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July 2008 Archives

According to Zogby International's recent poll of likely voters, 46 percent of white born-again/evangelical voters, 32 percent of white Protestants, and 28 percent of white Catholics say choosing Mike Huckabee as a running mate would make them more inclined to vote for John McCain. Mitt Romney and Joe Lieberman also fared well with likely voters. Twenty-five percent of white Protestants and 23 percent of white Catholics say naming Lieberman would make them more likely to vote for McCain, and 34 percent of white born-again/evangelicals, 37 percent of white Protestants, and 32 percent of white Catholics say naming Romney would make them more likely to cast a vote for McCain. If Barack Obama were to choose Colin Powell as his running mate, 39 percent of white born-again/evangelicals, 49 percent of non-white born-again/evangelicals, 47 percent of white Protestants, 43 percent of non-white Protestants, and 48 percent of white Catholics say it would make them more likely to support the Democratic candidate. While 27 percent of white Catholics, 44 percent of non-white Catholics, 47 percent of non-white Protestants, and 22 percent of white born-again/evangelical voters say the selection of Hillary Clinton, Obama's former challenger for the Democratic nomination, would make them more likely to support Obama, 26 percent of white Catholics and 23 percent of white born-again/evangelicals say they would be less likely to support Obama if she were named, giving her just a 1 percent net positive with white Catholics, for example.

Zogby America Nationwide Poll of Likely Voters
Likelihood to vote for McCain if he chooses as his vice president Charlie Crist (Governor of Florida)
July 9, 2008-July 13, 2008
White Evangelical Born Again % Non White Evangelical Born Again % White Protestant % Non White Protestant % White Catholic % Non White Catholic % Other %
More Likely 6 2 4 2 8 2 5
Less Likely 8 11 14 25 8 7 9
No Difference 79 87 77 73 78 86 79
Not sure 7 0 5 0 6 5 7
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Zogby America Nationwide Poll of Likely Voters
Likelihood to vote for McCain if he chooses as his vice president Mike Huckabee (Former Governor of Arkansas)
July 9, 2008-July 13, 2008
White Evangelical Born Again % Non White Evangelical Born Again % White Protestant % Non White Protestant % White Catholic % Non White Catholic % Other %
More Likely 46 5 32 28 28 24 14
Less Likely 4 8 15 27 13 10 17
No Difference 48 86 51 45 58 66 65
Not sure 2 1 2 0 1 0 4
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Zogby America Nationwide Poll of Likely Voters
Likelihood to vote for McCain if he chooses as his vice president Bobby Jindal (Governor of Louisiana)
July 9, 2008-July 13, 2008
White Evangelical Born Again % Non White Evangelical Born Again % White Protestant % Non White Protestant % White Catholic % Non White Catholic % Other %
More Likely 6 0 5 0 5 5 5
Less Likely 7 7 11 25 7 5 8
No Difference 78 91 74 71 81 87 81
Not sure 9 2 10 4 7 3 6
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Zogby America Nationwide Poll of Likely Voters
Likelihood to vote for McCain if he chooses as his vice president Joe Lieberman (Senator from Connecticut)
July 9, 2008-July 13, 2008
White Evangelical Born Again % Non White Evangelical Born Again % White Protestant % Non White Protestant % White Catholic % Non White Catholic % Other %
More Likely 20 6 25 6 23 18 19
Less Likely 23 10 17 30 16 12 13
No Difference 53 82 55 64 61 70 65
Not sure 4 2 3 0 0 0 3
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Zogby America Nationwide Poll of Likely Voters
Likelihood to vote for McCain if he chooses as his vice president Tim Pawlenty (Governor of Minnesota)
July 9, 2008-July 13, 2008
White Evangelical Born Again % Non White Evangelical Born Again % White Protestant % Non White Protestant % White Catholic % Non White Catholic % Other %
More Likely 3 0 2 2 7 2 1
Less Likely 3 9 8 25 4 7 11
No Difference 87 90 81 73 81 89 84
Not sure 7 1 9 0 8 2 4
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Zogby America Nationwide Poll of Likely Voters
Likelihood to vote for McCain if he chooses as his vice president Bill Richardson (Governor of New Mexico)
July 9, 2008-July 13, 2008
White Evangelical Born Again % Non White Evangelical Born Again % White Protestant % Non White Protestant % White Catholic % Non White Catholic % Other %
More Likely 6 13 15 12 15 35 16
Less Likely 12 4 12 4 13 10 9
No Difference 79 75 70 80 69 54 69
Not sure 3 8 3 4 3 1 6
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Zogby America Nationwide Poll of Likely Voters
Likelihood to vote for McCain if he chooses as his vice president Mitt Romney (Former Governor of Massachusetts)
July 9, 2008-July 13, 2008
White Evangelical Born Again % Non White Evangelical Born Again % White Protestant % Non White Protestant % White Catholic % Non White Catholic % Other %
More Likely 34 9 37 18 32 13 12
Less Likely 10 8 10 25 8 10 13
No Difference 53 82 51 55 58 77 72
Not sure 3 1 2 2 2 0 3
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Zogby America Nationwide Poll of Likely Voters
Likelihood to vote for McCain if he chooses as his vice president Mark Sanford (Governor of South Carolina)
July 9, 2008-July 13, 2008
White Evangelical Born Again % Non White Evangelical Born Again % White Protestant % Non White Protestant % White Catholic % Non White Catholic % Other %
More Likely 3 0 3 0 3 5 3
Less Likely 7 7 12 27 5 5 10
No Difference 80 92 76 71 81 87 78
Not sure 10 1 9 2 11 3 9
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Zogby America Nationwide Poll of Likely Voters
Likelihood to vote for Obama if he chooses as his vice president Evan Bayh (Senator from Indiana)
July 9, 2008-July 13, 2008
White Evangelical Born Again % Non White Evangelical Born Again % White Protestant % Non White Protestant % White Catholic % Non White Catholic % Other %
More Likely 3 2 7 6 7 6 10
Less Likely 11 7 16 23 11 20 6
No Difference 78 87 70 66 75 71 77
Not sure 8 4 7 5 7 3 7
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Zogby America Nationwide Poll of Likely Voters
Likelihood to vote for Obama if he chooses as his vice president Joe Biden (Senator from Delaware)
July 9, 2008-July 13, 2008
White Evangelical Born Again % Non White Evangelical Born Again % White Protestant % Non White Protestant % White Catholic % Non White Catholic % Other %
More Likely 6 10 11 7 16 10 11
Less Likely 16 8 21 22 12 22 13
No Difference 74 74 65 69 70 68 69
Not sure 4 8 3 2 2 0 7
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Zogby America Nationwide Poll of Likely Voters
Likelihood to vote for Obama if he chooses as his vice president Hillary Clinton (Senator from New York)
July 9, 2008-July 13, 2008
White Evangelical/Born Again % Non White Evangelical Born Again % White Protestant % Non White Protestant % White Catholic % Non White Catholic % Other %
More Likely 22 26 23 47 27 44 39
Less Likely 23 22 41 14 26 25 14
No Difference 53 49 36 37 46 31 45
Not sure 2 3 0 2 1 0 2
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Zogby America Nationwide Poll of Likely Voters
Likelihood to vote for Obama if he chooses as his vice president Tim Kaine (Governor of Virginia)
July 9, 2008-July 13, 2008
White Evangelical/Born Again % Non White Evangelical Born Again % White Protestant % Non White Protestant % White Catholic % Non White Catholic % Other %
More Likely 5 0 8 3 7 13 7
Less Likely 11 12 14 23 10 11 8
No Difference 78 78 73 69 78 72 77
Not sure 6 10 5 5 5 4 8
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Zogby America Nationwide Poll of Likely Voters
Likelihood to vote for Obama if he chooses as his vice president Colin Powell (Former Secretary of State)
July 9, 2008-July 13, 2008
White Evangelical/Born Again % Non White Evangelical Born Again % White Protestant % Non White Protestant % White Catholic % Non White Catholic % Other %
More Likely 39 49 47 43 48 27 37
Less Likely 7 3 9 3 9 26 10
No Difference 52 47 43 50 42 47 51
Not sure 2 1 1 4 1 0 2
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Zogby America Nationwide Poll of Likely Voters
Likelihood to vote for Obama if he chooses as his vice president Kathleen Sebelius (Governor of Kansas)
July 9, 2008-July 13, 2008
White Evangelical/Born Again % Non White Evangelical Born Again % White Protestant % Non White Protestant % White Catholic % Non White Catholic % Other %
More Likely 4 6 3 26 6 9 11
Less Likely 11 9 16 5 13 13 6
No Difference 73 77 73 64 72 73 75
Not sure 12 8 8 5 9 5 8
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
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RELIGION & ETHICS NEWSWEEKLY managing editor Kim Lawton analyzes exclusive numbers from Zogby International about how some potential vice-presidential candidates could play among likely religious voters.

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Evangelical megachurch pastor and bestselling author Rick Warren announced this week he will host John McCain and Barack Obama at a forum on leadership and compassion to be held at Saddleback Church in Orange County, California on August 16th. This is the first scheduled joint appearance of the two candidates in the 2008 campaign. Warren said the format will be "civil and thoughtful" with no "gotcha questions." He said they will discuss faith and a broad range of "pressing issues" facing the country. In a 2007 interview with RELIGION & ETHICS NEWSWEEKLY, Warren described the wide-ranging political agenda he supports.

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Revisit R & E's September 1, 2006 profile of Rick and Kay Warren.
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In 2005, the IRS launched an investigation of a sermon preached at All Saints Episcopal Church in Pasadena, California prior to the 2004 presidential election. The sermon criticized the Iraq war and was structured as a debate between John Kerry and George W. Bush, moderated by Jesus. In September 2007, the IRS closed its investigation. It determined that the sermon was a one-time political campaign intervention, but it did not revoke the church's tax-exempt status. All Saints demanded a clarification and an apology, but so far the IRS has not responded. In this interview, All Saints Rector Ed Bacon says churches must speak out on political issues, even if that can be polarizing.

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Kim Lawton Religion & Ethics NewsWeekly managing editor Kim Lawton recently fielded questions from the PBS Engage audience on the role of religion in the public square:

Why do you think religion is so central in politics? Should it be?

Religion has been involved in American politics to one extent or another since the founding of the country. Many religious traditions teach that practitioners have a moral obligation to vote and to be involved in trying to make the world a better place. Religion deals with people's deepest-held beliefs, how they see the world, and that will inevitably affect how they see political issues too. One activist I interviewed recently told me, "My faith influences the friends that I have, the woman that I married, it affects my decision for a career, so why wouldn't it affect how I vote?" I think the question up for debate is not whether religion should be part of politics, but rather, how the two should interact, and what the appropriate boundaries should be. I think as a nation, we're still trying to work out the answers to that. Read More

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On July 3, John McCain delivered a video address to the National Right to Life Committee's convention in Arlington, Virginia. In these excerpts, he speaks about his unwavering position on pro-life issues and the "duty of our national leaders to protect human life." This past April, the pro-life organization's political action committee endorsed McCain because of his voting record on abortion. (Video courtesy of the John McCain campaign)

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RELIGION & ETHICS NEWSWEEKLY managing editor Kim Lawton describes how conservative evangelical leaders are finally beginning to throw their support behind John McCain, even though they don't like everything about him.

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RELIGION & ETHICS NEWSWEEKLY managing editor Kim Lawton discusses the growing concern among social conservatives that Barack Obama's "God-talk" is distracting voters from focusing on his liberal policy positions.

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Pepperdine University Professor of Constitutional Law Douglas Kmiec, a well-known opponent of abortion, shocked his fellow Roman Catholics when he announced his endorsement of Barack Obama. Because of that endorsement, a priest denied Kmiec communion. Los Angeles Cardinal Roger Mahony said the denial was "indefensible." Kmiec describes his feelings about the incident and says it was a "teachable moment." Also, he says it's appropriate to examine how a candidate's religious beliefs affect his or her politics.

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Georgetown University Professor of Government Clyde Wilcox talks about the inevitable links between religion and politics.  He says clergy who endorse candidates open their lives and their views to political scrutiny.  But he argues that candidates and their congregations deserve a right to privacy for personal worship.

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Rev. C. Welton Gaddy, president of the Interfaith Alliance discusses why religion can be so controversial in the context of a campaign. He says there are dangerous consequences when religion gets too political.

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In a July 1 speech at the East Side Community Ministry in Zanesville, Ohio, Barack Obama announced his plans for a new Council for Faith-Based and Neighborhood Partnerships that would offer wider government support to religiously-run social service programs.

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