| To
the surprise of many, in one of the "reddest of the red states" when
it comes to presidential politics, the governor's mansion has been occupied by
a Democrat for the past 16 years. Indiana
voters appear to love ticket-splitting when it comes to state elections, according
to politics expert William Blomquist, an associate professor at Indiana University-Purdue
University Indianapolis. The state has one Democratic and one Republican U.S.
senator, and its congressional delegation breaks down to six Republicans and three
Democrats. The
perception that the state is solidly Republican is not true, Blomquist said, rather
it is solidly conservative. The state overwhelmingly votes for a Republican president,
but state candidates are almost always conservative, and there are parts of the
state where either Democrats or Republicans dominate. Northwest
Indiana with its steel industry and also a string of counties along Lake Michigan
are the major strongholds for Democrats, according to Blomquist. Indiana is the
number one steel producer, using heavy mills on the south shore of Lake Michigan
and other smaller mills across the state. The
other region with a large number of Democratic voters is rural southern Indiana
along the Ohio River -- voters there are typically attracted to the moderate Southern
Democrats.
The
Republican base has been central Indiana, Indianapolis and the suburbs and rural
areas surrounding the city. But this may be changing, according to experts. The
city of Indianapolis is trending Democratic lately, while Republicans are making
gains in the south, according to Blomquist. Recent
Election History Indiana
has voted for a Republican presidential candidate since 1964. Its closest races
were in 1976 when Gerald Ford beat Jimmy Carter 53 percent to 46 percent in the
state. Then, in 1996 Bob Dole beat Bill Clinton 47 percent to 42 percent in Indiana.
President Bush lost only 9 out of 92 counties in Indiana in 2000, beating Al Gore
57 percent to 41 percent. In
state races, however, the last 16 years of Democratic governors was preceded by
a 20-year run of Republican leaders in the state. Evan Bayh broke the Republican
stronghold when he won the governorship in 1988 -- with his strongest support
coming from southern Indiana and the northwest industrial area. When
Frank O'Bannon won the governorship in1996, he beat Stephen Goldsmith, the mayor
from Indianapolis, 52 percent to 47 percent. In the following election in 2000,
O'Bannon defeated Rep. David McIntosh 57 percent to 42 percent. Though
Indiana votes Republican in presidential elections because of its cultural conservatism
now, Republicans and Democrats battled over the state from the Civil War to the
New Deal. State
History The
state is still comprised of descendants of its original settlers -- Yankees from
Ohio and New England and so-called Butternuts from Kentucky and the South, according
to the Almanac of American Politics. While Yankees became Republicans and Butternuts
became Democrats, a similar trend remains today. Part
of the reason that much of the state is still comprised of relatives of its original
settlers is because immigrants did not typically move there during the 1840-1924
wave of immigration, with the exception of the area around Gary, Ind., which is
located near Chicago. Because
of Indiana's traditional values, in the 1920s sociologists Robert and Helen Lynd
chose Muncie to represent "Middletown" when they were looking for a
representative American town to study. The
Lynds studied why factory workers didn't vote against factory bosses. According
to the Almanac of American Politics, people voted with their cultural identity
and personal values that did not change, regardless of their current economic
status. The Lynds
returned to Muncie in the 1930s to study the impact of the Depression. Their interviews
found a city optimistic about its future and not at all revolutionary -- a stark
contrast to many parts of the nation that appeared highly unstable in the depths
of the Great Depression. Indiana
sits in the center of the United States' manufacturing industry. According to
the Almanac of American Politics, half of the country's manufacturing jobs are
east of Indiana and the other half west, then half to the north and half to the
south. With the second highest percentage of workers in manufacturing, it has
historically been hit hard by nationwide recessions. Some 180,000 jobs were lost
between 2000 and 2002 and after O'Bannon cut taxes during the time of economic
growth, he had to raise the cigarette, gambling and sales taxes.
This
year, as the two gubernatorial candidates -- incumbent Joe Kernan and Republican
Mitch Daniels -- fight for the governor's mansion they both will run on the same
theme -- that it's time for a change in Indiana. --
Compiled
for the Online NewsHour by Sheryl
Silverman |