Posted: January 9, 2008 12:05 AM
What Happened to Obama's Double-Digit Lead in Polls?
With Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., narrowly scoring a New Hampshire victory after polls and pundits had predicted a solid win for Iowa caucus victor Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., political pundits and news junkies are left to wonder: How could the polls have been so wrong?
Even in the early hours of New Hampshire voting, reporters were citing a Washington Post/ABC poll claiming that Obama had “surged” to a 4 point lead over Clinton. Polls in the months leading up to the vote sometimes put Clinton and sometimes put Obama at the head of the pack.
But just a day before the Granite State primary, CNN cited a poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire that claimed that Obama had opened up a double-digit lead on Clinton, but they interviewed only 341 people.
The NewsHour is tackling some of these issues in Wednesday’s program, talking with experts and analysts about the topic of how the polls compared with what reporters were seeing on the ground, among other issues.