Common Myths of the Middle Class Explained in Jim Tankersely’s New Book

As tens of millions of Americans face unemployment, President Trump continues to claim that the economy has been the “strongest ever” on his watch. Journalist Jim Tankersley might disagree. His new book, “The Riches of This Land,” tells the story of what exactly has happened to America’s middle class. He joins Michel Martin to explain the fallacy of restricting immigration to boost wages.

TRANSCRIPT

CHRISTIANE AMANPOUR: Now, as tens of millions of Americans remain jobless, President Trump continues to claim that the economy has been the strongest ever on his watch. Well, our next guest disagrees. Jim Tankersley is an economics reporter who’s now written a book called “The Riches of This Land,” which tells the story of what happened to America’s middle class. Here he is talking to our Michel Martin about that and about why he thinks restricting immigration to boost wages is a myth.

MICHEL MARTIN: Thanks, Christiane. Jim Tankersley, welcome. Thank you for joining us.

JIM TANKERSLEY, AUTHOR, “THE RICHES OF THIS LAND”: Thank you so much for having me.

MARTIN: I want to talk about the book, obviously, because it’s a decade in the making. It ties together some of these really powerful trends in the economy that I think everybody has seen, but didn’t necessarily understand. And one of the fascinating arguments that you make in the book is that the president could have achieved the kind of remarkable economic growth, broad-based economic growth that he brags about. You say he actually didn’t, but he could have. Explain that, please.

TANKERSLEY: Well, I think we should start there with what the president promised and what he actually delivered. The president promised that he was going to have the economy growing at 4, 5, even 6 percent a year. He promised he was going to pay off the entire national debt in eight years. He promised he was going to bring millions of jobs back from China and Mexico. None of those things have happened. What the president did instead was preside over for three years the tail end of an economic expansion that he kept going with fiscal and monetary stimulus, and which produced very similar results to the second terms of George W. Bush or Barack Obama in terms of economic growth and employment growth. It just so happens that President Trump started in a much better position than either of those presidents had started. So, he did fine for three years, but he did not deliver the unprecedented performance that he said he would. The argument in the book, though, is that the president wasn’t really focused on what we know from American history is the secret formula to creating broad-based prosperity that lifts millions of people in the middle class. And that formula, which was played out in the aftermath of World War II and all the way through the 1970s, is that, if you seek to empower workers who have been shut out of opportunity in the American labor force, particularly women of all races and men of color and immigrants, if you seek to empower them, and break down the barriers of discrimination and structural barriers that hold them back in the economy, that unleashes them to work more, to produce more, to be more productive. And that creates the sort of sustainable growth with low unemployment that lifts millions of people in the middle class. The president wasn’t focused on that formula. A lot of his policies had gone in the other direction that. And so I think he’s missed an opportunity to repeat that success.

MARTIN: Your book makes some extremely powerful arguments. And you state them in no uncertain terms. I’ll just read from the very beginning. You say: “My reporting uncovered lies that have poisoned our national economic debate for decades, long before this latest recession, but which left us weak and vulnerable when the recession hit.” You say, in fact, that the real story of the middle class is not the story of elite white men doing elite white man things, but it’s the reality of the sort of remarkable expansion of the American middle class lies with groups, certain groups, women, people of color, black people in particular, and immigrants. So, talk about it. So, first, I want to ask to say, what is the lie that you say has been peddled all these years? And then, of course, I’m going to ask you to turn around and tell me, what’s the truth?

TANKERSLEY: Well, the great lie of the American economy — and, really, you can trace it all the way back to the founding of the republic and before — is the idea that, if you are a certain type of working-class American, your prosperity is most threatened by a different type of working-class American who doesn’t look like you. And, specifically, it’s a lie sold to white men, white working-class men, being told that women and men of color and immigrants are a threat. They’re stealing your job. They’re stealing your prosperity. They are making things worse for you. And we have seen it over decades, over centuries. And it is always elite white men, the people who run the country, which, in the founding of the country, that was a group largely just sort of white male landholders. Now that group sort of shorthands to elite white college graduate men. But they have used this idea of pitting groups of workers against each other to keep workers down and essentially keep the elites at the top of the economy. But the truth is the opposite. The truth is that, when distressed workers, workers who have been held back for a really long time, are allowed to get ahead, everyone benefits, including other working-class Americans. And so the way to say that in very blunt terms about today’s economy is, it would be better for struggling white male workers in Ohio or Michigan or Wisconsin, it would be better for them if we had more opportunity for immigrants, more opportunity for women, more opportunity for black Americans, because they would create themselves growth and job opportunities that would lift up those men who have been — rightly feel like they have been left behind in this economy.

MARTIN: You start with a fascinating story that I’m embarrassed to admit I never heard before about the tobacco workers in Winston-Salem, North Carolina, in 1943. These were women who worked at the R.J. Reynolds company. And just as briefly as you can, tell me what happened.

TANKERSLEY: It’s an amazing story. And I found it in oral histories that have been compiled by a researcher named Robert Korstad and his associates in North Carolina.And it’s amazing. So, it’s, we’re in the middle of the war. And black women essentially make the R.J. Reynolds tobacco factory run. And they have a very hard job of feeding tobacco — pull things out of boxes and feed it into a big machine. And they have very low pay and no breaks, other than to go to the bathroom and a little bit for lunch during the day. They don’t even get paid time off to have — like on the day they are due to give birth. And they are — there are many cases that the workers describe of women getting very sick and going to their supervisors and asking to go to the nurse or go home or whatever and being told, no, get back to work. And if you don’t get back to work, we will fire you. They point to the door and basically say, you will be out the door. So, on this sort of extraordinary day, these women are planning a labor action, and because of a woman’s experience of being told to go back to work, this single mom who is trying to provide for her family. And so the instigator of this all, Theodosia Simpson, gets her friends together. And they stop. They just — the machines are supposed to come back on after lunch, but they refuse to turn them on. And then, very quickly, all of the machines are shut down. And, pretty soon, the entire plant is offline. And now the management has to deal with these workers, who end up joining a union and bargaining for better wages and better benefits, which lift up not just those black women, but all of the workers at the plant, including white men.

MARTIN: Here’s the point that you make. The point that you make is, the black woman at this plant were the lowest paid, has some of the dirtiest jobs, the least desirable jobs. But when they put their lives on the line to organize, everybody’s benefits improved, the white men, the white women. Everybody who worked there achieved the benefit from this behavior, from this action on their part. OK, give us an example of why you say that the president — not just this administration, but let’s just focus on this administration, because they have had the wheel for three years — could have unleashed this boom that has not occurred. Are there certain things that he could have done that would have helped set these things to rights?

TANKERSLEY: The president talked, for example, at times about trying to do something about the child care crisis in our country, something that has been absolutely exacerbated by this pandemic. I think it is one of the most important areas of policy for unleashing women’s participation in the labor force. If we had more abundant, less expensive child care in this country, whether through government subsidies or deregulation or a combination of both, we would be able to solve in large part the issues that hold working mothers back in the work force. And we know from economic research that those losses are large. We have really talented women who essentially have to leave the work force to deal with the broken child care system in this country, not because they want to, but because they are forced to by economic circumstance. If he had made that an early on focus on policy, first off, there probably would have been a lot of bipartisan support for it. It’s an issue that pulls very well. But, second off, it would have freed up those workers to do much better. And I think the other area where — we have talked a little bit about this, but immigration policy is certainly an area where the president believes something that the economic research strongly disagrees with, which is that restricting immigration, the president believes, will boost everyone’s wages. The opposite it sure looks like is true in all the research that we have. And if he had made a concerted effort to let in a lot more particularly highly skilled entrepreneurial immigrants in the last three years, we’d have more companies being formed, all sorts of really positive developments for innovation and entrepreneurship that I think would have dramatically helped the economy.

MARTIN: The reality of it is that immigration in the last decade has included people from both groups. It’s included a lot of people who are not highly skilled, who are not highly educated, and as well as people who are highly skilled who come in through of a different pathway, OK? OK. But so the argument is that, if you bring in a lot of labor competition, why wouldn’t that suppress wages for the people who are already here, particularly people who are similarly situated, your less well-educated American citizens or your less well-educated immigrants of longer tenure? You’re saying that that’s not true?

TANKERSLEY: Well, I mean, look, I’m going to be certain about what the research says. There are some wage effects for a short term on particular groups, native- born Americans who didn’t finish high school, for example, small group, but a group that appears to be in competition with recent lower-skilled immigrants for jobs and sort of — and previous waves of immigrants also seem to have a little bit of a wage impact. But those are not large. But this is — I think the whole fallacy of the immigration debate is the idea that American workers are competing for a finite number of jobs. And that’s just not true. There’s not some set number of jobs in the United States. When immigrants come in, we see, they don’t just take jobs. They also spend money. They also start businesses. They are drivers of economic growth. And sort of think of it intuitively. If we just got rid of half the people in America right now and sent them to Canada, we don’t think the economy would go much better for all the workers who are left. So, it is — the idea that restricting the supply of immigrants is necessarily going to boost wages for the people who are here rests on the idea that there’s this finite pool of jobs, which just isn’t true. And it ignores those positive spillover effects, again, both in terms of demand and actually spending money, but also in terms of entrepreneurship, that immigrants of all skill levels bring to the United States.

MARTIN: The other argument that you make in the book — and it’s actually a very depressing one — you argue that failure to take racial discrimination seriously, even to this day, has had a devastating impact on the economic mobility of African-Americans. In fact, you cite one study conducted by a person who actually worked in the Trump administration that said that the economic mobility for black people is actually no better than it was in 1876, which is a really disturbing thing to contemplate. But how is that possible? Because, again, I know that maybe it sounds like a ridiculous question, but people say — it’s the classic, what about Oprah?

TANKERSLEY: Right.

MARTIN: What about Beyonce? So, tell me why that is. Why — how could that be true?

TANKERSLEY: Well, when we talk about economic mobility, we’re not talking about, what’s the nice way to put this, outstanding outliers. We are talking about averages. And so the question that this researcher Marianne Wanamaker at the University of Tennessee and a co-author were examining was, what is the likelihood that a black man — and they always study men because it’s easier in genealogical things over time to do that — that a black man can rise above the economic station, basically, of his father, born into a particular circumstance, and how does that compare with the mobility that white men experience over time? And what they find is that the economic mobility prospects for a typical black man have not changed since Reconstruction, which is just, like you said, wildly depressing. And there’s a lot wrapped up in that. And one thing that Marianne told me in an interview is that, even if they just had one — if we had one generation in America where black men experienced the same sort of odds of economic mobility that white men experience, that would have, like, completely narrowed the gap. That would have dramatically changed the picture. But it’s just not been the case. With every generation, there have been setbacks and this lack of progress. And so it remains sort of depressingly true today that it is very difficult for a young black man born into poverty, for example, to get ahead of where he was born, compared to how easy it is for a white man born into the same situation.

MARTIN: And why is that? Is that — what’s the primary driver of that?

TANKERSLEY: The research doesn’t exactly tease out all those factors. But I think we can say very safely that three things that really hold young black men and women back in America, and particularly men for these three things, in America today remain education, incarceration and discrimination. So, they’re typically not educated in schools that are of the same quality that white students experience. They face a much higher chance of being incarcerated for a long time. And that is a multidecade problem now in the United States, going back to the war on drugs in the 1980s. And then, when they do — even when they do get out, I mean, even for black men who go all the way through college and get a college degree, for — compared to a comparably educated white man, they still earn way less. And the same is true of black women compared to white women. It is just — so, there exists discrimination factors in the job market that transcend even those first two parts, all of which make it harder. And so the median black family’s wealth is like one-tenth of the median white family’s wealth right now.

MARTIN: Well, what about — where have the Democrats been in all of this? It’s not like they haven’t had any role in governance over the last decade, while these trends were taking hold that you have described. I mean, what’s been their role in this?

TANKERSLEY: Well, I mean, the Democrats — to be clear, my default position in the book is that no political party has effectively followed the strategy over the last several decades. In 2016, Hillary Clinton did try to run on a version of something related to this idea, her Stronger Together idea, trying to make the case that America was better off with people working together. But it wasn’t a very focused pitch, having covered it at the time. And she didn’t, I would say, articulate it in the way that she would have needed to, to really get through to people. But in terms of governance, I mean, for example, there have been policy errors under Democratic administrations that have accelerated some of these trends. The way in which the Clinton administration at the very end of Bill Clinton’s term entered into permanent normal trade relations with China was directly responsible for a couple of millions — a couple of million American jobs lost. And there’s an argument that a much more targeted, better approach to that, that would have compensated and helped the workers displaced by that move would have been dramatically better. But he didn’t do that. Barack Obama’s housing policy, and particularly for how to deal with borrowers who got stuck underwater on their mortgages coming out of 2008, they were very, very reluctant to intervene and help people out. And I think that really set back both the overall economic recovery and set back black families and Hispanic families and others who were who were left underwater. And they defend those policies to this day, but I was critical of them at the time, and I think that the research has shown that they were particularly bad for the types of trends we’re talking about. So, it’s not like Democrats are blameless here. But, certainly, President Obama tried to make addressing racial inequities part of at least his rhetorical appeal to the country. But what we see, after now 20 years of both Republican and Democratic presidents in the 21st century, is that there are still huge problems with racial and gender discrimination in the country. And I would argue that maybe it’s not a president’s job to solve all those, but that you do need presidential leadership to help.

MARTIN: Jim Tankersley, thank you so much for talking with us.

TANKERSLEY: Thank you.

TRANSCRIPT

>>> NOW, AS TENS OF MILLIONS OF

AMERICANS REMAIN JOBLESS,

PRESIDENT TRUMP CONTINUES TO

CLAIM THAT THE ECONOMY HAS BEEN

THE STRONGEST EVER ON HIS WATCH.

OUR NEXT GUEST DISAGREES.

JIM TANKERSLEY HAS WRITTEN A

BOOK CALLED "THE RICHES OF THIS

LAND" WHICH TELLS A STORY OF

WHAT HAPPENED TO AMERICA'S

MIDDLE CLASS.

HE TALKS ABOUT THAT.

WHY HE THINKS RESTRICTING

IMMIGRATION TO BOOST WAGES IS A

MIN

MYTH.

>> JIM, THANK YOU.

WELCOME.

THANK YOU FOR JOINING US.

>> THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR HAVING

ME.

>> I WANT TO TALK ABOUT THE BOOK

OBVIOUSLY.

IT'S A DECADE IN THE MAKING,

TIES TOGETHER SOME OF THESE

POWERFUL TRENDS I THINK

EVERYBODY HAS SEEN, BUT DIDN'T

NECESSARILY UNDERSTAND.

ONE OF THE FASCINATING ARGUMENTS

YOU MAKE IN THE BOOK IS THAT THE

PRESIDENT COULD HAVE ACHIEVED

THE KIND OF REMARKABLE ECONOMIC

GROWTH, BROAD-BASED ECONOMIC

GROWTH HE BRAGS ABOUT.

YOU SAY HE DIDN'T, BUT COULD

HAVE.

EXPLAIN THAT, PLEASE.

>> I THINK WE SHOULD START WITH

WHAT THE PRESIDENT PROMISED AND

WHAT HE ACTUALLY DELIVERED.

HE WOULD HAVE THE ECONOMY

GROWING EVEN 6% A YEAR, WAS

GOING TO PAY OFF THE ENTIRE

NATIONAL DEBT IN EIGHT YEARS,

PROMISED TO BRING MILLIONS OF

JOBS BACK FROM CHINA AND MEXICO.

NONE OF THOSE THINGS HAVE

HAPPENED.

HE PRESIDED OVER FOR THREE YEARS

THE TAIL END OF A ECONOMIC

EXPANSION THAT HE KEPT GOING,

WHICH PRODUCED VERY SIMILAR

RESULTS TO THE SECOND TERMS OF

GEORGE W. BUSH OR BARACK OBAMA

IN TERMS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND

EMPLOYMENT GROWTH.

IT JUST SO HAPPENS THAT

PRESIDENT TRUMP STARTED IN A

MUCH BETTER POSITION THAN EITHER

OF THOSE PRESIDENTS STARTED.

HE DID FINE FOR THREE YEARS, BUT

DID NOT DELIVER UNPRECEDENTED

PERFORMANCE HE SAID HE WOULD.

THE ARGUMENT IN THE BOOK IS THE

PRESIDENT WASN'T REALLY FOCUSED

ON WHAT WE KNOW FROM AMERICAN

HISTORY IS THE SECRET FORMULA.

AND THAT FORMULA WHICH WAS

PLAYED OUT IN THE AFTERMATH OF

WORLD WAR II ALL THE WAY THROUGH

THE 1970s, IF YOU SEEK TO

EMPOWER WORKERS WHO HAVE BEEN

SHUT OUT OF OPPORTUNITY IN THE

AMERICAN LABOR FORCE,

PARTICULARLY WOMEN OF ALL RACES

AND MEN OF COLOR, AND

IMMIGRANTS, YOU SEEK TO EMPOWER

THEM AND BREAK DOWN THE BARRIERS

OF DISCRIMINATION AND STRUCTURAL

BARRIERS THAT HOLD THEM BACK IN

THE ECONOMY, THAT UNLEASHES THEM

TO WORK MORE, TO PRODUCE MORE,

TO BE MORE PRODUCTIVE, AND THAT

CREATES THE SUSTAINABLE GROWTH

THAT BRINGS MILLIONS OF PEOPLE

INTO THE MIDDLE CLASS.

PRESIDENT TRUMP WASN'T FOCUSED

ON THAT FORMULA.

A LOT OF POLICIES HAVE GOTTEN IN

A DIFFERENT DIRECTION FROM THAT.

HE'S MISSED THE OPPORTUNITY FOR

SUCCESS.

>> YOUR BOOK MAKES POWERFUL

ARGUMENTS IN NO UNCERTAIN TERMS.

MY REPORTING UNCOVERED LIES THAT

HAVE POISONED OUR NATIONAL

ECONOMIC DEBATE FOR DECADES,

LONG BEFORE THIS LATEST

RECESSION, BUT LEFT US WEAK AND

VULNERABLE WHEN THE RECESSION

HIT.

YOU SAY, IN FACT THE REAL STORY

OF THE MIDDLE CLASSES IS NOT THE

STORY OF ELITE WHITE MEN, BUT

THE REALITY OF THE REMARKABLE

EXPANSION OF THE MIDDLE CLASS

THAT LIES WITH CERTAIN GROUPS --

WOMEN, PEOPLE OF COLOR, BLACK

PEOPLE IN PARTICULAR, AND

IMMIGRANTS.

SO FIRST, I WANT TO ASK YOU,

WHAT IS THE LIE THAT YOU SAY HAS

BEEN PEDDLED ALL THESE YEARS?

AND THEN TURN AROUND AND TELL ME

WHAT IS THE TRUST.

>> THE GREAT LIE OF THE AMERICAN

ECONOMY -- AND YOU CAN TRACE IT

BACK

TO THE FOUNDING OF THE REPUBLIC

AND BEFORE, IS THE IDEA THAT IF

YOU ARE A CERTAIN TYPE OF

WORKING-CLASS AMERICAN, YOUR

PROSPERITY IS MOST THREATENED BY

A DIFFERENT TYPE OF

WORKING-CLASS AMERICAN WHO

DOESN'T LOOK LIKE YOU.

SPECIFICALLY IT'S A LIE SOLD TO

WHITE MEN, WHITE WORKING-CLASS

MEN BEING TOLD THAT WOMEN, MEN

OF COLOR AND IMMIGRANTS ARE A

THREAT.

THEY'RE STEALING YOUR JOB,

STEALING YOUR PROSPERITY.

AND WE HAVE SEEN IT OVER

DECADES, OVER CENTURIES, AND

ALWAYS ELITE WHITE MEN, PEOPLE

WHO RUN THE COUNTRY, WHICH IN

THE FOUNDING OF THE COUNTRY THAT

WAS LARGE MALE LANDHOLDERS, AND

NOW THAT GROUP SHORTHANDS TO

ELITE WHITE COLLEGE GRADUATE

MEN.

BUT THEY USED THIS IDEA OF

PITTING WORKERS AGAINST EACH

OTHER TO KEEP WORKERS DOWN AND

ESSENTIAL KEEP THE ELITES AT THE

TOP OF THE ECONOMY.

THE TRUTH IS THE OPPOSITE.

THE TRUTH IS WHEN

DISTRESSED WORKERS ARE HELD BACK

ARE ALLOWED TO GET AHEAD,

EVERYONE BENEFITS, INCLUDING

OTHER WORKING-CLASS AMERICANS.

SO THE WAY TO SAY THAT IN BLUNT

TERMS ABOUT TODAY'S ECONOMY, IT

WOULD BE BETTER FOR STRUGGLING

WHITE MALE WORKERS IN OHIO,

MICHIGAN OR WISCONSIN, IT WOULD

BE BETTER TO HAVE MORE

OPPORTUNITIES FOR IMMIGRANTS,

WOMEN, BLACK AMERICANS, BECAUSE

THEY WOULD CREATE JOB

OPPORTUNITIES TO LIFT UP MEN WHO

RIGHTLY FEEL LIKE THEY'VE BEEN

LEFT BEHIND.

>> I'M%ED TO ADMIT I NEVER HEARD

THE STORY ABOUT THE TOBACCO

WORKERS IN WINSTON-SALEM,

MASSACHUSETTS, AND AS BRIEFLY AS

YOU CAN, TELL ME WHAT HAPPENED.

>> IT'S AN AMAZING STORY.

I FOUND IT IN ORAL HISTORIES

COMPILED BY A HISTORIAN AND HIS

ASSOCIATES IN NORTH CAROLINA.

IT'S AMAZING.

WE'RE IN THE MIDDLE OF THE WAR.

BLACK WOMEN ESSENTIAL MAKING

THESE TOBACCO FACTORY RUN.

THEY HAVE A VERY HARD JOB OF

PULLING THINGS OUT OF BOXES,

FEEDING IT INTO A BIG MACHINE.

THEY HAVE LOW PAY, NO BREAKS

OTHER THAN TO GO TO THE

BATHROOM, THEY DON'T EVEN GET

PAID TIME OFF LIKE ON THE DAY

THEY ARE DUE TO GIVE BIRTH, AND

THERE ARE -- THERE ARE MANY

CASES THAT IS WORKERS DESCRIBE

OF WOMEN GETTING VERY SICK AND

GOING TO THEIR SUPERVISORS,

ASKING TO GO TO THE NURSE, GO

HOME OR WHATEVER, BEING TOLD TO

GET BACK TO WORK, AND IF YOU

DON'T GO BACK TO WORK, WE'LL

FIRE YOU.

SO ON THIS EXTRAORDINARY DAY,

THESE WOMEN ARE PLANNING A LABOR

ACTION BECAUSE OF A WOMAN'S

EXPERIENCE OF BEING TOLD TO GO

BACK TO WORK, THIS SINGLE MOM

TRYING TO PROVIDE FOR HER

FAMILY.

SO THE INSTIGATOR GETS HER

FRIENDS TOGETHER.

THEY STOP.

THEY JUST -- THE MACHINES ARE

SUPPOSED TO COME BACK ON AFTER

LUNCH.

THEY REFUSE TO TURN THEM ON.

VERY QUICKLY, ALL OF THE

MACHINES ARE SHUT DOWN.

PRETTY SOON THE ENTIRE PLANT IS

OFF-LINE.

NOW THE MANAGEMENT HAS TO DEAL

WITH THESE WORKERS, WHO END UP

JOINING A UNION, BARGAINING FOR

BETTER WAGES AND BETTER

BENEFITS, WHICH LIFT UP NOT JUST

THOSE BLACK WOMEN, BUT ALL THE

WORKERS IN THE PLANT, INCLUDING

THE WHITE MEN.

>> THE POINT YOU MAKE IS THE

BLACK WOMEN AT THIS PLANT WERE

THE LOWEST PAID, SOME OF THE

DIRTIEST JOBS, THE LEAST

DESIRABLE JOBS, BUT WHEN THEY

PUT THEIR LIVES ON THE LINE TO

ORGANIZE, EVERYBODY'S BENEFITS

IMPROVED.

THE WHITE MEN, THE WHTLE WOMEN,

EVERYBODY WHO WORKED THERE

ACHIEVED A BENEFIT FROM THIS

BEHAVIOR, THIS ACTION ON THIS

PART.

GIVE US AN ACTION OF WHY YOU --

LET'S FOCUS ON THIS

ADMINISTRATION.

THEY'VE THE WHEEL FOR THREE

YEARS -- COULD HAVE UNLEASHED

THIS BOOM.

ARE THERE CERTAIN THINGS HE

COULD HAVE DONE THAT WOULD HAVE

HELPED HIM SET THINGS TO RIGHT?

>> THE PRESIDENT HAS TALKED

ABOUT THE CHILD CARE CRISIS AT

TIMES, SOMETHING THAT'S BEEN

ABSOLUTELY EXACERBATED BY THIS

PANDEMIC.

I THINK IT'S ONE OF THE MOST

IMPORTANT AREAS OF POLICY FOR

UNLEASHING WOMEN'S PARTICIPATION

IN THE LABOR FORCE.

IF WE HAD MORE ABUNDANT, LESS

EXPENSIVE CHILDCARE IN THE

COUNTRY, WE WOULD BE ABLE TO

SOLVE A LARGE PART OF THE ISSUES

THAT HOLD WORKING MOTHERS BACK

IN THE WORKFORCE.

WE KNOW FROM ECONOMIC RESEARCH

THAT THOSE LOSSES ARE LARGE.

WE HAVE TALENTED WOMEN WHO HAVE

TO LEAVE THE WORKFORCE TO DEAL

WITH THE BROKEN CHILD CARE

SYSTEM IN THIS COUNTRY, NOT

BECAUSE THEY WANT TO, BUT

BECAUSE THEY ARE FORCED TO BY

ECONOMIC CIRCUMSTANCE.

IF HE HAD MADE THAT AN EARLY

FOCUS OF POLICY, FIRST OFF,

THERE WOULD HAVE BEEN BIPARTISAN

SUPPORT, BUT THE OTHER AREA,

IMMIGRATION POLICY IS CERTAINLY

AN AREA THAT THE PRESIDENT

BELIEVES SOMETHING THAT THE

ECONOMIC RESEARCH STRONGLY

DISAGREES WITH.

THE OPPOSITE SURE LOOKS LIKE

IT'S TRUE IN ALL OF THE RESEARCH

THAT WE HAVE, AND IF HE HAD MADE

A CONCERTED EFFORT TO LET IN A

LOT MORE PARTICULARLY HIGHLY

SKILLED ENTREPRENEURIAL

IMMIGRANTS IN THE LAST THREE

YEARS, WE WOULD HAVE MORE

COMPANIES BEING FORMED, ALL

SORTS OF POSITIVE DEVELOPMENTS

FOR INNOVATION AND

ENTREPRENEURSHIP.

>> THE REALITY AND EVIDENCE THAT

IMMIGRATION IN THE LAST DECADE

HAS INCLUDED PEOPLE FROM BOTH

GROUPS.

A LOT OF PEOPLE WHO ARE NOT

HIGHLY SKILLED, WHO ARE NOT

HIGHLY EDUCATED, AS WELL AS

PEOPLE WHO ARE HIGHLY SKILLED

WHO COMES IN WITH A DIFFERENT

PATHWAY.

THE ARGUMENT IS IF YOU BRING IN

A LOT OF LABOR COMPETITION, WHY

WOULDN'T THAT SUPPRESS WAGES FOR

THE PEOPLE WHO ARE ALREADY HERE,

PARTICULARLY PEOPLE WHO ARE

SIMILARLY SITUATED?

YOU'RE LESS WELL-EDUCATED

AMERICAN CITIZENS OR LESS

WELL-EDUCATED IMMIGRANTS OF

LONGER TENURE.

ARE YOU SAYING THAT'S NOT TRUE?

>> LET ME BE CERTAIN ABOUT THE

RESEARCH.

THERE ARE SOME WAGE EFFECTS FOR

A SHORT TERM ON PARTICULAR

GROUPS.

NATIVE-BORN AMERICANS WHO DIDN'T

FINISH HIGH SCHOOL, FOR EXAMPLE.

A SMALL GROUP, BUT A GROUP THAT

APPEARS TO BE IN COMPETITION,

AND SORT OF PREVIOUS WAVES OF

IMMIGRANTS, BUT THOSE ARE NOT

LARGE, BUT THIS IS -- I THINK

THE WHOLE FALLACY OF THE

IMMIGRATION DEBATE IS THE IDEA

THAT AMERICAN WORKERS ARE

COMPETING FOR A FINITE NUMBER OF

JOBS.

THAT'S JUST NOT TRUE.

THERE'S NOT A SET NUMBER OF

JOBS.

WHEN IMMIGRANTS COME IN, THEY

DON'T JUST TAKE JOBS.

THEY ALSO SPEND MONEY.

THEY ALSO START BUSINESSES.

THEY ARE DRIVERS OF ECONOMIC

GROWTH.

YOU THINK OF IT INTUITIVELY, IF

WE JUST GOT RID OF HALF THE

PEOPLE HERE AND SENT THEM TO

CANADA, WE DON'T THINK THE

ECONOMY WOULD GO BETTER FOR ALL

THE WORKERS LEFT.

IT IS THE IDEA THAT RESTRICTING

THE SUPPLY IS NECESSARILY GOING

TO BOOST WAGES FOR THE PEOPLE

HERE RESTS ON THE IDEA THERE IS

THIS FINITE POOL OF JOBS, WHICH

JUST ISN'T TRUE AND IGNORES THE

POSITIVE SPILLOVER EFFECTS, BOTH

IN TERMS OF DEMAND AND ACTUALLY

SPENDING MONEY, BUT ALSO SOME

TERMS OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP THAT

IMMIGRANTS OF ALL SKILL LEVELS

BRING IN THE UNITED STATES.

>>> THE OTHER ARGUMENT YOU MAKE

IN THE BOOK AND IT'S ACTUALLY A

VERY DEPRESSING ONE, YOU ARGUE

THE FAILURE TO TAKE RACIAL

DISCRIMINATION SERIOUSLY, EVEN

TO THIS DAY, HAS HAD A

DEVASTATING IMPACT ON THE

ECONOMIC MOBILITY OF

AFRICAN-AMERICANS.

IN FACT YOU CITE ONE STUDY

CONDUCTED BY A PERSON WHO WORKED

IN THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION,

THAT SAID THE ECONOMIC MOBILITY

FOR BLACK PEOPLE IS ACTUALLY NO

BETTER THAN IT WAS IN 1876,

WHICH IS A REALLY DISTURBING

THING TO CONTEMPLATE.

HOW IS THAT POSSIBLE?

AGAIN I KNOW IT SOUNDS LIKE A

RIDICULOUS QUESTION, BUT IT'S

THE CLASSIC QUESTION -- WHAT

ABOUT OPRAH?

WHAT ABOUT OTHERS?

>> WE'RE NOT TALKING -- WHAT'S A

NICE WAY TO PUT THIS --

OUTSTANDING OUTLIERS.

WE'RE TALKING ABOUT AVERAGES.

SO THE QUESTION THIS RESEARCHER

FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF TENNESSEE

AND A CO-AUTHOR WERE EXAMINING

WAS, WHAT IS THE LIKELIHOOD THAT

A BLACK MAN CAN RISE ABOVE THE

ECONOMIC STATION, BASICALLY, OF

HIS FATHER, BORN INTO A

PARTICULAR CIRCUMSTANCE?

HOW DOES THAT COMPARE WITH THE

MOBILITY THAT WHITE MEN

EXPERIENCE OVER TIME?

WHAT THEY FIND IS THAT THE

ECONOMIC MOBILITY PROSPECTS FOR

A TYPICAL BLACK MAN HAVE NOT

CHANGED SINCE RECONSTRUCTION,

WHICH IS JUST, LIKE YOU SAID,

WILDLY DEPRESSING.

THERE'S A LOT WRAPPED UP IN

THAT.

ONE THING THAT MARY ANN TOLD ME

IN AN INTERVIEW, EVEN IF THEY

HAD JUST HAD ONE GENERATION IN

AMERICA WHERE BLACK MEN

EXPERIENCED THE SAME SORT OF

ODDS OF ECONOMIC MOBILITY THAT

WHITE MEN EXPERIENCED, THAT

WOULD HAVE COMPLETELY NARROWED

THE GAP BUT IT'S JUST NOT BEEN

THE CASE.

EVERY GENERATION THERE HAVE BEEN

SETBACKS AND A LACK OF PROGRESS.

IT REMAINS DEPRESSINGLY TRUE

TODAY THAT IT'S VERY DIFFICULT

FOR A YOUNG BLACK MAN TO GET

AHEAD OF WHERE HE WAS BORN,

COMPARED TO HOW EASY IT IS FOR A

WHITE MAN BORN IN THE SAME

SITUATION.

>> WHY IS THAT?

WHAT IS THE PRIMARY DRIVER OF

THAT?

>> THE RESEARCH DOESN'T TEASE

OUT THOSE FACTORS, BUT I THINK

WE CAN SAY SAFELY THREE THINGS

HOLD BLACK MEN AND WOMEN BACK,

PARTICULARLY MEN, REMAIN

EDUCATION, INCARCERATION, AND

DISCRIMINATION.

SO THEY ARE TYPICALLY NOT

EDUCATED IN SCHOOLS THAT ARE THE

SAME QUALITY THAT WHITE STUDENTS

EXPERIENCE.

THEY FACE A MUCH HIGHER CHANCE

OF BEING INCARCERATED FOR A LONG

TIME.

THAT'S A MULTI-DECADE PROBLEM

NOW IN THE UNITED STATES GOING

BACK TO THE WAR ON DRUGS IN THE

1980s.

EVEN FOR BLACK MEN WHO GO ALL

THE WAY THROUGH COLLEGE AND GET

A COLLEGE DEGREE, COMPARED TO A

COMPARABLY EDUCATED WHITE MAN,

THERE EXISTS DISCRIMINATION

FACTORS IN THE JOB MARKET THAT

TRANSCEND EVEN THE FIRST TWO

PARTS, ALL OF WHICH MAKE IT

HARD.

THE MEDIAN BLACK FAMILY'S WEALTH

IS LIKE ONE-TENTH OF THE MEDIAN

WHITE FAMILY'S WEALTH.

>> WHERE HAVE THE DEMOCRATS BEEN

IN ALL OF THIS?

IT'S NOT LIKE THEY HAVEN'T BEEN

GOVERNANCE FOR THE LAST YEARS.

>> MY DEFAULT POSITION IN THE

BOOK IS NO POLITICAL PARTY HAS

EFFECTIVELY FOLLOWED THE

STRATEGY OVER THE LAST SEVERAL

DECADES.

IN 2016 HILLARY CLINTON DID TRY

TO RUN ON A VERSION OF SOMETHING

RELATED TO THIS IDEA, HER

STRONGER TOGETHER IDEA, TRYING

TO MAKE THE CASE THAT AMERICA

WAS BETTER OFF WITH PEOPLE

WORKING TOGETHER, BUT IT WASN'T

A VERY FOCUSED PITCH, HAVING

COVERED IT AT THE TIME.

SHE DIDN'T, I WOULD SAY,

ARTICULATE IT IN THE WAY THAT

SHE WOULD HAVE NEEDED TO REALLY

GET THROUGH TO PEOPLE, ABOUT IN

TERMS OF GOVERNANCE, FOR

EXAMPLE, THERE HAVE BEEN POLICY

ERRORS UNDER DEMOCRATIC

ADMINISTRATIONS THAT HAVE

ACCELERATED SOME OF THESE

TRENDS.

THE WAY IN WHICH THE CLINTON

ADMINISTRATION ENTERED INTO

TRADE RELATIONS WITH CHINA WAS

DIRECTLY RESPONSIBLE FOR A

COUPLE MILLION AMERICAN JOBS

LOST, AND THERE'S AN ARGUMENT

THAT A MUCH MORE TARGETED,

BETTER APPROACH TO THAT WOULD

HAVE COMPENSATED AND HELPED THE

WORKERS DISPLACED BY THAT MOVE

WOULD HAVE BEEN DRAMATICALLY

BETTER, BUT HE DIDN'T DO THAT.

BARACK OBAMA'S HOUSING POLICY,

PARTICULARLY FOR HOW TO DEAL

WITH BORROWERS WHO GOT STUCK

UNDERWATER ON THEIR MORTGAGES IN

2008, THEY WERE VERY, VERY

RELUCTANT TO INTERVENE AND HELP

PEOPLE OUT.

THAT SET BACK THE OVERALL

RECOVERY AND SET BACK BLACK

FAMILIES AND HISPANIC FAMILIES

AND OTHERS LEFT UNDER WATER.

THEY DEFEND THOSE POLICIES TO

TODAY.

IT'S NOT LIKE DEMOCRATS ARE

BLAMELESS HERE, BUT CERTAINLY

PRESIDENT OBAMA TRIED TO MAKE

ADDRESSING RACIAL INEQUITIES

PART OF HIS RHETORICAL APPEAL TO

THE COUNTRY, BUT WHAT WE SEE NOW

AFTER 20 YEARS, IS THAT THERE

ARE STILL HUGE PROBLEMS WITH

RACIAL AND GENDER DISCRIMINATION

IN THE COUNTRY.

I WOULD ARGUE THAT MAYBE IT'S

NOT A PRESIDENT'S JOB TO SOLVE

ALL OF THOSE, BUT YOU DO NEED

PRESIDENTIAL LEADERSHIP TO HELP.

>> JIM TANKERSLEY, THANK YOU FOR

TALKING WITH US.

>> THANK YOU.