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Road to Riches

Briefing

South Africa: Superpower on the Horizon? page 1 | 2

But some critics charge that South Africa is becoming the "America of Africa." No compliment intended.

Under President Thabo Mbeki, South Africa has become the leading force behind a pan-African movement meant to end conflict on the continent and stimulate much-needed economic growth. Mbeki's New Partnership for Africa's Development (NEPAD) proposes having African countries review each other's political and economic policies. If greater guarantees of peace and security are in place, the thinking goes, Western countries will increase investment. Eventually, Mbeki would like to see Africa become one giant economic community, similar to the European Union.

Critics charge, though, that NEPAD -- plus two South Africa-dominated organizations, the African Union and the Southern African Development Community -- could be used by the country to impose its political will on others. With a Gross Domestic Product of $412 billion, one of the world's largest stock markets, and a sophisticated infrastructure and manufacturing base, South Africa, they observe, looks more like a charging elephant than a sympathetic mentor.

But the role of mentor comes at a cost for this continental superpower, as well. With Africa's largest economy, South Africa is often left footing the bill for the work of the multilateral organizations it supports. The country keeps two battalions of peacekeepers in the Democratic Republic of Congo and Burundi, and is considering sending troops to the new UN mission in Liberia. The Burundi operation alone costs South Africa an estimated $100 million a year, which some critics say could be put to better use addressing domestic ills like crime, poverty, and illegal immigration.

Some also fear that, by acting as the continent's policeman, South Africa risks neglecting its own security needs."The fact is that the South African National Defense Force is already overextended with its current deployments," said Roy Jankielsohn, a spokesman for the opposition Democratic Alliance. "We cannot afford to commit further troops to foreign peacekeeping missions without seriously diminishing our domestic capacity, both in terms of border deployments and police support activities."

In recent years, South Africa's economic dominance has also brought hundreds of thousands of migrants flooding across South Africa's borders, exacerbating already high unemployment and leading to rising xenophobia. And South Africa's close ties with its neighbors always help investor confidence -- financial observers say fears of a spillover from recent instability in Zimbabwe contributed to a 42 percent depreciation in South Africa's currency, the rand, in the second half of 2001.

For now, Mbeki maintains that the benefits of South Africa's new role outweigh the costs. "Individual national interests," he told African leaders at the July 2003 African Union summit in Mozambique, must be kept "within the context of our continental and collective interests." As the dominant player in African politics and economics, South Africa considers its own national interests to be inextricably tied to those of the continent. Whether or not this bet pays off is South Africa's ultimate question.



Nicole Itano is a freelance reporter based in Johannesburg, South Africa. She is a frequent contributor to the Christian Science Monitor.


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