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Mathline

Chances Are - Part 3 -
OH NO! Look Out Below for a UFO

Probability

Click here for Part 1 | Click here for Part 2

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Objective - Part 3

Students will predict and simulate the likelihood of an event occurring.

Overview of the Lesson

Students are introduced to the idea of using simulation to explore and express the probability of an event occurring. Using an inflatable globe of the earth, students simulate where a UFO would impact with the surface of the Earth. Will the UFO hit land or water? Students are encouraged to make predictions based on prior knowledge of the earth's geographical features. Students toss the globe one hundred times and catch it with open hands. The position of their right index finger represents the landing location of a UFO. Students then use the data that they have collected to evaluate and make predictions on where a UFO will impact the earth.