Janet Hook is the congressional correspondent for
the Los Angeles Times' Washington D.C. bureau. Hook
began her journalism career in 1978 as the assistant
editor for The Public Interest. In 1983 she began
work for the Congressional Quarterly as senior writer.
(Read Janet
Hook's bio)
Q: Do you see the same kind of negativity in the
Congressional campaigns as we see in the presidential
one?
President Bush and John Kerry have not cornered the
market on mudslinging and scare tactics in campaigning.
Many of the competitive congressional campaigns this
year are also awash in negativism.
One standout is House race in north Dallas, which
pits two incumbents against each other - Democratic
Rep. Martin Frost and Republican Rep. Pete Sessions
- as a result of Republicans' successful drive to
redraw House district lines last year. The race is
extremely close - and very nasty and personal. Frost
has run a fearful ad showing the World Trade Center
burning, which accuses Sessions of undercutting post-9/11
air safety. Sessions has accused Frost of tax evasion
and more. They have even accused each other of dirty
tricks with each other's yard signs.
In the Oklahoma Senate race, Republican candidate
Tom Coburn -- who is a physician and former House
member -- was dealt a big setback when someone dug
up an old lawsuit that accused him of sterilizing
a woman against her will-a charge he denies.
In the Florida Senate race, during the GOP primary
Mel Martinez accused one of his Republican rivals
of being "the new darling of homosexual extremists,"
- just because he supported anti-hate crimes legislation.
In Washington state's Senate race, GOP Rep. George
Nethercutt has run an ad accusing Democratic Sen.
Patty Murray of being soft on Osama bin Laden.
Q: What impact is the latest round of redistricting
going to have on this year's Congressional races?
For most states, the last round of redistricting
took place after the 2000 Census; those district lines
were in place for the 2002 elections, and had the
effect of making all but a handful of House seats
safe for the incumbent. Those same lines will be in
effect in 2004 -- except in Texas. There, the legislature
redrew House lines in 2003 to make them more favorable
to Republicans.
It was very unusual and controversial move to redistirct
for a second time in a decade. Spearheaded by House
Majority Leader Tom DeLay (R-Texas), the new map gives
Republicans a chance to pick up several new seats
and puts five incumbent House Democrats at risk. The
Texas remap is crucial to Republicans' national strategy.
They expect to pick up enough new seats in Texas to
offset any seats they might lose elsewhere in the
country, which means they are almost guaranteed to
keep their majority in the House.
Q: What are the Senate races that you think voters
should watch which you didn't get to mention during
Friday's Washington Week?
Other interesting Senate contests include the one
in Colorado, a reliably conservative, pro-Bush state
where a surprisingly competitive race is being fought.
The Senate seat is open because Republican Sen. Ben
Nighthorse Campbell decided to retire rather than
run for reelection this year. The Republican candidate
in this tight race is beer magnate Pete Coors, a political
novice. The Democratic candidate Attorney General
Ken Salazar, a popular Latino figure who is well known
statewide. He has the political advantage of coming
from a rural part of the state, where Democrats traditionally
have had a harder time garnering support.
Another interesting race is in South Carolina, where
Democratic Sen. Ernest Hollings is retiring. The state
is very pro-Bush and conservative, so Republican candidate
Rep. Jim DeMint has been favored to win. But Inez
Tenenbaum, the Democratic state superintendent of
education, has running a stronger race than expected.
She has made a big issue out of DeMint's support for
replacing the income tax system with a national sales
tax - a change she charges would hurt middle class
families more than the wealthy.
Q: We're in the final stretch before election
day. Is it too late for the campaigns to persuade
undecided voters? Will the strategists turn their
attention to getting out the base? How does the proliferation
of early voting affect the campaigns' appraches as
they make this pivot?
It is getting pretty late for campaigns to persuade
undecided voters, but strategists are divided on what
the best end-game strategy is. President Bush seems
to be focusing more on energizing and mobilizing his
core conservative supporters - by, for example, focusing
on issues like abortion and gay marriage. John Kerry
seems to be trying to reach out to undecided voters
in the center - by speaking more of his religious
faith and trying to play up his image as a sportsman
who is comfortable with guns. The importance of the
final days of the campaign is limited by the fact
that so many voters exercise the option to vote early.
But the situation gives candidates another opportunity:
They can try to maximize turnout among their supporters
by encouraging them to vote early and helping get
them to the polls.