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REGION: North America
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Online NewsHour
Vote 2008: Presidential Election Coverage

Presidential Race

McCain Closes Polling Gap on Obama

By Alexis Matsui on August 21, 2008

Four major polls reveal Sen. John McCain is gaining on Sen. Barack Obama’s statistical lead.

Sen. John McCain speaks at a town hall meeting; AP Photo

Polls published over the past week by the Wall Street Journal /NBC, The New York Times/CBS, The Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg” and The Pew Research Center have the candidates in a statistical dead heat with particular challenges emerging for each of the presidential hopefuls.

In the Wall Street Journal/NBC poll, Obama leads his Republican rival 45 percent to 42 percent, down from his six-point lead a month ago. Voters, according to the poll, are more confident in McCain’s potential as a commander-in-chief given his long military record.

The Arizona Senator, however, fails to inspire as much enthusiasm as Obama, the Wall Street Journal reported. The Los Angeles Times and Bloomberg had the same finding among Independent voters, who, in such a close race, could determine the next president.

“Sixty-one percent of the independents who support (McCain) say they are unenthusiastic about him,” the Los Angeles Times reported. Their poll shows Independents favoring Obama 47 percent to McCain’s 36 percent.

All four polls show the economy is by far the most important issue among voters, but the New York Times reported that voters feel both presidential candidates “aren’t paying enough attention to their priorities.”

“Both of them seem to more focused elsewhere, Iraq for one thing,” Democrat Truman Roe, 72, said in a follow-up interview to the poll, according to the New York Times.

The Pew Research Center gives Obama a slightly higher lead than his opponent with 47 percent to 42 percent, but it has fallen since late June.

There are two main explanations for McCain’s rise in popularity, Pew reports. The Republican base is beginning to coalesce behind their candidate, where they were largely divided before. Also, McCain’s image as a national leader has increased with his emphasis on foreign policy and campaign ads targeting his rival’s relative inexperience.

The Pew Research Center also says Obama has had a hard time gathering the Democratic base, many of whom may still be supporting former Democratic rival Sen. Hillary Clinton.
“Seventy-two percent of (Clinton voters) support Obama, compared with the 88 percent support level that McCain receives from backers of his former GOP rivals,” Pew reported.

Sen. McCain’s campaign is confident the polls reflect a promising outlook for their candidate. “The poll shows how wrong the Washington conventional wisdom has been on this race,” said Steve Schmidt, a senior McCain strategist, referring to the Wall Street Journal’s poll.

The Journal also reports Sen. Obama’s “aides say they aren’t panicking, or shifting strategy.”

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Comments

  • Posted:
    08/21/08 at
    11:33 PM
    cincigal74 : In watching the Jim Leherer news this evening,I was struck by the blatant bias shown by both so called anlyst and that of Leherer himself.It was all about Obama this and Obama that.They never mentioned that Obama is losing in the polls,nor that McCain is gaining.This is disgusting in the extreme.Obama is so clearly not fit to lead this country,yet the media,just as they did with Bush cant stop fawning over him.
  • Posted:
    08/22/08 at
    01:10 AM
    Political Update : I am sick of the daily political update segment on the News Hour with Jim Lehrer.Don't you think that your loyal listeners get tired hearing the daily interviews with talking heads" representing each candidate constantly repeating themselves.Please consider our intellegence.and cut back on this type of "non-news".Thank goodness for the mute button.
  • Posted:
    08/22/08 at
    08:02 AM
    Hilary Smith : McCain is nothing without his advisors and "surrogates." Every time he opens his mouth he�s either sticking his foot in or spewing some sort of incoherent gibberish. He�s a puppet. It absolutely blows my mind that Americans would be duped into four more years of this garbage.
  • Posted:
    08/22/08 at
    04:29 PM
    CynPro : Is there a republican based plot to make McCain look more appealing by shifting voters' focus off the economy (McCain's week spot) by using Georgia as a pawn to destabilize relations with Russia ? I've heard that McCain's lobbists were involved. After all, Georgia made the first military move, then Russia responded. Why is news media not making this clear to their viewers ? Will voters equate McCain's POW experience with stratigic capabilities ? Many privates have been POWs, but many would not have stratigic or diplomatic capabilities necessary to be a leader or commander-in-chief. I would not trust McCain as commander-in-chief. His tempriment seems prown to enable acting out emotional responces to further his own personal agenda, instead of protecting the welfare of US citizens. We need a good man in office, a man of good will, who will know and do the right thing for our people. We need a man who will bring the American people into his trusted circle and speak to us as adults. We've had all the shady, back room politics we can stand. I trust Senator Obama to step up and be the kind of president who will bring this country back to greatness. Heaven help us if McCain gets in.
  • Posted:
    08/27/08 at
    03:47 PM
    Barbara Devlin : It's pretty disconcerting that McCain would gain points based on his military record. Haven't the Americans learned that War doesn't solve the pressing issues of the day, like energy, health care, the economy, or education? I hope we are smarter this time when we go to the polls.
  • Posted:
    09/ 3/08 at
    04:50 AM
    NM-GunTotingDemocrat : Thank you for coving fully both the Democratic and Republican parties' national conventions, and for using the same team for analysis for ease of comparison. I am carefully watching both. I note Mark Shields made an observation tonight that the Republican crowd was more motivated against Obama than for McCain. I've been deeply disturbed by a Republican colleague of mine who frequently says "if that n----er gets elected..." I've had to ask him to stop speaking so un-Christian-like, which is shocking coming from someone who says he is a Christian and supports "Christian values". Can you evaluate this component of our fellow citizens? Thank you.
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