National Journal Online

The GOP's Hoffman Hex

Doug Hoffman, the conservative activist that spoiled the GOP's chances in a New York special election last year, may be hurting their prospects again despite suspending his campaign.

Democrats have been hoping that conservative third party candidates sink the GOP's chances in several targeted House races, and new polling suggests this race may be the most likely to achieve that goal.

Posted: Thursday, October 28, 2010 - 2:13pm

Anti-Pelosi Dem Caucus Expands To 17

The number of Democratic incumbents who have not committing to backing Nancy Pelosi for another term as House Speaker continues to grow, signaling that even if they hold on to the House, Democrats may seek a new leader.

All told, 17 House Democrats have either said that they flatly will not vote for Pelosi or would consider someone else. Another seven Democratic House candidates have said the same.

Rep. Heath Shuler (D-N.C.) -- who comes from a Republican leaning district -- is the latest Democrat to declare opposition to Pelosi.

Posted: Thursday, October 28, 2010 - 12:31pm

Starting Lineup: Defining "Obamacare" Down

Good Thursday morning. Five days out! Where's what on the radar today: The GOP's effective messaging on "Obamacare;" NRSC, DSCC make big final ad buys; Joe Manchin (D) closes strong in West Virginia; it's looking tight as a tick in Vermont; Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Mark Kirk (R) trade blows for the final time and Kendrick Meek gets a boost from an unlikely source.

Posted: Thursday, October 28, 2010 - 8:48am

Insiders Predict GOP House, Democratic Senate

Beat The Insiders

We asked National Journal's Political Insiders what to expect in the midterms. Republicans are the overwhelming favorites to capture the House but will fail to win the Senate. See what else we asked and try to beat the insiders at their own game of punditry. Play now »

Posted: Thursday, October 28, 2010 - 8:26am

CNN/Time Polls: Angle Surges, Colorado Senate Close

Republican Sharron Angle has surged to a four point lead in the Nevada Senate race, leading Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D) 49 percent to 45 percent, according to new polling.

The CNN/Time poll, released Wednesday, is particularly striking because it is the first public, live caller poll conducted in the Senate race in about two weeks. In previous polls, Reid and Angle had been in a statistical dead heat.

Posted: Wednesday, October 27, 2010 - 4:43pm

Whitman Learning Money Doesn't Buy Votes

Things aren't looking too rosy for former eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R) in the California governor's race. After investing over $140 million of her personal fortune, she has been lagging consistently behind former Gov. Jerry Brown (D), with recent polls showing her down by as many as 8 or 9 points. If Whitman loses to Brown next week, pundits will debate what prevented a Whitman victory in what looks to be a very Republican year.

Posted: Wednesday, October 27, 2010 - 3:50pm

Dart Drops Out, Easing Emanuel's Path To Mayor

Putting his parental duties ahead of his political aspirations, Cook County Sheriff Tom Dart stunned political observers in the Windy City on Wednesday by announcing he will not run for mayor of Chicago.

"I have found it impossible for it to be compatible between running for mayor and being a father and husband," said Dart, who has five children.

Posted: Wednesday, October 27, 2010 - 2:17pm

Five House Races To Watch On Election Night

With less than a week to go, there are more than 100 Democratic House seats at risk. But which seats will tell us early on Election Night just how much devastation there could be? Here's a helpful five-point scale to measure the storm, hurricane, tsunami, (insert natural disaster here) hurtling straight toward Democrats before the major networks call the House.

Posted: Wednesday, October 27, 2010 - 1:42pm

Polls: Bottom Falling Out For Dem Veterans

A cadre of veteran House Democrats is in serious risk of being swept out of Congress in a GOP wave this year, according to new polling out Wednesday.

On Tuesday, Hotline On Call reported that a spate of new polls suggested the bottom was falling out for Democrats. In most cases, Wednesday's surveys are another indication of the same trend.

Posted: Wednesday, October 27, 2010 - 12:57pm

Crossroads Makes Final $6 Million Ad Blitz

American Crossroads, the conservative group that has played a major role in this year's midterms, made $6 million worth of ad buys for the final week of the election late Tuesday night.

The two groups -- American Crossroads and its nonprofit organization, Crossroads GPS -- spent in both Senate and House races. Some of the buys -- like the one in Rep. Russ Carnahan's (D-Mo.) suburban St. Louis district -- show that the GOP is going after new targets.

Posted: Wednesday, October 27, 2010 - 10:19am