

By
David Montero

INTRODUCTION

Hugo Chavez's neighborhood -- and the political atmosphere in
Latin America in general -- has changed dramatically since he
took office as president of Venezuela in December 1998.
In early 1999, Chavez was sometimes passed off as a throwback
out of step with the rest of the region. Today the Venezuelan
president looks more like the beginning of a fresh chapter on
populism in Latin America. Since his election, left-leaning
presidents allied with Chavez have risen to power in democratic
elections in Brazil , Ecuador and Argentina.
There are political and economic implications for the United
States, of course. Brazil represents the largest economy in
South America, and the Brazilian market is vital to U.S. trade.
Venezuela is the fourth-largest supplier of oil to the United
States, providing nearly 15 percent of all U.S. imports. (South
America as a whole has the largest quantity of proven reserves
of oil in the world outside the Middle East.)
There are consequences, too, for the U.S. government's war
on drugs. Colombia continues to be a major supplier of cocaine.
The effort to crack down on the Latin American drug cartels
will require the cooperation of Colombia's neighbors, Venezuela,
Brazil and Ecuador.
None of the other newly elected presidents is nearly as pugnacious
as Chavez in public comments about relations with the United
States. Chavez argues, for example, that a subservient relationship
with the United States is a thing of the past. "I am not against
the United States," he said in August 2001. "I'm against hegemonies
of any kind because they have been the cause of many injustices.
The old policy of imposition, of acting as the world's sheriff
-- it does not suit anyone in the new century."
But the new heads of state do share some key political tenets.
The newly elected Latin American presidents are all resistant
to market reforms that thus far have failed to bring prosperity
to Latin America. They see an opportunity to champion the rights
of their own people, particularly the poor, over the interests
of foreign investors.
Chavez can count on other presidents in the region, then,
to back him up in otherwise uncertain times. "All these meetings,
with Fidel [Castro] and Lula [da Silva] and other presidents,
strengthened my resolve," he announced in January 2003. He even
spoken of his desire to form an "axis of good" with his neighbors
in order to challenge the dominance of the United States.
This sort of challenge comes as unwelcome news at an awkward
time in Washington, D.C. In late 2002, U.S. officials, fixated
on Afghanistan and the Middle East, wobbled quite erratically
on Venezuela policy. During an attempted coup d'etat against
Chavez in December 2002, U.S. officials surreptitiously financed
opposition to Chavez. They'd already blamed him publicly for
polarizing Venezuelan society. "(Chavez) was democratically
elected. He won a majority of votes," a senior U.S. official
said in June 2002, but finished his statement with this: "Legitimacy
is something conferred not just by a majority of votes, though."
But when Chavez was returned to power days after briefly being
toppled, the administration of President George W. Bush changed
its tune. The U.S. government announced that it opposed "illegal
and/or violent actions" to tamper with Chavez's "democratically
elected" government. The administration argued, however, that
"the only peaceful and politically viable path out of the crisis
(in Venezuela) is through the holding of early elections."
The challenge for U.S. policy makers is clear. They face new
conditions in trying to assert U.S. interests without simultaneously
damaging Latin American democracies.
Click on the topics to see snapshots sketching the relationships
between Washington, D.C., and key Latin American capitals, and
also between the newly elected key leaders in the region.
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Colombia
Head of State
President Alvaro Uribe, right-wing and pro-United States, was
elected in May 2002
Relations With Venezuela
The Colombian president disagrees with Hugo Chavez about Plan
Colombia, the $1.3 billion U.S. aid package to Uribe's government
for fighting drug traffickers. Uribe also disagrees with Chavez
on both countries' policy toward guerrillas fighting for autonomy
in Colombia.
Relations With the United States
Washington warmly embraced the election of Uribe. "We're ready
to work with the next government," said U.S. ambassador to Colombia
Anne Patterson in May 2002.
In Their Own Words
--"President Chavez has expressed
the determination of his government to work with Colombia to
defeat drug trafficking."
President Alvaro Uribe on Hugo Chavez
"We love Colombia, it is a sister nation. So now we're going
to get things settled on the basis of mutual respect and working
and building together."
--Hugo Chavez on Colombia
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Brazil
Head of State
Luiz Inacio (Lula) da Silva, a socialist candidate, was elected
in October 2002.
Relations With Venezuela
President da Silva is sympathetic to Hugo Chavez and led an
effort to help him negotiate an end to the national strike.
But the two leaders differ on the U.S.-supported Free Trade
Act of the Americas, which da Silva is in favor of.
Relations With the United States
Though some U.S officials consider da Silva "a pro-Castro radical
who for electoral purposes had posed as a moderate," the State
Department argues that he "is not a [Fidel] Castro or a [Hugo]
Chavez."
In Their Own Words
"He is a great man. ... He will speed up the new ways of the left
and take it back to its humanistic foundations."
--Hugo Chavez on da Silva
"I can count on President Bush as an ally."
--President da Silva on President
Bush
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Cuba
Head of State
Fidel Castro, communist leader in power since 1959, is considered
"the grand old man of the Latin American left."
Relations With Venezuela
Though he has expressed his admiration for Fidel Castro, Chavez
has also made clear that private ownership and foreign investment
are part of his political agenda.
Relations With the United States
U.S. officials fear that Castro will work with Chavez and Brazil's
da Silva to form an "axis of populism" that could threaten U.S.
interests in Latin America.
In Their Own Words
"I have confidence in you. At this moment, in this country,
there is no one who can substitute for you."
--Fidel Castro on Hugo Chavez
"I deeply respect Cuba and its revolution, (but) our revolution
is not communist; we are not proposing the elimination of private
property."
--Hugo Chavez on Fidel Castro
"The United States seems destined by Providence to plague
Latin America with misery in the name of liberty."
--Fidel Castro on the United States
(quoting Simón Bolívar)
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Ecuador
Head of State
Lucio Gutierrez, a leftist candidate, was elected in January
2003. Like Chavez, Gutierrez is a former military officer who
once plotted a coup against his government.
Relations With Venezuela
Gutierrez joined Chavez in opposing the U.S.-supported Free
Trade of the Americas Pact, which both leaders believe would
make their economies even more vulnerable to global pressures.
Relations With the United States
U.S. officials argue that Gutierrez shares "with us and the
rest of the region a consensus on the basic outlines of development
and security."
In Their Own Words
He "has shown me the way." But also: "We are two different people.
I am a fan of governing with consensus. I will look for unity
among all Ecuadoreans."
--President Gutierrez on Hugo Chavez
"You will find in Venezuela a brother ready to stretch out
his hand as a soldier and from this Bolivarian heart so that
we can bring our countries closer."
--Hugo Chavez to President Gutierrez
Ecuador should be the United States' "best ally" and make
itself "attractive to investors."
--President Gutierrez on the United
States
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Argentina
Head of State
Nestor Kirchner, a center-left candidate, was elected in May
2003. He is the most recently elected in a series of newly elected
left-leaning presidents in Latin America.
Relations With Venezuela
Chavez has been highly critical of the International Monetary
Fund (IMF), but Kirchner has said that good relations with the
IMF are crucial in managing his country's swelling debt.
Relations With the United States
President George W. Bush called to congratulate Kirchner on
his election.
In Their Own Words
"I do not know President Chavez, but I want to have an excellent
relationship."
--President Kirchner on Hugo Chavez
"(We propose) a strategic alliance to form a South American
political arena."
--Hugo Chavez on President Kirchner
In his inaugural address, Kirchner called for a "serious,
ample and mature relationship with the United States of America
and the states comprising the European Union ... ."
--President Kirchner on the United
States
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David Montero is a freelance journalist
based in Oakland, California.
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