that are predominantly rural
and Southern in culture.
Experts say,
however, that this growth has not rapidly changed general voting
trends outside the I-4 corridor. In fact, except for Central Florida's
voters, who could go in either direction at the polls in November,
the rest of the state is considered a virtual deadlock when it
comes to national politics. Republicans do well in the Northeast
and panhandle regions, while Democrats do well among non-Cuban
South Floridians.
This balance
has been demonstrated in recent statewide elections. The 2000
presidential election ended in a near tie. Jeb Bush has been elected
to two terms, but both of the state's U.S. senators are Democrats.
The almost
evenly split electorate will again test the state's notorious
voting system when citizens go to the polls in November 2004.
The presidential race and a U.S. Senate contest are expected to
draw large numbers of voters. Reforms put into place after the
2000 election seem to have some effect. Only scattered, minor
problems were reported during the 2004 primary election. But state
officials and observers have warned of potential problems related
to the aftermath of two major hurricanes that ripped through the
state in mid-August and early September.
--
Compiled
for the Online NewsHour by Jason
Manning
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