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REGION: North America
TOPIC: Politics
Online NewsHour
Vote 2008: Presidential Election Coverage

Presidential Race

Polls: After Palin Push, McCain and Obama in Dead Heat

By Alexis Matsui on September 9, 2008

The first round of news polls released since the end of the Democratic and Republican National Conventions last week show Sen. Barack Obama and Sen. John McCain nearly even in popularity as they head into the election’s final months.

Sen. John McCain campaigns in Ohio; AP Photo

Polls published by ABC News and the Washington Post and CNN show the candidates in a virtual dead heat.

In the Washington Post poll, Obama narrowly leads McCain 47 to 46 percent among registered voters, but the poll’s margin of error leaves the two at a statistical tie.

While Obama held a strong advantage earlier this summer, leading McCain at 51 percent to 44 percent in a CNN poll in late July, McCain’s popularity rose as the conventions approached. Heading into the Democratic convention, which kicked off Aug. 25, the two were deadlocked at 47 percent.

While the overall contest remains about even in the latest polls, the surveys also revealed shifts in important voting blocs since the party conventions began.

The Post found a significant shift among white women moving to support McCain, the apparent impact of adding Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin to the ticket.

“White women shifted from an eight-point pre-convention edge for Obama to a 12-point McCain advantage now,” the Post reported.

A CBS News poll, which re-interviewed a group of voters who had been surveyed before the conventions, also noted sizeable pay-off from the Palin pick, reporting that nearly half of those surveyed said “they have a better opinion of the Alaska governor” as a result of her convention address, while “just 16 percent say the speech gave them a worse impression of her.”

Adding Palin to the ticket may have also increased the McCain-Palin team’s appeal as Washington reformers.

“While Obama maintains a sizable 12-point advantage as the one who would do more to change government, that is down from a 32-point lead on the question in June,” the Post reported.

The Democrats are still ahead of the Republicans on enthusiasm for the election, the CNN poll showed. Sixty percent of Republicans said they are enthusiastic about the election compared to 71 percent of Democrats.

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Comments

  • Posted:
    09/21/08 at
    03:26 PM
    Julia Triplett : I am an active OLD feminist and much as I support women's rights, I would no more vote for a woman because she is a woman than I would vote for a man because he is a man. I vote on a candidate"s positions on important issues and hope others do the same.
  • Posted:
    09/22/08 at
    07:20 PM
    KuskoMan : I am so very curious why no one is talking about how Gov. Palin has been redistributing the wealth of the oil companies in Alaska but we hear her party harping on how the is EXACTLY what democrats are going to do when they get into office. The PFD this year was at a record number because It was Palin, after all, who last month proposed that lawmakers pay out a $1,200 resource rebate as a way for the state to share some of its multibillion-dollar oil revenue surplus with Alaska residents. So how is this different?
  • Posted:
    09/22/08 at
    10:46 PM
    Brigid : as a Democrat and strong Obama supporter, I see no choice but to focus on a female mayor anywhere in the US who is willing to ham it up for the cameras and who supports OBama. Enthusiasm only gets you so far. we need to WIN!
  • Posted:
    09/23/08 at
    03:30 AM
    Jim : If everyone would just look at the voting records of the two canidates you could see that there is only one Man, that is John McCain. Who cares if it is a black man, white woman, or an old white man. McCain is the only one of the bunch that has what the country needs. Leadership!
  • Posted:
    09/23/08 at
    08:06 PM
    rokko : I just still can't believe that almost half of the country rallies for these two... Appeal after appeal, yet no argument in sight!! It's amazing what the republican candidates have and are getting away with!
  • Posted:
    09/23/08 at
    08:46 PM
    Jerry : I plan on supporting my canidate with signs posted in yard as well as sending emails out. The emails I know can be deleted, but interesting enough, the signs in my yard get deleted as well. Oh well.... will always get more to put up.. GW8...MAC4...SP8!
  • Posted:
    09/23/08 at
    11:20 PM
    Joanne R : As an American who takes my privilege to vote very seriously, I wonder how many Americans are really doing their homework on the candidates rather than listening to all the hype! It scares me that so many are even considering Obama as a viable candidate. I hear that many think Palin is not qualified but in comparison with Obama, she is truly more qualified than him! People, this is serious! Please consider who is the candidate with the most experience. This should not be about party lines but rather about who is the most qualified to lead this great nation of ours! We cannot allow a novice to run this country just because we hear the word "change".
  • Posted:
    09/25/08 at
    02:24 PM
    donna : I DONT WANT JOHN CAIN AS PRESIDENT 1ST AND FOR MOST HE IS TO OLD...AND SHES TO NEW TO THE SYSTEM...WHAT HAVE WE HEARD ABOUT HER THAT WILL MAKE A PERSON THINK ABOUT WHO THEY WILL VOTE FOR.I HAVE HEARD OF BIDEN.. I DONT TRUST THE REP PARTY ANYWAY.IM A DEMOCRAT FOR LIFE....IF SOMEONE TELL ME IF I DONT MAKE 250,000 A YEAR IM POOR,, SHYTE THEN 90% OF US ARE CAUSE MOST OF US DONT MAKE 50,000 A YEAR...WE NEED CHANGE...
  • Posted:
    09/26/08 at
    04:39 PM
    Micael : Please send me polls for all issues, both parties. Thank you!
  • Posted:
    09/26/08 at
    05:40 PM
    Resa : Has anyone seen Palin's interview w/Katie Couric? That doesn't scare you? WOW it scares me. I want my president and vice president to be smarter than me, a multi tasker, and economically savy. None of the qualities John McCain or Sarah Palin process. As a woman, and mother of a daughter, I don't want someone else to make reproductive decisions about my body. Just like I don't want want someone to tell me how to vote. This is so simple to me, looking at the track records of both canidates the choice is easy. This has nothing to do with race or gender, it's common sense.
  • Posted:
    10/ 2/08 at
    05:31 PM
    amazed : Hey Resa. It is obvious you are a smart women. After all, that should be "None of the qualities John McCain or Sarah Palin possess." It is evident you have reviewed that facts and know Obama is less qualified than Palin, and he is the presidential candidate. Get real. We need someone who has a history of doing more than just speak and organize communities. As much as I hate the Idea of Mc Cain, it is much better than the alternative. Palin isn't much to speak of, but she has shown some ability to buck the corrupt political system. It we want to see corrupt politics, look up Obama's financial support information. This is very scary. He won't even reveal all of it because it is so corrupt. Mc Cain has displayed all of his to be reviewed and pushed for legislation to reduce such abuse of tax payers for personal profit.
  • Posted:
    10/11/08 at
    09:53 PM
    laura : Amazed: You might want to pick up a newspaper once in awhile and read it. Ya know, stay up on the issues, including corruption.
  • Posted:
    10/14/08 at
    01:12 PM
    gary sturrock : I HAVE SWITCHED TO THE McCAIN TICKET BECAUSE AS A "FREE" THINKING PERSON I JUST GOT SICK AND TIRED OF THE PURE BULL SHI__ THE OBAMA CAMP IS SPEWING!!
  • Posted:
    10/14/08 at
    01:16 PM
    gary sturrock : My fellow Democrats!! Quit Going for What Sounds good and go for What Is Right For OUR Country..Please?? No More KENNENDY Hog WASh ,PleaSe?? Give The Younger Generation Truth Not Spin...
  • Posted:
    10/16/08 at
    12:04 PM
    Cicero58941 : Obama all the way live! McCain never tells the American Middle Class what he is going to do for them. Obama speaks about what he will try to do for the American People that are in the middle class. I especially like the point Obama made last night. Bush stated, "No Child Left Behind," but Obama stated, "He left the children behind, and he also left the money behind." McCain and Palin are good for one thing, and is making attacks on the opponent. They are no good at letting the American Middle Class know what they are going to do for us. Bush has done nothing for us. He has done a lot for the Iraqi People. Why didn't the Iraqi People put his cheating behind in office? Bush rarely speaks about helping the American People. People still want a republican in office? WAKE UP PEOPLE!
  • Posted:
    10/17/08 at
    07:51 AM
    may : I would never vote for someone who does not hold the right of a baby to exist. Look how many babies were saved to go on to be a credit to society. I would never vote for a woman just because she is a woman-never vote for a man just because he is a man-never vote for an African-American just because he is an African-American-etc., etc., etc.
  • Posted:
    10/22/08 at
    11:26 AM
    Drew : I seriously considered voting for Obama until I learned that he wants to grant driver's license's and social security benefits to illegal aliens. As a natural born US citizen I have worked for General Motors for 28 years and contributed to social security for over 33 years. It burns me to think that someone who disregarded the due process of legally immigrating to the USA by sneaking in and without working as a US citizen for a single day is being considered to receive money that I contributed for my retirement. It scres me to think that Obama believes it is a good idea to give illegals the right to drive a car and move about as they please (even though they are here illegally). I am not thrilled with everything on Mccain, but he is a tested war veteran who has exhibited honest leadership and undeniable. devotion to this country. The change that Obama wants to bring is definately change, but it is change that no sensible person who has experienced the freedom we enjoy should desire. It is a call for socialism. This country did not become great because of socialism, but because of free-market trade, ethics, democracy (not to be confused with the Democratic party). No true American who believes in what our Founding Fathers fought for can support someone with Obama's views and plans.
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