>>> ON FRIDAY, LONG-RANGE
FORECASTERS AT ACCUWEATHER
RELEASED THEIR EARLY PREDICTIONS
FOR THE 2019 ATLANTIC HURRICANE
SEASON, WHICH RUNS FROM JUNE 1st
THROUGH NOVEMBER 30th.
THEIR CONCLUSIONS, 12 TO 14
NAMED STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
IN THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE BASIN
DURING THE UPCOMING SEASON, AND
FIVE TO SEVEN OF THEM ARE
FORECAST TO DEVELOP INTO
HURRICANES.
OVERALL, ACCUWEATHER SAYS WE
SHOULD HAVE A CLOSE TO NORMAL
AND AVERAGE HURRICANE SEASON,
ALTHOUGH TWO TO FOUR HURRICANES
MAY BE MAJOR WEATHER EVENTS.
LAST YEAR'S HURRICANE SEASON
PRODUCED 15 TROPICAL STORMS,
EIGHT OF WHICH BECAME
HURRICANES.
IN THE CAROLINAS, HURRICANE
FLORENCE CAUSED CATASTROPHIC
DAMAGE AS DID HURRICANE MICHAEL
IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
40 PEOPLE DIED AS A RESULT OF
THE TWO STORMS.
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
HAS ALREADY NAMED THE FIRST FIVE
STORMS OF 2019, ANDREA, BARRY,
CHANTAL, DORIAN, AND ERIN.
LUCKILY, NONE OF THOSE STORMS
WILL LIKELY EVEN COME CLOSE TO
CAUSING THE DEATHS AND
DESTRUCTION OF THE GREAT GULF
HURRICANE WHICH HIT THE TEXAS
CITY OF GALVESTON ON SEPTEMBER
8th, 1900.
THE HURRICANE, WHICH KILLED AN
ESTIMATED 10,000 PEOPLE AND
REMAINS THE GREATEST NATURAL
DISASTER TO EVER STRIKE THE
COUNTRY.
I HAD A CHANCE TO SPEAK WITH
"TODAY" SHOW ANCHOR AND
WEATHERMAN AL ROKER ABOUT THAT
DEVASTATING HURRICANE, WHICH HE
DRAMATICALLY CHRONICLED IN HIS
BOOK "THE STORM OF THE CENTURY."
I BEGAN OUR CONVERSATION BY
ASKING AL HOW THE GREAT GULF
HURRICANE FIRST GOT ON HIS
RADAR.
>> I WAS THINKING ABOUT SANDY,
BUT I STARTED TO RESEARCH OTHER
STORMS THAT HAD HAPPENED.
AND I HAD BEEN IN GALVESTON 2008
WHEN IKE HIT, AND PEOPLE ALWAYS
TALKED ABOUT THE 1900 HURRICANE,
BUT THEN WHEN I GATHERED THIS
RESEARCH AND STARTED TO LOOK AND
I KEPT THINKING THIS CAN'T BE
RIGHT.
THIS CAN'T BE THAT DEADLY, OH,
MY GOSH.
AND SO I THINK I THOUGHT THIS IS
SOMETHING THAT COULD BE KIND OF
INTERESTING.
IT WAS A CUBAN CONNECTION AND
THERE WAS ALL THIS GOING ON THAT
I THOUGHT MADE IT REALLY
RESONATE WITH TODAY.
AND SO I HIRED A GREAT
RESEARCHER, A GUY NAMED BILL
HOAGLAND TO FIND WHAT HE COULD
FOR ME.
AND WHEN I HAD IT LAID OUT IN
FRONT OF ME, OH, MY GOSH, THIS
IS THE STORY.
>> SO WHAT MADE THE STORM SO
DEVASTATING?
WAS IT THE STRENGTH OF THE
STORM?
WAS IT THE LIMIT OF THE
METEOROLOGICAL SCIENCE AT THE
TIME, OR WAS IT HUMAN FOLLY?
>> IT WAS A COMBINATION.
IT WAS REALLY A COMBINATION OF
ALL THOSE THREE THAT YOU REALLY
POINT OUT TO WELL, BECAUSE IT
WAS -- FIRST OF ALL, IT WAS
MONSTER STORM, HUGE STORM.
IT WAS A CATEGORY 5 STORM.
IT CAME ON SHORE WITH WINDS OVER
200 MILES PER HOUR, SEAS OF
ANYWHERE FROM 10 TO 30 FEET
HIGH.
BUT THERE WAS ALSO HUMAN HUBRIS.
THERE WAS HUBRIS INVOLVED,
BECAUSE AT THE TIME, THE
PREEMINENT CAPABILITY WAS IN
CUBA.
THEY FORECAST TO HIT ONE 100 TO
150 MILES OF GALVESTON, TEXAS.
BUT A PETTY BUREAUCRAT NAMED
WILLIS MOORE WHO WAS RUNNING THE
WEATHER BUREAU AT THE TIME WAS
IN CAHOOTS WITH THE HEAD OF THE
WAR DEPARTMENT, THERE WERE
POLITICAL TENSIONS AND INTRIGUE
WITH CUBA.
WOW, THAT'S NEVER HAPPENED
AGAIN.
AND SO THEY CUT OFF CUBA
TELEGRAPHICALLY FROM MAINLAND
U.S.
SO THAT FORECAST NEVER GOT IT.
>> NEVER GOT OUT.
>> AND THE PREVAILING THOUGHT AT
THE TIME IN THE U.S. WAS THAT
STORMS OF THIS MAGNITUDE
WOULDN'T HIT THE GULF BECAUSE
THERE WAS A NATURAL CURVE.
SO YOU PUT THOSE THREE THINGS
TOGETHER, AND THEY WERE DOOMED.
>> THE STORM DIDN'T
DISCRIMINATE, IT KILLED EVER,
BLACK, WHITE, POOR.
BUT AFTERWARDS IT SHOWED THAT
THE CITY ITSELF WASN'T SO
UNBIASED.
>> RIGHT.
>> HOW?
>> IN THE BEGINNING, SADLY, OVER
10,000 PEOPLE DIED, LOST THEIR
LIVES, IN A NIGHT.
AND WHEN THE SUN CAME UP, THE
DOWNTOWN, THE SURVIVORS OPENED
THEIR DOORS TO A LIVING HELL.
THERE WERE THOUSANDS OF CORPSES
LINING THE STREETS, STRIPPED
NAKED FROM THE POWER OF THE WIND
AND THE WATER.
SO HOW DO YOU GET RID OF THEM?
WELL, THEY THOUGHT, OKAY, WHAT
WE'RE GOING TO DO IS WE'RE GOING
CONSCRIPT EVERY ABLE-BODIED
BLACK MAN TO HELP LOAD BODIES ON
TO BARGES AND TAKE THEM OUT
ABOUT 15 --
>> FORCE THEM TO DO THIS.
>> FORCE THEM TO DO THIS, AND
THEN TOSS THEM OVER THE SIDE.
UNFORTUNATELY, THEY CAME BACK
IN.
THEY REALIZED THEY DIDN'T HAVE
ENOUGH PEOPLE.
SO NOW THEY HAD BLACKS AND
WHITES WORKING TOGETHER, THE
FIRST INTEGRATED WORKFORCE
REALLY OF ANY MAGNITUDE IN
GALVESTON.
>> WHAT LESSONS DID WE LEARN
ABOUT PREDICTING STORMS FROM
GALVESTON?
>> I THINK, AGAIN, THE MAIN
THING WE HAVE TO LEARN IS WE ARE
NOT THE MASTERS OF OUR DOMAIN.
THIS IS NOT OUR -- EVEN TODAY, I
MEAN, WE'VE COME A LONG, LONG
WAY.
YOU LOOK AT SANDY, AND THE
FORECAST FOR SANDY WAS SPOT-ON.
BUT THE DEVASTATION THAT IT
WROUGHT, BECAUSE WE HAVE NOT
PREPARED PROPERLY FOR THESE
STORMS THAT ARE GOING TO BE
HAPPENING MORE.
>> SO WHAT HAVE WE LEARNED FROM
SANDY AND WHAT HAVE WE NOT
LEARNED?
>> I THINK WHAT WE'VE LEARNED IS
WE REALLY NEED TO HARDEN OUR
INFRASTRUCTURE AGAINST THESE
KIND OF STORMS, BECAUSE THEY'RE
GOING TO BE HAPPENING MORE AND
MORE.
AND AS SEA LEVEL RISE HAPPENS,
OUR SHORELINES ARE GOING TO
BECOME MORE AND MORE VULNERABLE.
SO MANY MILLIONS OF PEOPLE ARE
CONCENTRATED ALONG OUR,
ESPECIALLY THE EAST COAST DOWN
INTO THE GULF COAST WHERE WE'RE
MOST VULNERABLE.
BUT WE'VE ALSO GOT TO LEARN, WE
ALSO HAVE TO LOOK AT THE FACT
THAT WE HAVE TO MAKE SOME HARD
CHOICES ABOUT WHERE PEOPLE LIVE.
I THINK IT'S AND/OR HOW PEOPLE'S
PROPERTIES ARE INSURED.
BECAUSE THESE ARE GOING TO
HAPPEN AGAIN AND AGAIN.
>> ALL RIGHT, AL.
THE BOOK IS "THE STORM OF THE
CENTURY."
THE SUBTITLE IS "TRAGEDY,
HEROISM, SURVIVAL AND THE EPIC
TRUE STORY OF AMERICA'S
DEADLIEST NATURAL DISASTER," THE
GREAT HURRICANE OF 1900.
IT'S AN INTRIGUING READ.
AL, THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR
JOINING US.