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John Harwood
December 7, 2004
John Harwood joined The Wall Street Journal
in 1991 as White House correspondent. He subsequently
covered Congress and national politics, and became National
Political Editor in 1997. He has reported on each of
the last five American presidential elections. (Read
John Harwood's bio)
Q: The intelligence bill was blocked in the House
for a while. Was the opposition widespread? What accounts
for the stall?
The intelligence bill was initially blocked in the
House not for lack of a supportive majority, but rather
for lack of the right kind of majority to suit Republican
Speaker Dennis Hastert. To maintain a cohesive Republican
caucus, the speaker wants to move to passage only legislation
that enjoys strong support within his party's ranks.
When the House considered the final compromise that
House-Senate negotiators had struck on the bill, Hastert
found that some conservatives led by Armed Services
chairmen Hunter and Judiciary chairman Sensenbrenner
believed the bill was flawed because it might interfere
with timely transmission of intelligence to troops in
the field and because it didn't do enough to stem illegal
immigration. As a result, he declined to let the full
House vote even though it was plain that enough Republicans
and Democrats together could have passed. This eventually
created a political problem for President Bush, since
he favored the bill and its delay was seen as a setback
for him. The president then began applying strong pressure
for its passage.
Q: House speaker Dennis Hastert enunciated a policy
last week which says Congress will pass bills only if
most House Republicans back them. Has a policy like
this been adopted before? What bills on the horizon
might see their demise due to this new practice?
Though all political leaders want unity within their
party's ranks, I don't recall past Speakers enunciating
such a policy. During the Clinton administration, for
instance, House Speaker Thomas Foley pushed through
the North American Free Trade Agreement with help from
Republicans even though a large share of the Democratic
caucus opposed the agreement. This doctrine poses a
major challenge for the enactment of President Bush's
priority goals of fundamental tax and Social Security
reforms, because many observers believe that both will
require bi-partisan support to be enacted. Given the polarization
that exists in present-day Washington, it is a near-certainty
that compromises drawing significant support from Democrats will
face opposition from some elements of the Republican
caucus.
Q: Conservatives and moderates in the president's
party supported him absolutely and enthusiastically
throughout the campaign season. Now that President Bush
is safely re-elected, do you expect this complete harmony
to last?
Even when it comes to complicated policy matters like
Social Security, permanent tax cuts, and the budget?
It will be difficult for Republicans to stick together
as they face real governing choices over the next couple
of years. One locus of conflict will be social issues,
since conservative mobilization played such a large
role in President Bush's victories. Moderate Republicans
are not eager for prolonged legislative debate over
issues such as gay marriage, believing they could alienate
swing voters, but such a debate will be tough to avoid.
Another flashpoint will be the budget deficit. The most
aggressive tax-cutting faction is less concerned about
the deficit than moderate Republicans and Democrats
alike are. On Social Security, a top Bush priority,
the solution gaining steam within the administration
-- heavy borrowing to finance a transition to private
accounts -- makes deficit hawks in both parties very
nervous as a threat to the nation's fiscal stability.
Q:A little-noticed provision on access to tax forms
stalled the entire federal budget. Apparently, the language
was inserted---with little or no oversight---in the
bill by a mid-level staffer. On average, how much legislation
is crafted by un-elected public employees? What safeguards
exist to prevent Senators and Representatives from voting
for legislation they haven't really read, let alone
written?
Given the scope and complexity of the legislation that
members vote on, unfortunately there's no way around
this problem. Members rely on legislative staffers to
draft bills reflecting their intent, and unforeseen
problems often arise. In this case, I believe the staffer
in question didn't intend for the bill to allow lawmakers
to read individual tax returns, but the phrasing of
that provision in fact appeared to allow it. The good
news is that when mistakes of this kind surface, it
is usually not especially difficult for Congress to
fix them.
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Washington Week panelists
answered questions about the essential questions
of the general election in 2004.
Michael
Duffy,
Washington Bureau Chief, TIME Magazine
September
7, 2004
John Harwood,
Political Editor, The Wall Street Journal
September 15, 2004
Jeanne Cummings
Political Correspondent, The Wall Street Journal
September 28, 2004
Richard Berke
Washington Editor, The New York Times
October 6, 2004
Karen Tumulty
National Political Correspondent, TIME Magazine
October 20, 2004
Janet Hook
Congressional Correspondent, Los Angeles Times
October 27, 2004
David E. Sanger
White House Correspondent, The New York Times
November 10, 2004
Election
2004 Full Coverage
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