Why There's No Climate Hoax

Why There's No Climate Hoax

Published April 18, 2018

Stephen Pacala: If I could show that the climate problem was wrong, It would be fantastic. I would become the most famous scientist probably in the world.

Just think about what the incentives are to a scientist who thinks that there might be a conspiracy within the sciences

Science is an adversarial process. You never win a Nobel Prize by showing that everyone was right all along. You win it by overturning something that everybody thought was right and turned out to be wrong. That's true of the climate problem too.

When I first started to work on this problem as a scientist, I put the evidence about the human cause of climate change into three different hoppers. One of the hoppers was, 'Yeah, this really supports the idea.'

The other was, 'No, this actually contradicts the idea.'

And the third was, 'There's a big unknown; I don't know.'

And 'I don't know' was the biggest. There was a lot in 'Yes,' but there were a few things in 'No.'

And since that time, the 'No's' have emptied. And so there is no alternative hypothesis that is strongly credible that I can bring to bear on this as a scientist.

No one can find a way to tear it down. And that's just the way that science works. Conspiracy is impossible.

PRODUCTION CREDITS

Digital Producer

Brian Kantor

Camera

Daniel Traub and Arlo Perez

DECODING THE WEATHER MACHINE

Written, Produced, and Directed by

Doug Hamilton

Co-Producer

Caitlin Saks

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