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Air date: June 20, 2003
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Investors appearing on the TV program select their favorite stocks every week, and sometimes their least favorite ones as well. We're tracking their TV picks online -- along with picks available only on this Web site -- so you can keep track of their choices and gauge their success (or lack thereof).

The stock charts, which update dynamically, start three months before the air date of the show on which the stock was picked. Click on each graphic to get a larger, one-year price chart.

These picks reflect the choices of individuals appearing on Wall $treet Week with FORTUNE, and should not be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. The comments for each stock reflect only the stock picker's views, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Wall $treet Week with FORTUNE, PBS, Maryland Public Television, or your local PBS station.


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Greg Forsythe, senior vice president, Charles Schwab & Co.:

 

Nextel



"Nextel is a growth company that's a little bit risky, but it's a free-cash-flow-positive company right now, with a reasonable valuation and improving fundamentals." Another one, it's more on the value side of the camp, would be Washington Mutual. This is kind of a low P/E, cheap, safe, stable type of company, but it continues to outperform analysts' expectations, and we view that as a positive."

 

Washington Mutual



"Another one, it's more on the value side of the camp, would be Washington Mutual. This is kind of a low P/E, cheap, safe, stable type of company, but it continues to outperform analysts' expectations, and we view that as a positive."

 

Federated Department Stores



"Federated Department Store is not really a fantastic company, but it is a great stock. And the reason we think that's the case is that first of all it's cheap. It's only selling at about 9 times earnings, yet the company has surprised analysts eight consecutive quarters by reporting earnings above expectations. And this is a superb free cash flow generator, which management is using that to pay down debt and buy back shares, all factors that we think are positive."

 

Kohl's (Note: Forsythe cited this as a pick to avoid, not buy)



"The flip side in the retail sector is an example of a great company which people often confuse with a great stock. So the company there I want to mention is Kohl's. A great track record and been a fast grower, but it's no secret the multiple is high. And yet what we're seeing is the first kinks that might detect they could be vulnerable to a negative earnings surprise. We see negative free cash flow. We see that their inventories, receivables, assets are all growing faster than their sales rate. That's a pattern that often precedes negative surprises."

Greg Forsythe


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Darts, thrown by Burton Malkiel and Geoff Colvin:

MALKIEL: (throws three darts) At least I hit the board.
COLVIN: You hit the board right in the center…
(reading the stocks hit by Malkiel's darts) KLM, presumably the airline. Keithley Instruments. And the one you threw earlier is Pengrowth.
(Colvin prepares to throw)
COLVIN: This is exciting, because if I understand you properly, basically Jack Grubman got paid $20 million a year to do what I'm about to do.
MALKIEL: That's right. (Colvin throws darts) Oooh, good.
COLVIN: (reading the results of his own throws) Now that is Eaton Vance. National Grid Transco, and the Nasdaq stock that I got was, oh, Electronic Arts, that's the big video game company. We just talked about them on the show a few weeks ago.
MALKIEL: This is a cute way of showing, in fact, what I am recommending is: Don't throw darts at all, throw a towel over the stock pages and buy something that holds absolutely everything, and that everything is something like the total stock market fund, which is usually indexed to something like the Wilshire 5000 Index.
COLVIN: (But) the point being, you pick (stocks) just as well this way as any other way if you're going to pick them.
MALKIEL: If you're going to pick them. But I wouldn't pick them (for a core portfolio).

KLM





Keithley Instruments





Pengrowth Energy Trust





Eaton Vance





National Grid Transco





Electronic Arts





GREG FORSYTHE: "I did look up some of the ones that he (Malkiel) threw darts at. He was talking about the idea of matching the market through that approach, and from my rating system, that's exactly what he would have done, because the stocks were all average, a C grade on our A through F scale."

Dart

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