Q: I want to return to this question
of polling just a bit more. To what extent, are commercials more about
us, more about the viewer, than they are about the candidate?
SQUIER: Well, in their best form,
I think spots about both the candidate and the viewer. You'll find people
in my business tend to use this word "viewer" and "voter" almost interchangeably.
But I think that's true because what you want to do is be talking to
voters about something they really care about.
If you ask them what's the issue they care about most, any issue, and
they come back and say as they did in the 70s, "Jobs," and you say,
"Okay, I understand that." And if I'd asked you that in our dialogue,
you know, "What do you care about?" and you said, "Jobs," I would come
back and say, "Well, let me tell you a little about porkbellies," you'd
think I was nuts. That's an exaggeration, but that's how this transaction
works. If you care about jobs and I care about being in public office,
then I better be talking about jobs. And I better be talking about it
in a way that makes sense to you, that's innovative, that looks like
something I can actually bring off.
Q: But, viewed somewhat more cynically,
couldn't you also make the argument that when not at their best, spots
are more about polling than they are about the candidates' own views
and own principles.
SQUIER: I think if you get spots
produced that are more about polling than they are about the candidate,
people see through that kind of advertising and it doesn't work very
well. We've had some examples in the recent past, I think, of exactly
that.
Q: Such as?
SQUIER: Well, I think what's happened
in California is a good example. I think that candidate who spent all
that money might have spent half as much money and found a way to say
more things about himself and be better off in the end. It's hard to
criticize, you don't know where the problems come from in a campaign.
Maybe the candidate was his own worst enemy, you never know. But I think
what voters are looking for first is what kind of person you are because
they are going to put this power in your hands. They want to make sure
they put the power in the right hands. Once they begin to make their
mind up about that or as they're making their mind up about that, they
also want to know the kinds of things that you're interested in doing,
or what you want to bring up. No, I think that you could do very elegant
ads that came directly from polls, a lot of people do it. They would
be very unsuccessful if you, at the same time, do not transmit through
this incredibly powerful medium what kind of person the candidate was.
Q: You used comparitive ads particularly
effectively in '96: Clinton's for increasing the minimum wage, Bob Dole
isn't; Clinton is for Medicare, Bob Dole isn't. I'm grossly over-simplifying,
tell me a little about why you chose that approach?
SQUIER: I think one of the things
voters are looking for in a campaign are differences: "Are these two
candidates alike in their views? If they are, then I just got to pick
the person I think is the strongest person." But if the candidates are
really apart in their views, then voters are interested in that, and
they'll use it to make voting decisions. I think in the case of Dole,
he would like to have been more of the person he thought of himself
as and less of the person he became in the primaries as he had to go
further and further to the right in order to win his nomination. And
the problem for him was that he began to say things in the primaries
and the stages leading up to the primaries to set himself up to basically
go back to his right-wing base in the Republican Party. That just sounded
very strange to the ears of most Americans.
In the end, an election, at least the Presidential election is going
to get fought out in the center someplace. It's going to get fought
out among a couple of target groups that are people that are pretty
moderate in their thinking. The problem for Dole was that he ended up
running against himself in a way. He was running against the Dole that
ran in the primaries. Clinton did not have to do that. Clinton was running
as the person he had run as in '92, even more than he was as pictured
in '94. Back by '95, '96, he was exactly on the track of the Clinton
who had been Governor Clinton, who had been the candidate in '92, and
who was the candidate headed, headed to his re-election.
What's odd about the two of them is that I think that Dole would, in
a sense, like to have been a candidate of the ideas that Bill Clinton
was espousing, but he couldn't be because he was the candidate of the
Republican Party. You have to be in order to win the nomination.
Q: Walk me through, if you would,
what you specifically did in a piece, in a spot like the one that compares
their stands on minimum wage or Medicare.
SQUIER: Well, I should get my partner
Bill Knapp to do that because he's the guy that was doing that most.
First, you have to know more than anybody else about the subject. You
really have to have the subject squared away, so you deal with all of
the policy people you can find that really understand what's going on,
so that when you're making a case, you're telling the truth. So that
you don't get caught up in some television box later.
Q: So you have to know the specifics?
SQUIER: First you have to know your
issue cold, so that you are telling the truth and the absolute truth
in the commercial. You also have to know your opponents position or
positions, and that's often where the most interesting part of the project
takes place. It's like the part that nobody sees in which you are going
back and just carefully, carefully, documenting what the candidate's
position is on that issue. And often you will find that a candidate
or an opponent has taken two or three positions or has begun to shade
a position. And that was the case with Dole in the '96 race. He was
out talking to some very right wing groups. Bragging about, you know,
things like killing Medicare in committee. A program that is off the
charts in terms of how most Americans feel about it. Why would he, why
would he do that? Because he was trying to impress the people on the
right side of his party.
It reminds me very much of what we Democrats did to ourselves in the
70s. Exactly the same thing. Instead of taking your focus to the American
people, we lost our focus way over to the left of our party. And all
our dialogues were about things the American people either didn't care
about or thought were very strange. The Republicans I think are at that
spot now, Dole was the unfortunate recipient of that, that situation.
Q: When I talked to Kathleen Hall
Jamieson she said that if she had to choose between people watching
the news and watching ads, there's more information in ads than there
is in the news. Is that particularly true of those kinds of ads?
SQUIER: Yeah. Well, we do our homework.
And we have to, because there isn't anybody coming along the next day
saying that story was wrong for the following reasons. I think anyone
who has worked in politics, who really understands an issue, or an event,
or something that is being covered in the news, will think about how
it is decribed in the news and think "Oh my god, how did they get away
with knowing so little about what they are writing about?" Well, when
you do a political ad that's thirty seconds long, you have to know everything
there is to know about it. And it goes through an incredible editing
process. Because once we, once we get to script, or to the final stage,
hundreds and hundreds of people are seeing it. And people are always
talking about the mistakes that are made in political ads. I'm always
amazed at how few mistakes really happen in political ads, considering
how high the content level is.
I think one of the bad raps on political advertising is "it's all negative."
I think if you look at a lot political advertising done by responsible
people for say statewide office and above, that you'll find that the
information is very accurate, that it's fair, and that it's persuasive.
For obvious reasons that you have to meet those three standards in order
to actually collect votes for your candidate.
Q: So you would argue that you can
learn a lot through advertising?
SQUIER: I think you can learn a
lot through advertising, especially if you're willing to take a step
back. And to try to ask yourself "What are they trying to get me to
think with this ad?" I think if you can go through that intellectual
process alone, that you'll learn a lot from advertising. You'll also
learn a lot from advertising if, when responsible gate keepers like
newspapers, do television boxes that compare the ads. Now the problem
with boxes, is we need people who are politically more astute to do
them. If I took you through just twelve at random from last season,
I probably could find two or three mistakes in every one of those boxes
in which the person who was analyzing those spots did not have the kind
of information they needed in order to make a responsible judgment that
they would pass on to the viewer. So that's one area I think where newspapers,
magazines and especially television could really do a great public service
and one that I think people would be interested in.
I made the case for these TV boxes years and years and years ago at
a private retreat of the Washington Post. And the argument I made to
the editors of the Washington Post was spots are speech. If a candidate
in a statewide race is going to spend 75% of their budget doing advertising
that they are going to put on the air then it seems that those thirty
second spots should be analyzed very, very carefully for truth and for
every other standard you can apply to it. Because that's really what
the candidate is saying his campaign is really all about. That was a
tough sell. I mean, we finally sold the idea but it was a tough sell.
The most interesting thing about this dialogue between candidates using
advertising is that there is a place for journalism in this exchange
through the, what we now call ad-watches. And ad-watches really give
voters/viewers an opportunity to check the content of what they are
seeing every night on television. And I've always made the argument
that if the campaign is spending 70% of it's budget on political ads,
then it's the job of journalism to spend maybe not 70% of its budget
but a good portion of its budget, really analyzing what's in those spots
and why those spots are running and what they're trying to say about
each other. And what's the truth in this exchange of advertising. That's
why the ad-watches are valuable.
Now, I'm afraid, we need somebody to watch the watchers. I would be
much happier if editors assigned to that job some people who had a little
more academic training, so that when they make an assertion about what
is in an ad that we can count on the fact that they were right. And
in a lot of cases, you find, that they think one thing and something
else is actually the truth.
Q: Do you welcome being ad watched?
SQUIER: I actually proposed being
ad watched. I think I was the first person to propose it to the editors
of the Washington Post on one of their retreats, years and years and
years ago. I got a lot of heat from the editors when I did it. I think
they thought that I was somehow trying to draw attention to our profession
or something, which is not something anybody in a field like this would
want to do.
Q: Some consultants now do, or some
candidates and campaigns will release their spots, first almost, to
newspapers saying here's what we're doing, go ahead and critique them.
SQUIER: I think we started the practice
of actually making a rationale for your ad that we would release it
at the time the spot was released. In other words do a documentation
of every single assertion in the ad so that reporters could see it.
And we did that mainly, so that as we got into this ad-watch period,
if we thought there was going to be a problem with a fact that a reporter
might get wrong, we would make our documentation. We would basically
throw down our gauntlet saying, you know, "If you're going to say this
is wrong in the spot, here's where we get the information, your argument
is not with us it's with them."
Q: I wanted to ask you a little
bit about the role of interest groups this year and independent expenditures
which have played a big role, and are also not ad-watched as much. People
in journalism tend to ad-watch candidate spots instead of interest groups.
What do you make of that phenomenon this year which has gotten a fair
amount of attention especially in the early special elections?
SQUIER: Well, the First Amendment's
a great thing. Not many countries have it and it makes political advertising
in this country a whole lot easier. We've worked in those countries
and you're always looking for that missing ingredient, and it's always
the First Amendment. That gives people who are outsiders the right to
basically bomb into a campaign and to try to affect the outcome, when
sometimes neither of the candidates in the race would welcome them being
there. But I think it's just part of our process.
I think if you want to take all of the advantages of the First Amendment
you're going to have to take the disadvantages as well. And remember
voters are pretty good at figuring these claims out. But again, it's
the job of journalism to blow the whistle on this kind of activity and
to let people know the reason this outside group is advocating this
particular candidate or this particular issue in a campaign is for their
own self interest, certainly not for the voters' interest. At least
when you got a couple of candidates in the race and two or three outside
groups in the race, the chances are that the two candidates have the
voters' interest at heart more than the outside groups do.
Q: Critique your profession for
me. Some people say that consultants too often tfollow a cookie cutter
approach and that you don't want. You might think you want a big name
consultant like Bob Squier but if he has too many clients he's not going
to pay enough attention to you, you're going to be the twelfth guy on
the list, not the first, are consultants too guilty of that?
SQUIER: That's a piece of conventional
wisdom that I'd love to explode for you. The bigger firms take too few
clients, and I think they do them very well. It's the small firms that
are struggling--and we've been both in our thirty years--that have the
tendency to take that extra client. That extra client because they're
not sure that in the next season they are going to get that many clients.
We have a big professional staff here and we take maybe four or five
statewide races. Almost all of the consultants in this business that
you would put in the small range, would have that many or more, or more
candidates.
The reason is very simple, we want to make sure that we do campaigns
that fit the candidate and fit the situation of the election that the
candidate is working in. Sure, there are a lot of people that think
they have the silver bullet. Most of those people die by their own silver
bullet as they go through the mill. And you could make a list of all
of the political consultants that were really hot five years ago, ten
years ago, fifteen years ago, who have just fallen by the wayside because
they thought they had the formula. The formula that works is to make
sure that you look at each election as a new and different experience.
That every candidate is different. That the state is different even
if you've worked there two years, four years ago. And that what you're
looking for is something unique and unusual as a way of winning the
election. Not to reach back in a sorry bag of old tricks and try to
find something that worked for somebody else that won't for the candidate
you're working for.
Q: Is that a common problem, the
old fighting the last war?
SQUIER: I think it's a problem for
people who are not experienced. But the problem is how do you talk about
these people as one. I think, when I first started working in this business
there were ten political consultants and I fear that there are ten thousand
now. So it's impossible to say these people all think this and think
that. If that were true they'd all win every election they were involved
in.
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