>>> WELCOME TO "METROFOCUS" I'M
I'M.
RAFAEL PI ROMAN.
NEW YORK IS STILL THE EPICENTER
OF THE NATION'S CORONAVIRUS
PANDEMIC BUT THE CURVE HAS
FLATTENED AND THE FOCUS
BEGINNING TO SHIFT TO THE
ECONOMIC CAUSED BY THE VIRUS.
WITH THE STATE STRUGGLING TO PAY
RENT, WHAT'S NEEDED TO RESTART
THE ECONOMY, JOINING US NOW TO
HELP ANSWER THAT IS CHASING THE
INITIATIVE ON POVERTY IN AMERICA
IS THE DIRECTOR OF
THE NEW SCHOOL OF JOURNALISM
GREG.
WELCOME TO THE PROGRAM.
ALWAYS A PLEASURE TO TALK TO
YOU.
>> ALWAYS A PLEASURE FOR ME TO
BE HERE.
>> SO, GREG, LET ME START WITH
THIS.
CAN YOU GIVE SUMMARY OF THE
ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF THE
LOCKDOWN FOR NEW YORK STATE AND
NEW YORK CITY?
>> THEY ARE DISASTROUS AND
THERE'S NO OTHER WAY TO PUT IT.
IN NEW YORK CITY SOMEWHERE IN
THE ORDER OF 700,000 PEOPLE HAVE
FILED FOR UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE
IN THE LAST SEVEN WEEK S. THE
STATEWIDE NUMBER OF PEOPLE ON
UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS ALREADY IS
1.6 MILLION.
IT MEANS
WE PROBABLY REACH 20%
UNEMPLOYMENT.
MAYBE A LITTLE BIT HIGHER THAN
THAT.
SO WHAT'S THE COMPARISON TO
THAT?
THE GREAT DEPRESSION.
WHEN NATIONALLY UNEMPLOYMENT WAS
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 20
AND 25%.
NOTHING SINCE THE GREAT
DEPRESSION HAS BEEN THIS BAD AND
OF COURSE NEVER HAS AN ECONOMY
FALTERED SO QUICKLY, NOT EVEN IN
THE GREAT DEPRESSION.
>> WOW.
SO NO PART OF THE STATE WILL
BEGIN TO OPEN UP THIS ECONOMY
UNTIL MAY 15, AT THE EARLIEST,
IS THAT RIGHT?
>> YOU ARE RIGHT ABOUT THAT.
AND THE PROSPECTS FOR DOWN STATE
ARE FOR LATER THAN THAT.
>> WOW.
SO AS YOU KNOW, GREG, THERE ARE
THOSE WHO ARGUE THAT WE MOVE THE
GOAL POST ON THE LOCKDOWN.
HERE AND ACROSS THE COUNTRY.
THAT WHILE ORIGINALLY THEY WERE
MEANT TO FLATTEN THE CURVE SO
THAT HOSPITALS WOULDN'T BE
OVERWHELMED, THEY SOMEHOW BECOME
A NECESSITY
IN PEOPLE'S MINDS, IN LEADERS'S
MINDS, UNTIL THE VIRUS IS
VIRTUALLY DEFEATED, THERE BY
DELAYING THE ECONOMIC RECOVER I
WHY.
DO YOU THINK THAT'S AN ACCURATE
PORTRAYAL OF WHAT IS HAPPENING?
>> I KNOW A LOT OF PEOPLE THINK
THAT.
I THINK PEOPLE DON'T WANT TWO
SHUT DOWNS, IN ECONOMIC TERMS
THAT COULD BE JUST DEVASTATING.
SO IF YOU'RE CONVINCED THE VIRUS
IS NOT ELIMINATED AND WE GO BACK
TO WORK WE'RE GOING TO HAVE
ANOTHER REOCCURRENCE TO SHUT
DOWN THE ECONOMY AGAIN, THAT'S A
REASONABLE POSITION TO TAKE.
I ALSO THINK IT'S WRONG THAT
MANY PEOPLE ARE EQUATING PEOPLE
DIEING AND THE ECONOMY DIEING AS
A CHOICE.
WELL, IT DOESN'T HAVE TO BE A
CHOICE.
THERE ARE WAYS TO MAKE SURE THAT
PEOPLE ARE ABLE TO GET THROUGH
ECONOMICALLY WHILE WE DO WHAT'S
NEEDED TO BE DONE WITH THE
VIRUS.
SO WHILE ECK FONOMICS IS MY
SPECIALTY I DON'T WANT TO TRUMP
THE PUBLIC EXPERTS ABOUT WHAT WE
NEED TO DO SO THOUSANDS OF
PEOPLE DON'T DIE THE PRESIDENT
SAYING WE ARE HEADED TO 100,000
DEATHS, HE'S NOT THE ONLY ONE
SAYING THAT.
>> SO WHAT WILL IT TAKE IN THE
NEXT FEW MONTHS TO BRING THE
ECONOMY BACK OR TRY TO.
>> NOTHING.
THE MOST IMPORTANT STEP WE HAVE
TO DO IS TO MAKE SURE THAT AS
MUCH AS POSSIBLE PEOPLE ARE
HOME.
SO ONE OF THE GREAT PROBLEMS IN
THAT REGARD HAS BEEN EMPL
EMPLOYMENT -- UNEMPLOYMENT
INSURANCE SYSTEMS WHICH WERE NOT
CAPABLE OF HANDLING THE LOAD.
MAYBE WE'RE FIXING THAT IN NEW
YORK.
BUT WITH THE $600 FEDERAL
BENEFIT THE MAXIMUM UNEMPLOYMENT
BENEFIT IN NEW YORK CITY THESE
DAYS IS ABOUT $1,000 A WEEK AND
A LOT OF PEOPLE CAN GET BY ON
$1,000 A WEEK SO THAT MAKES AN
IMPORTANT EFFORT.
AND AS THE GOVERNOR HAS BEEN
RAILING ABOUT FOR WEEKS NOW AS
WELL AS THE GOVERNORS OF
CONNECTICUT AND NEW JERSEY THE
FEDERAL GOVERNMENT IS GOING TO
HAVE TO HELP IN -- HELP THE
STATES DEAL WITH AN ENORMOUS
FISCAL PROBLEM.
IF WE DON'T GET HELP FROM THE
FEDERAL GOVERNMENT WHAT WE'RE
GOING TO SEE IS WIDESCALE LAY
OFFS, SO CITY AND STATE WORKERS,
TEACHERS, ET CETERA, BECAUSE NEW
YORK STATE BUDGET FOR EXAMPLE
HAS A $10 BILLION HOLE.
SO IF WE DON'T GET THAT,
RECOVERING IS GOING TO BE REALLY
HARD.
BECAUSE JUST WHEN THE ECONOMY
STARTS TO PICK UP A MILLION
OTHER PEOPLE, HUNDREDS OF
THOUSANDS OF OTHER PEOPLE WILL
LOSE THEIR JOB.
THE THIRD MOST IMPORTANT THING
IS HELP FOR SMALL BUSINESSES.
THERE'S BEEN ENORMOUS COVERAGE
OF THE DISASTER OF THE SMALL
BUSINESS LOAN PROGRAM BUT I'VE
BEEN TALKING TO SMALL BUSINESSES
AND COLLEAGUE AND I HAVE BEEN
FOLLOWING SIX TO EIGHT
COMPANIES, NOT ONE OF WHICH HAS
GOTTEN A SMALL BUSINESS LOAN AS
OF THIS MOMENT.
WELL, IF SMALL BUSINESSES DON'T
REOPEN WE'RE NOT GOING TO HAVE
MUCH OF A RECOVERY.
I'VE BEEN TALKING A LOT TO A
PRINTING COMPANY IN THE BRONX
CALLED BRONX DESIGN, THEY SHUT
DOWN EVEN EARLIER THAN THE ORDER
BECAUSE THEIR BUSINESS DRIED UP.
IT'S A HUSBAND AND AND WIFE AND
THEIR DAUGHTER AND FOUR
EMPLOYEES.
THEY DON'T KNOW IF THEY CAN
REOPEN AND THEY HAVEN'T GOT A
DIME OF HELP YET.
SO IF BUSINESSES LIKE THAT CAN'T
REOPEN THEN THOSE FOUR PEOPLE
WON'T HAVE JOB THAT'S THEY HAD
BEFORE.
THOSE ARE THE THINGS THAT ARE
REALLY IMPORTANT.
>> QUICKLY, IS THERE ANYTHING
NOT DONE.
>> WELL WE NEED TO GET THOSE
SMALL BUSINESSES LOANS.
WE NEED TO GET THE UNEMPLOYMENT
SYSTEM WORKING SO THAT PEOPLE
ARE GETTING THE BENEFIT TO PAY
GROCERIES AND PAY THE RENT.
THOSE ARE THE THINGS THAT HAVE
NOT BEEN DONE YET.
AND OF COURSE WE NEED THE
REPUBLICANS IN WASHINGTON TO
AGREE, YES, THERE HAS TO BE SOME
AID TO THE STATES.
>> THEY DON'T WANT TO GIVE IT,
AT LEAST SO FAR THEY SAID THEY
DON'T WANT TO GIVE IT BECAUSE
THEY SAY ESPECIALLY THE BIG BLUE
STATES LIKE NEW YORK HAVE BEEN
PROVE GATED IN THEIR SPENDING IN
THE PAST AND THAT IF THEY WANTED
THEN MAYBE THEY SHOULD CUT THE
SPENDING.
DO YOU THINK THEY HAVE SOME
MERIT TO THOSE ARGUMENTS?
>> WELL, THAT DEPENDS, I THINK
IT'S A REALLY BROAD BRUSH.
ARE THERE STATES WHO ARE
MISKREENTS WHO HAVEN'T PAID
THEIR PENSION BILL, YOU BET.
KENNEL KEN, MITCH McMcCONNELL'S
STATE HAS THE WORST FUNDED
PENSION --
ILLINOIS ACTUALLY MADE THIS VERY
DIFFICULT BECAUSE THEY ASKED FOR
MONEY TO PAY THEIR PENSION BILLS
WHICH THEY HAD NOT PAID BEFORE.
BUT FOR MOST STATES IT'S ABOUT A
DECLINE IN REVENUE.
IT'S A DECLINE IN REVENUE THAT
THEY HAD NO ABILITY TO CONTROL
OR DEAL WITH.
>> SO YOU THINK THE REPUBLICANS
WILL BEND AND THE MONEY WILL
COME?
>> I DON'T KNOW WHAT WILL HAPPEN
ON THAT FRONT BUT I KNOW THE
PRESSURE WILL MOUNT AS
GOVERNMENTS CAN'T PAY THEIR
BILLS.
>> RIGHT.
WELL, IN SPEAKING ABOUT THE
STEPS HE'D LIKE TO TAKE TO
REBUILD THE CITY'S ECONOMY,
MAYOR de BLASIO SAID NEW YORK
CITY DOESN'T JUST NEED A RE
RECOVERY IT NEEDS TRANSFORMATION
FOR LONG-STANDING DISPARITIES,
SAME ARGUMENT SINCE TAKING
OFFICE IN 2014, WHAT DO YOU
THINK?
IS THIS THE TIME FOR
TRANSFORMATION IN OUR ECONOMY.
>> I TELL YOU THIS, THAT SPEECH
WENT OVER TERRIBLY OVER BUSINESS
PEOPLE, FELT COMPLETELY IGNORED
BY HIS TASK FORCE WHEN HE
OUTLINED THAT.
S ALMOST AS IF HE WANTS TO
PROCEED WITH REOPENING THE
ECONOMY WITHOUT INCORPORATING
CIVIC AND BUSINESS LEADERS IN
HOW TO DO IT.
SO I THINK HE SQUANDERED A MAJOR
OPPORTUNITY AT THAT POINT.
NOW, THAT IS NOT TO SAY THAT THE
IN EQEQUITIES THAT HAVE BEEN ALS
EXISTING AND HAVE BEEN
DEMONSTRATED BY THIS AREN'T A
BIG PROBLEM AND I THINK EVERY
PEOPLE, EVERYONE WOULD RECOGNIZE
THAT.
BUT REMEMBER, ON ALL THESE
COUNTS, NEW YORK IS BETTER OFF
THAN OTHER PLACES.
WE HAVE A MUCH BETTER SAFETY
NET.
WE HAVE WAYS TO GET PEOPLE FOOD.
WE HAVE CASH PAYMENTS.
WE HAVE ENORMOUS PROTECTION FOR
TENANT THAT'S DON'T EXIST
ELSEWHERE IN THE CITY.
WE HAVE A ROBUST MEDICAID
PROGRAM AND THE DISPARITY
NUMBERS, WELL, THEY'RE NOT GOOD
IN NEW YORK, THEY'RE BETTER THAN
IN MANY OTHER PLACES IN THE
COUNTRY.
SO IT'S A TOUGH ISSUE BUT WE
HAVE TO ADDRESS THESE ISSUES.
BUT IF THAT IS THE FOCUS I THINK
THE REBUILDING AND THE RECOVERY
OF THE CITY WILL BE SETBACK, NOT
ENHANCED.
>> GREAT.
AS YOU SAID, IT'S TRUE THAT SOME
OF THOSE DEVICE HAS BEEN
REALLY -- OF THOSE DIVIDE HAS
BEEN REALLY EXPOSED.
THE DIVIDE WITH HEALTH CARE.
ONE GROUP HAS HAD GOOD HEALTH
CARE AND THOSE WHO HAVEN'T ARE
SUFFERING THE CONSEQUENCES OF
THIS PANDEMIC MUCH MORE.
SOME OF US CAN WORK AT HOME,
SOME CAN'T.
WITH ALL OF THE IMPLICATIONS OF
RISK AND THAT.
BUT LISTEN, THERE'S ALSO ANOTHER
DIVIDE, YOU TOUCHED ON THE
HOUSING DIVIDE.
ASIDE FROM THE LOSS OF
BUSINESSES AND JOBS, THE
ECONOMIC CRISIS THREATENING THE
LOSS OF HOUSING PARTICULARLY FOR
TENANTS.
AS YOU KNOW AROUND THE COUNTRY
AND HERE IN NEW YORK THERE'S
ACTIVISTS AND ELECTED OFFICIAL
WHO'S ARE SPEAR HEADING OR
PUSHING RENT STRIKES TO DEAL
WITH THAT PROBLEM.
IS THAT THE CORRECT APPROACH?
>> NO IT'S NOT.
I JUST SPENT LAST WEEK TALKING
TO SMALL LANDLORDS AROUND TO
CITY AN THE QUESTION I WANT
PEOPLE TO ASK IS SO WHAT HAPPENS
WHEN TENANTS DON'T PAY THEIR
RENT?
WHAT HAMS
WHAT HAPPENS TO THE BILLS
LANDLORDS HAVE.
IT'S AS IF PEOPLE THINK EVERY
LANDLORD IS A BILLIONAIRE.
WELL THERE'S LOTS OF PEOPLE WHO
MANAGE TWO BUILDINGS OR 150
APARTMENTS, THEY HAVE MORTGAGES
TO PAY, THEY HAVE MAINTENANCE
COST TO TAKE CARE OF, THEY HAVE
ENORMOUS PROPERTY TAX BILLS.
I TALK TO SOMEONE THIS WEEK
WHOSE RENT ROLL, 60% OF THE
MONEY HE COLLECTS EACH MONTH
GOES TO PROPERTY TAXES AND HIS
WATER BILL.
AND SO WHEN THE LANDLORDS CAN'T
MEET THEIR OBLIGATIONS WHAT
HAPPENS NEXT?
WELL LOTS OF TRADESMEN WILL LOSE
THEIR JOBS BECAUSE THEY WON'T
GET EMPLOYMENT TO FIX UP
BUILDINGS.
BUILDINGS WILL DETERIORATE.
MAYBE MORTGAGES WILL GO INTO
DEFAULT.
IT'S NOT A GOOD SCENARIO.
LOOK, PEOPLE NEED HELP PAYING
THE RENT.
THE UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS ARE
PART OF THE SOLUTION.
MAYBE THERE NEEDS TO BE BIGGER
SOLUTIONS.
MAYBE WASHINGTON COULD COME UP
WITH WAYS TO HELP PEOPLE PAY THE
RENT.
THERE'S ONE OTHER POINT THAT
TENANT ACTIVISTS HAVE REALLY
MISSED AND I THINK CREATED A LOT
OF TROUBLE.
WHICH SOMEONE FROM THE FUHRMAN
CENTER TOLD ME LAST WEEK, YOU
KNOW, IT SHOULD BE TENANTS AND
LANDLORDS TOGETHER GOING TO
WASHINGTON DEMANDING HELP.
TENANTS AND LANDLORDS FIGHTING
OVER WHAT TO DO WILL NOT LEAD US
TO A SOLUTION.
AND YOU KNOW, I -- THE SENATE
NUMBER TWO PERSON IN THE STATE
SENATE, MICHAEL GIA NERIS IS ONE
OF THOSE CALLING FOR A RENT
WAIVER BUT I NEVER HEARD HIM SAY
HOW WE'RE GOING TO FINANCE THE
RENT WAIVER.
I THINK THAT'S PRETTY
IRRESPONSIBLE.
>> YEAH.
ALL RIGHT.
WE HAVE LESS THAN A MINUTE LEFT
BUT I HAVE TO ASK THE QUESTION,
AFTER 9/11 THERE WAS SENTIMENT
AROUND THE COUNTRY THAT CITIES
WERE DONE, THAT THEY WERE
HISTORY, OF COURSE NEW YORK CITY
PROVED THAT WRONG BECAUSE WE HAD
A BOOM OVER THE LAST 20 YEARS.
DO YOU BELIEVE THAT AFTER THIS
CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC IS OVER
WE'RE GOING TO PROVE THAT WE CAN
REBOUND YET AGAIN?
>> I HOPE SO BUT I'M NOT
CONFIDENT.
I'M NOT CONFIDENT BECAUSE, YOU
KNOW, YOU'RE WORKING FROM HOME,
AND I'M WORKING FROM HOME, WELL,
AFTER 9/11 PEOPLE SAY WE WILL
WORK FROM HOME BUT THE
TECHNOLOGY WASN'T THAT GOOD, WE
COULDN'T HAVE DONE THIS
INTERVIEW AFTER TERROR OF 9/11
BUT TODAY WE CAN.
I THINK THE RISK IS GREATER.
PEOPLE ARE CONFIDENT THAT
THEY'RE SAFE IN THE CITY THEN I
THINK WE'LL BE OKAY BUT I DON'T
KNOW WHEN THAT WILL BE.
>> WE HAVE TO END IT THERE,
RICK, THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR
JOINING US TODAY, AS ALWAYS BEEN
A PLEASURE.
>> BEEN A PLEASURE FOR ME.