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Posted: Tuesday, January 10, 2012 - 8:40pm

The New Hampshire Primary Expecto-Meter

New Hampshire is all about expectations. I have my own (not that anyone asked or particularly cares). But I have them. I think they are valid.
I measure them on my Expecto-Meter. I use three sets of data. 1). Polling since the Iowa caucuses 2). How candidates finished in Iowa this year compared to polls taken before the caucuses 3). How candidates who ran in 2008 and are running now performed in Iowa and New Hampshire relative to polling data before that caucus and primary. 

Posted: Tuesday, January 10, 2012 - 8:40pm

QUICK TAKE: Senators Press E.U. on Iran Sanctions

A bipartisan group of eight senators is pressing the European Union to impose sanctions against the Central Bank of Iran and implement an oil embargo against the Islamic republic "as rapidly as possible" in an effort to derail Tehran's nuclear program.

Posted: Tuesday, January 10, 2012 - 8:40pm

Huntsman: Who Ever Thought I Would ‘Surge’?

After a long lonely spell in his bid for the Republican nomination, Jon Huntsman made his final appeal on Tuesday to voters in New Hampshire, where he has staked his hopes for a breakthrough win and a recent poll shows him with the potential to finish in the top three.

“Did you ever think you’d see this? When was the last time you heard ‘surge’ associated with ‘Huntsman?’ ” the candidate crowed at an elementary school in Manchester, which serves as a polling place.

Posted: Tuesday, January 10, 2012 - 6:40pm

Former Fannie Mae Attorney Joins Venable

Daniel Danello, a capital markets attorney and former member of Fannie Mae's general counsel's office, is heading to Venable from Ropes & Gray. Danello is joining Venable's corporate and financial services groups and will advise clients as Dodd-Frank regulations are rolled out. He worked for 10 years as associate general counsel to Fannie Mae's treasurer and has also served as senior assistant general counsel at Sallie Mae.
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Posted: Tuesday, January 10, 2012 - 6:40pm

QUICK TAKE: Senators Press EU on Iran Sanctions

A bipartisan group of eight senators is pressing the European Union to impose sanctions against the Central Bank of Iran and implement an oil embargo against the Islamic republic "as rapidly as possible" in an effort to derail Tehran's nuclear program.

Posted: Tuesday, January 10, 2012 - 5:40pm

Exclusive: Crossroads GPS to Spend Millions on Issue Advocacy This Year

The conservative independent advocacy group Crossroads GPS is preparing to spend millions of dollars this year to define issues ranging from health care to tax reform in a way that helps Republican candidates and sets the stage for legislative victories in 2013. The Karl Rove-backed nonprofit, the sister organization of the American Crossroads super PAC, is planning to share its new agenda with Republican House members, chiefs of staff, committee members and staffers, K Street and likeminded insiders starting early next week , but gave the Alley an early look

Posted: Tuesday, January 10, 2012 - 5:40pm

Dave Spence's Degree of Difficulty in Missouri

Given that the economy is the top issue in just about every statewide race right now, it's only natural for a candidate to tout his or her credentials on the subject.

If, say, you have an economics degree, it would be prudent to point that out -- as Dave Spence, Republican candidate for governor in Missouri does.

Posted: Tuesday, January 10, 2012 - 5:40pm

How Gingrich's Attack on Romney and Bain Backfired, Part II

In mid-December, when Newt Gingrich attacked Mitt Romney for profiteering off the backs of fired workers during his time at Bain Capital, it seemed like a suicidal move. With his poll numbers falling steadily, the former speaker seemed to be panicking, but going after Romney's private-sector experience was an unwise move -- one that managed to alienate both the party's activist wing, outraged that he was attacking a good red-blooded capitalist, and the party establishment, which saw in Gingrich the same loose cannon it had always seen.

Posted: Tuesday, January 10, 2012 - 5:40pm

Daley's Departure a Sign of Trouble for White House? Carney Says No -- VIDEO

At the White House briefing on Tuesday, press secretary Jay Carney deflected questions about the surprise departure of William Daley, chief of staff.

"While it was, as the president said, a surprise that Bill decided that this was the right time for him to go back to Chicago, a town he loves dearly," Carney said, "and while this was a surprise for the president, the fact is, it is because he has somebody like Jack Lew who can step right in and fulfill the chief of staff’s role that we will not miss a beat here in the West Wing."

Watch:

Posted: Tuesday, January 10, 2012 - 5:40pm