Heat Wave: Is This Scorcher ‘The New Normal’ for New Jersey?

New Jersey ended the week of August 9, 2021 with one of the hottest days of summer and an official heatwave, which means three consecutive days when temperatures reach 90 degrees and above. Excessive heat warnings and heat advisories were in place across the entire state, according to the National Weather Service, with the heat index making it feel well over 100 degrees and dangerously hot.

It’s been a season of extreme weather. Is this what New Jersey residents should expect from now on?

Anthony Broccoli, co-director of the Rutgers Climate Institute, said the number of days the state reached above 90 degrees has almost doubled since the 1970s, noting studies pointing towards the connection between climate change and extreme weather patterns.

“Our future is in our hands in the sense that whether or not that happens [increased temperature trends] depends on how much carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases we put into the atmosphere in the future,” said Broccoli.

TRANSCRIPT

and we end the week with one of the

hottest days of summer and an official

heat wave that means three consecutive

days where temperatures reach 90 degrees

and above excessive heat warnings and

heat advisories are in place across the

entire state according to the national

weather service the heat index making it

feel well over 100 degrees and it's

dangerously hot it's been a season of

extreme weather really so is that what

we should expect going forward anthony

brockley is the co-director of the

rutgers climate institute and joins me

as part of our ongoing series on the

human stories of climate change peril

and promise

professor broccoli on its face the

temperatures that we're seeing right now

are pretty typical for summer but it's

this heat index yes that's really

pushing things over the edge

as often as the case it is that

combination of heat and humidity that

really makes conditions oppressive

one of the measures of how much moisture

is in the atmosphere is a quantity

called the dew point

and normally we consider it to be

extremely humid when the dew point gets

up above 70 degrees

this week we've seen dew points in the

upper 70s compared combined rather with

these temperatures in the 90s really

making things impressive

is this becoming a pattern here i mean

should we anticipate summers having more

stretches of these high heat indexes or

is this somewhat on par

during the 1960s and 1970s we would

average maybe less than 15 days a year

that reached or exceeded that 90 degree

mark

in the last decade that's now gone up to

just under 30 days a year in fact

we're already at 26 days so far this

summer with half of august and all of

september to go

so we have seen a trend towards more of

these uh heat waves and i guess is that

something that we should anticipate for

the future as well well as you know the

intergovernmental panel on climate

change released a report earlier this

week and one of the uh aspects of that

report was connections between climate

change and extreme weather events

and one of their findings was that

under a high carbon dioxide emissions

scenario

things that today maybe only happen one

out of every four

summers

might happen 60 to 90 percent of the

time toward the end of this century

but

our future is in our hands in the sense

that whether or not that happens depends

on how much

carbon dioxide and other greenhouse

gases we put into the atmosphere in the

future

yeah there is a small window an

opportunity there for change let me ask

you just though very quickly because we

know about the dangers of being in hot

weather and what that can cause but

right now we're also seeing it coupled

with really poor air quality some of

that a result of the residual you know

these these wildfires that continue to

rage in other parts of the country

yeah so there's there's two

contributions to poor air quality first

of all typically when we do have these

heat waves

relatively light winds and strong

sunshine

uh

produce uh air pollution locally

but as you mentioned we're also this

summer seen on several occasions

smoke from the wildfires coming here

now part of the reason that's been

happening this year is we've had a

circulation pattern in the atmosphere

that's been favorable for bringing the

smoke from the western united states

here to the east

that pattern may not always be prevalent

but

we have seen it a lot this year

professor anthony brockley with rutgers

university thanks for your time my

pleasure

lead funding for paralympics is provided

by dr p roy vagalos and diana t vagalos

major support is provided by the mark

haas foundation and sue and edgar

wachenheim iii and the cheryl and philip

milstein family

[Music]

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