Like the plot of a sci-fi B movie, something weird is happening deep
underground where the constant spin of Earth's liquid metallic core
generates an invisible magnetic force field that shields our planet
from harmful radiation in space. Gradually, the field is growing
weaker. Could we be heading for a demagnetized doomsday that will
leave us defenseless against the lethal effects of solar wind and
cosmic rays? "Magnetic Storm" looks into our potentially unsettling
magnetic future.
Scientists studying the problem are looking everywhere from Mars,
which suffered a magnetic crisis four billion years ago and has been
devoid of a magnetic field, an appreciable atmosphere, and possibly
life ever since, to a laboratory at the University of Maryland,
where a team headed by physicist Dan Lathrop has re-created the
molten iron dynamo at Earth's core by using 240 pounds of highly
explosive molten sodium. The most visible signs of Earth's magnetic
field are auroras, which are caused by charged particles from space
interacting with the atmosphere as they flow into the north and
south magnetic poles.
But the warning signs of a declining field are subtler—though
they are evident in every clay dish that was ever fired. During
high-temperature baking, iron minerals in clay record the exact
state of Earth's magnetic field at that precise moment. By examining
pots from prehistory to modern times, geologist John Shaw of the
University of Liverpool in England has discovered just how
dramatically the field has changed. "When we plot the results from
the ceramics," he notes, "we see a rapid fall as we come toward the
present day. The rate of change is higher over the last 300 years
than it has been for any time in the past 5,000 years. It's going
from a strong field down to a weak field, and it's doing so very
quickly."
At the present rate, Earth's magnetic field could be gone within a
few centuries, exposing the planet to the relentless blast of
charged particles from space with unpredictable consequences for the
atmosphere and life. Other possibilities: the field could stop
weakening and begin to strengthen, or it could weaken to the point
that it suddenly flips polarity—that is, compasses begin to
point to the South Magnetic Pole.
An even older record of Earth's fluctuating field than Shaw refers
to shows a more complicated picture. Ancient lava flows from the
Hawaiian Islands reveal both the strength of the field when the lava
cooled and its orientation—the direction of magnetic
north and south. "When we go back about 700,000 years," says
geologist Mike Fuller of the University of Hawaii, "we find an
incredible phenomenon. Suddenly the rocks are magnetized backwards.
Instead of them being magnetized to the north like today's field,
they are magnetized to the south."
Such a reversal of polarity seems to happen every 250,000 years on
average, making us long overdue for another swap between the north
and south magnetic poles. Scientist Gary Glatzmaier of the
University of California at Santa Cruz has actually observed such
reversals, as they occur in computer simulations (view one in
See a Reversal).
These virtual events show striking similarities to the current
behavior of Earth's magnetic field and suggest we are about to
experience another reversal, though it will take centuries to
unfold.
Some researchers believe we are already in the transition phase,
with growing areas of magnetic anomaly—where field lines are
moving the wrong way—signaling an ever weaker and chaotic
state for our protective shield.
Geophysicist Rob Coe, also of the University of California at Santa
Cruz, may have even found a lava record in Oregon that charts the
magnetic mayhem that ensues during a period of reversal. The picture
that emerges may not be up to Hollywood disaster standards, but
considering that human civilization has never had to cope with such
a situation before, it could be an interesting and challenging time.
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Is the magnetic shield (shown in blue above) that
protects our planet from harmful radiation originating
in the sun about to undergo a major transformation?
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