Part Two: Doubt | The Power of Big Oil

Watch part two of The Power of Big Oil, a three-episode FRONTLINE docuseries investigating the fossil fuel industry’s history of casting doubt and delaying action on climate change. This part chronicles how, as scientific evidence of human-caused climate change mounted in the 2000s, the industry continued to question the science, and went to new lengths to shape American politics and stall climate policy.

TRANSCRIPT

>> For more than 150 years, oil

and gas has played a critical role in our society, improving

human lives, raising standards of living and enabling

unprecedented economic growth. >> What do you do when your

industry can no longer exist without creating catastrophes

worldwide. >> The impacts of climate change

are intensifying... >> It’s important to understand

the past. You can’t understand where you

are, if you don’t know how you got there.

>> NARRATOR: In a special three-part series, the epic

story of our failure to tackle climate change.

>> The whole world is heating up...

>> NARRATOR: And the role of the fossil fuel industry...

>> Did big oil knowingly spread disinformation?

>> NARRATOR: Now, in part two - how big oil continued its

campaign of doubt... >> I assert to you that I don’t

think this is happening. >> Lee Raymond is salient

because he’s hammering away the idea of scientific uncertainty

even as the science grew more certain.

>> NARRATOR: And the political struggles - over taking

action... >> We do not know how fast

change will occur. >> There just was no appetite,

economically, politically, to go forward with a cap on carbon.

My brother Charles and I provided the funds to start the

Americans for Prosperity. >> We had a multifaceted,

hard-hitting approach, pressuring Republicans who were

weak kneed and Democrats who were vulnerable.

This was the end of climate legislation in US Congress for a

long time. We had a shot at it.

And we got beat. >> We have continued to maintain

a position that has evolved with science and is today consistent

with the science. We won’t solve the climate

crisis unless we solve the misinformation crisis.

♪ ♪

>> In 1998, there was this meeting in D.C.

It was convened by the American Petroleum Institute.

Exxon is in the room, Chevron, Southern Company, with various

think tank officers, communications professionals,

and right-wing, libertarian professionals.

They're hatching a plan to stop people from worrying about

climate change. >> NARRATOR: Less than a year

earlier, some of those in the room had helped block American

participation in a major international attempt to combat

climate change. They feared more threats on the

horizon. >> The plan is a wide and

concerted effort to install uncertainty around climate

science. To decrease political pressure

by sowing doubt around the science.

Their targets include media, members of Congress,

schoolteachers, average citizens.

The plan right at the top says, "Victory will be achieved when

recognition of uncertainties becomes part of the

'conventional wisdom.'" They said that it was never

implemented. But what it shows is an

intentionality. "We need people to not care so

much about climate change. We need uncertainty to rule the

day." ♪ ♪

>> Our country faces a big choice about the future.

We are truly at a fork in the road.

>> With the help of Congress, environmental groups, and

industry, we will require all power plants to meet clean air

standards in order to reduce emissions.

>> NARRATOR: The new millennium began with a presidential

campaign. (crowd cheering, screaming)

One candidate had long advocated for action to combat global

warming. >> In this election, the

environment itself is on the ballot, and there's a big

difference between us. I'll never put polluters in

charge of our environmental laws.

>> NARRATOR: His Republican rival was an oilman from Texas

who was also talking about action on climate change.

>> I mean, look, global warming needs to be taken very

seriously, and I take it seriously.

Both of us care a lot about the environment.

We may have different approaches.

(crowd cheering) >> During the campaign of 2000,

George W. Bush put out a, uh, a position paper and a speech

and a statement saying that he was all in favor of putting

limits on carbon emissions, and he was in favor of all kinds of

government measures. It dampened the sharp contrast

that I had thought was going to be very clear.

("Hail to the Chief" playing) >> Whenever there's a transition

of power in Washington, D.C., there's a great deal of talk

about a change in the culture, as well.

(crowd cheering and applauding) >> NARRATOR: Bush had pledged

that he would place a national limit on America's carbon

dioxide emissions. >> Governor Whitman reflects a

growing consensus in this country about environmental

policy. She and I share the same point

of view. >> NARRATOR: Once in office,

President Bush tapped Christie Todd Whitman to run the

Environmental Protection Agency to turn his pledge into action.

>> We had talked about it before I accepted the position.

Some sort of a cap on carbon that limits the amount of

emissions is what's critical. And the president agreed with

me-- we were on the same page. I thought that this was our

opportunity that we could really get it done.

>> NARRATOR: Less than two months after the inauguration,

Whitman prepared to travel to a gathering of environmental

ministers from eight of the world's largest economies.

>> Before I went to my first G8 environmental ministers meeting

in Italy, I went to the White House, and I basically said,

"Look, I am going to say we'll put a cap on carbon," because

that had been in the campaign literature.

And I ran that all the way up the flagpole at the White House

to make sure it was okay and, "Fine, go ahead."

♪ ♪ The president has indicated he

acknowledges that global warming is of primary importance.

It's at the top of his agenda. >> NARRATOR: But while Whitman

was in Italy, a very different message was being promoted

through the top ranks of the Bush administration.

Haley Barbour, an influential Republican and energy lobbyist,

had written to Vice President Dick Cheney, questioning whether

the carbon cap idea was "eco-extremism" and risked

exacerbating the country's energy problems.

Other prominent voices, some from think tanks funded by the

fossil fuel industry, joined in, too, opposing climate action.

>> This global warming controversy is unprovable, but

that doesn't stop people on both sides from swearing they know

what the heck is going on. Joining us now from Washington

is Jerry Taylor, the Cato Institute's director of natural

resource studies. ♪ ♪

>> My objective while at Cato was to demonstrate to smart,

engaged people that the case against climate action was far

stronger than they realized. And I honestly and in good faith

felt that the arguments against climate action were far, far

stronger, and so that was my job.

And I did it well. For most people, if things are

very uncertain, they're not going to commit a lot of

resources to address them until that uncertainty clears up.

>> Do you believe that the people of the United States

should do anything because of the weather?

>> Um, you know, in fact, E.P.A. administrator Christie

Whitman... >> Debate is performance art.

I was pretty good at that performance art.

I was the good communicating gunslinger.

>> All right, so less emissions. >> Things that'll save money and

save the environment. >> Mr. Taylor, last word.

>> We've already had about a third of the amount of warming

that we're going to get this century, it's already happened,

and crop yields are up, life expectancy is up.

>> All right, so you're fine, and Miss Callahan is battening

down the hatches. >> Things are fine so far.

♪ ♪ When I returned from Italy, I

heard some rumors that all of a sudden, we weren't going to go

forward with a cap on carbon. So I asked for a meeting with

the president, went over, and met with him.

And it was a done deal. In fact, as I walked out of the

office after that meeting, the vice president was just coming

by and said, "Do you have a letter for me?"

I didn't know what letter he was talking about.

He asked the secretary, and they handed him an envelope.

And he was on his way up to the Hill, and it was the letter

that said, "We're not doing a cap on carbon.

Too bad, rest of the world." ♪ ♪

>> The president claims he dropped the plan because it

would drive up already inflated energy costs.

But the announcement left his E.P.A. chief, who had vigorously

promoted the curbs, twisting in the wind.

>> I was really blindsided when I found that we were backing out

of that pledge. I was monumentally disappointed.

The administration was extremely close to the energy industry.

The vice president was industry through and through.

And he was very persuasive in his arguments, as were some of

the Republicans on the Hill, about how this was going to kill

the economy, that we needed more energy, we could not start to

put a cap on carbon. And so there just was no

appetite, economically, politically, or otherwise, to go

forward with a cap on carbon. >> NARRATOR: The vice president

was stressing the need for more fossil fuels.

>> Some things about the future we cannot know.

Years down the road, alternative fuels may become a great deal

more plentiful than they are today.

But we are not yet in any position to stake our economy

and our way of life on that possibility.

For years down the road, this will continue to be true.

>> NARRATOR: The president, too, veered from the tone he'd struck

as a candidate, and was emphasizing the uncertainty of

climate science. >> Climate change, with its

potential to impact every corner of the world, is an issue that

must be addressed by the world. We do not know how fast change

will occur. Or even how some of our actions

could impact it. ♪ ♪

>> It really was a tragedy. If President Bush had gone

forward with a cap on carbon, it would have made an enormous

difference. It would have been a huge signal

coming from a Republican administration.

>> The head of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

announced her resignation today. Christine Whitman said she

wanted to spend more time with her family.

Once we'd gone through this, what I would call a debacle over

the cap on carbon. There was no appetite for

addressing climate change at all.

It wasn't going to be the number one issue.

It just wasn't. That was it, I mean you just

didn't talk about it. The industry was winning a lot

of battles that I was losing. I mean ultimately, that's what

led me to leave the administration.

I wasn't going to be just a rubber stamp for industry.

And I just had enough. >> History's biggest merger

created America's largest company.

And together, Exxon and Mobil will be the biggest oil company

in the world. 123,000 employees, $200 billion

in revenue, and 47,000 gas stations worldwide.

>> NARRATOR: The Bush administration's U-turn was a

victory for Big Oil-- especially ExxonMobil.

♪ ♪ Its C.E.O., Lee Raymond, was

close to the vice president-- who'd been an oil industry

executive himself. >> These men were business

associates, they were friendly. They were part of the same

fraternity, the oil fraternity. (static buzzes)

>> You rolling? >> Yes, sir.

>> As chairman and chief executive officer of one of the

world's leading energy companies, Lee Raymond has

helped to improve the lives of countless people all over the

world. And as the head of a major

science- and knowledge-based corporation, Lee understands the

critical importance of science and technology to continued

progress and economic growth both at home and abroad.

>> I have been investigating the fossil fuel industry for

decades. Exxon was a ringleader, and they

were at the center of the campaigns that were around in

the late '90s-early 2000s to stall climate policy.

Exxon had emerged as the real bully on climate change, headed

by Lee Raymond, who was a hardened denier.

>> Number two, please. >> Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

I'd like to comment on the findings of fact about the

relationship between the burning of fossil fuels and of climate

deterioration. I understand that the

corporation's policy is that this remains in the realm of the

unproven, but I would like to state from the broad scientific

community that this is, in fact, a well-established fact.

>> "There is no convincing scientific evidence that human

release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse

gases is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause

catastrophic heating of the Earth's atmosphere and

disruption of the Earth's climate."

>> Lee Raymond is salient because he kept hammering away

at the idea of scientific uncertainty about human activity

driving climate change, even as the science grew more certain.

>> There is a substantial difference of view in the

scientific community as to what exactly is going on.

I can assert to you that I don't think this is happening.

My mind is open enough to say I'm going to listen to the

science. >> From 1998 to 2014, Exxon

alone put over $30 million into think tanks that were proffering

uncertainty, that were questioning the climate science,

questioning policies that were being proposed-- really casting

doubt on anything to do with climate change at the state

level, at the national level, and internationally.

>> I started working at ExxonMobil shortly after the

merger. At the turn of the century, they

were making on the order of $5 billion a year.

>> NARRATOR: Geoscientist Bill Heins had spent years studying

past climate change before joining ExxonMobil.

This is the first time he's been interviewed about his

experiences at the company. ♪ ♪

>> I'm disappointed, I'm angry, I'm disenchanted at the

duplicity exhibited by ExxonMobil to say one thing

internally and to say a different thing with a much

different consequence in the political arena.

>> NARRATOR: He'd been hired to use his expertise in climate

change to help discover new oil deposits.

♪ ♪ >> My ambition when I joined

Exxon was to keep doing my science.

And I was blown away, doing all kinds of really interesting

earth science research at technical levels above what was

happening even in top universities.

And not only was it appreciated, but it was for a reason.

People need energy to live. And we were providing that

energy. >> NARRATOR: Heins says

scientists at the company had developed a deep understanding

of climate change and the role of burning fossil fuels.

>> This was real fundamental earth science.

We really tore apart how does the Earth work.

And climate is a really important part of that system.

So you got to understand the climate system to search for oil

and gas. The fundamental idea that we put

CO2 in the atmosphere, and that makes the temperature go up, and

that's bad, everybody understands that completely

clearly. >> NARRATOR: He says he quickly

saw signs of a disconnect between what he and his

colleagues knew and the position the company wanted to

stress. >> Shortly after I joined

ExxonMobil, there was a presentation by Art Green, who

was the chief geoscientist of ExxonMobil Exploration.

All the scientific staff were there, and Art got up and gave

his presentation about how ice core records were unreliable.

And here were temperature excursions in the past when

there couldn't possibly be any human influence.

And here's all these reasons why we really don't have to worry

about climate change. He didn't clearly state it, but

the subtext appeared to be that his bosses didn't believe that

climate change was something to be concerned about.

There was kind of stunned silence in the room.

And ExxonMobil is a very polite place.

In that context, the reaction was quite remarkable.

Translated in modern parlance, if, well, my children were

explaining the reaction, they'd say, "Are you nuts?"

(laughing) "No, we don't believe you.

We're scientists here, we, we don't want to, we don't want to

hear this stuff." >> NARRATOR: Arthur Green is

retired from ExxonMobil and did not respond to requests for

comment. The company would not grant us

any interviews, but said in a statement that it "has long

acknowledged the reality and risks of climate change, and it

has devoted significant resources to addressing those

risks." And it said that "it should not

be surprising that there are competing views about how best

to address the risks of climate change."

>> Hurricane Mitch smashed homes, wrecked crops, killed

thousands of people. >> 25 people were killed by

mudslides in Southern Italy caused by two days of

torrential rain. >> The people had no warning of

the deluge. It came in the dead of night as

they slept. >> Record temperatures in Italy,

Kosovo, and France have also sparked blazes.

♪ ♪ >> NARRATOR: Michael MacCracken

was one of the government's senior scientists investigating

climate change during the Bush administration.

>> My career was in climate modeling.

From 1997 to 2002, I was in charge of helping make the first

climate assessment on the U.S.-- what would be the impacts.

And what we found is that there was no question that it was

rising concentrations of CO2 doing that.

If we really want to do something significant to slow

this so that our grandchildren don't face a changing world,

we're going to have to do a substantial movement away from

the key fossil fuels of coal and oil, particularly.

>> NARRATOR: In January 2001, MacCracken participated in a

headline-grabbing report for the United Nations Intergovernmental

Panel on Climate Change. The I.P.C.C. said there was now

"new and stronger evidence that most of the warming observed

over the last 50 years is attributable to human

activities." >> The statement that came out

of the I.P.C.C. said, "Look, humans are the main cause."

And that turned out to be very controversial.

>> NARRATOR: ExxonMobil's response was severe: a company

lobbyist faxed the Bush administration demanding

MacCracken and several others who worked with the

I.P.C.C. be removed, accusing them of "scientific bias."

>> The fax was sent by Randy Randol, the senior environmental

adviser to ExxonMobil. It says, "The U.S. was

represented by Clinton-Gore carryovers with aggressive

agendas." And so he offered his thoughts

on what should be done. Exxon just didn't like the

science that was coming out. And so was basically calling for

a complete replacement of those who were leading the

scientific enterprise. >> NARRATOR: Within two years,

the scientists that ExxonMobil had named, including

MacCracken, would retire or be replaced.

>> ExxonMobil tried to control the discussion of the United

States. And then put off the problem.

"We'll make our profits now and we'll slowly change, but we

won't do anything urgent enough as, as the science was

indicating." And so I chose to write a letter

directed to Lee Raymond as chairman and chief executive,

but copied to everybody else. "Dear Mr. Raymond, while my

departure may be satisfying to ExxonMobil, I can assure you

that this will not make the scientific challenge of climate

change and its impacts go away. That 150 countries unanimously

agree about the science of this issue is not because of some

green conspiracy, but because of the solid scientific

underpinning for this issue. To call ExxonMobil's position

out of the mainstream is thus a gross understatement."

And then a few weeks later, I received a response from Kenneth

Cohen, who was vice president for public affairs.

"In summary, we regret that you apparently don't understand the

company's actions and activities related to this

complex issue. Possible human-induced climate

change is a long-term risk that we at ExxonMobil take very

seriously." They had to write something.

(laughs) >> From our studios in New York

City, this is "Charlie Rose." >> Lee Raymond is here.

ExxonMobil is having a record year in 2005.

His career has been a remarkable financial performance.

He retires at the end of this year.

Welcome back. >> Sounds ominous, Charlie.

>> (laughs) >> It's good to be here.

Thank you. >> The environmental community

thinks you are... ...part of the problem.

>> Mm-hmm. >> They say the following:

global warming is produced by CO2 emission in the air.

>> Do I disagree with the premise that the Earth is

getting warmer? >> Yes, sir.

>> No, I really don't disagree with that.

The climate has changed every year for millions of years.

If we weren't here, the climate would change.

There have been times in the Earth's history where there has

been no ice on the Earth. No ice on the Earth.

Man didn't have anything to do with it.

♪ ♪ >> NARRATOR: ExxonMobil itself

had been reinforcing this kind of message using

"advertorials"-- advertisements with the appearance of editorial

content-- in major newspapers. They promoted the idea that the

science of climate change was still too uncertain to limit the

use of fossil fuels. >> When I looked at those

advertorials at the time, I didn't take them as being that

important. Sitting inside the organization

and doing good science, I thought, "We're for good

science." I averted my gaze.

So this one about "Unsettled Science" is highlighting

uncertainties or variabilities that are true, but they're not

important to the issue. It's not something that deflects

us from the basic idea that more CO2 changes the climate in a bad

way. They were sowing doubt.

It was not just public posturing.

It was truly casting aspersions on science.

>> NARRATOR: Lee Raymond did not respond to our requests for an

interview. In its statements to us,

ExxonMobil said, "There is no truth to the suggestion that

ExxonMobil ever misled the public or policy makers about

climate change." And the company said it has been

consistent with the "contemporary understanding of

mainstream climate science." >> So it would be correct to say

that Lee Raymond was consistent with science in saying that we

don't quite know exactly what the answer is.

But he was out of sync with the science of the time, which said,

"If you keep going in this direction, it's going to be

bad." That is a different thing than

the strictly legalistic argument about being consistent with the

science. ♪ ♪

>> Scientists are telling us that these kinds of events will

become more frequent and probably more intense.

>> Extreme drought conditions are providing dangerous fuel for

wildfires. >> There are many predictions

that Hurricane Katrina will turn out to be the nation's most

expensive natural disaster. >> Hurricane activity, that's

gone up so much, and so beautifully in correlation with

the rise in tropical ocean temperatures, which globally is

attributable to global warming. The signal is pretty

unmistakable. ♪ ♪

>> NARRATOR: As the science and the warnings became clearer and

more urgent, some of the fossil fuel industry's most reliable

allies started having doubts. >> I look back on the work I did

at that time with a lot of regret.

If I had known at the time what ExxonMobil internally knew, as

we are becoming increasingly aware, uh, no, I would

definitely have been in a different place.

(static buzzes) Well, sure you can run through

your parade of horribles that we've heard about over the

years. We were told that there would be

massive die-offs from overpopulation and famine, and

that never happened. And people would starve and that

never happened. And now we've got a global

warming situation, allegedly. It became increasingly clear

to me that, as I debated smart people on the other side

using state-of-the-art information that was being

generated in real time in the academic literature, that my

job became increasingly difficult.

The arguments weren't holding up.

That began my move away from climate skepticism.

Because as the 2000s play out, the arguments for action on the

scientific front become stronger and stronger and stronger.

>> (chanting): What do we want? >> Clean fuel!

>> When do we want it? >> Now!

>> What do we want? >> NARRATOR: At ExxonMobil,

under a new C.E.O., Rex Tillerson, they had now made

a public acknowledgement that the risks of climate change

justified taking action. But at the same time, they were

still raising the uncertainties and funding groups who disputed

the scientific consensus. >> I don't, I don't really read

that, and when I read what these groups are publishing, what

they're examining are holes in the science, gaps in the

science, things that don't have a good scientific basis.

>> Under Rex Tillerson, what they said was, "We just don't

know, and do we really want to overturn our economies and upend

things to address growing CO2 levels, when we just don't

know?" >> As I said earlier, I

think having a good debate on this is what's sorely needed.

And this rush to everyone wanting to say, "We got it

figured out," that's just... I hate to say it, but that

ain't so. >> And the Oscar goes to "An

Inconvenient Truth." Davis Guggenheim.

>> NARRATOR: In 2006, Al Gore's film "An Inconvenient Truth"

sounded the alarm to a widening audience, warning of a

"planetary emergency." >> All over the world, we need

to solve the climate crisis. We have everything we need to

get started with the possible exception of the will to act.

That's a renewable resource. Let's renew it.

(audience applauds and cheers) We had reality on our side.

And tragically, the felt consequences of the climate

crisis were growing in intensity and frequency and severity.

It was time to regroup again and, and double down.

>> NARRATOR: The president wasn't persuaded to pursue

legislative action, but by now had publicly stated that humans

were causing climate change. Other Republicans were shifting

their positions, too. >> For my first six years in

Congress, I said that climate change was nonsense.

I didn't know anything about it, except that Al Gore was for it.

That was the end of the inquiry. But then our son, the eldest of

our five kids, had just turned 18.

So he was voting for the first time.

And he came to me and he said, "Dad, I'll vote for you.

But you're gonna clean up your act on the environment."

♪ ♪ So that was step one of a

metamorphosis for me. Step two was going to

Antarctica, the Science Committee.

Seeing the evidence in the ice core drillings.

In that mile of ice is an amazing record of the Earth's

atmosphere. What it shows is stable levels

of CO2, and then an uptick that coincides with the Industrial

Revolution. We make climate science

sound so complicated. It's really not.

>> In 2007, climate change was at its most bipartisan level

that I think it ever was. You had Republican members of

Congress introducing bills about it.

Politically and sort of public awareness-wise, this was a bit

of a golden era in the United States.

>> Hi, I'm Nancy Pelosi, lifelong Democrat and speaker of

the House. >> And I'm Newt Gingrich,

lifelong Republican, and I used to be speaker.

>> We don't always see eye to eye, do we, Newt?

>> No, but we do agree our country must take action to

address climate change. >> We need cleaner forms of

energy, and we need them fast. >> One of the first things that

Nancy Pelosi did as speaker was to create the Select Committee

on Energy Independence and Global Warming.

And I was lucky enough to land my dream job and be a

staffer on this committee. And this is where laws would be

made to deal with what I believed was an existential

crisis for humanity. >> NARRATOR: The committee

picked up the idea of a carbon cap that the Bush

administration had rejected years earlier.

They wanted to set a national limit on greenhouse gas

emissions, and require companies to trade amongst themselves for

how much each could emit. >> The ultimate goal of the bill

was to reduce carbon emissions by 80% below 2005 levels by

2050. And that's a lot of fossil

industry. A lot of oil and gas producers,

the coal miners, the coal companies, refineries.

It was going to hit someone's pocketbook.

> NARRATOR: The plan emerged as the 2008 presidential

campaign was ramping up. Republican candidate John McCain

came out in support of the cap and trade approach.

>> The facts of global warming demand our urgent attention,

especially in Washington. (audience cheering)

>> NARRATOR: So did his opponent, Democrat Barack Obama.

(audience cheering) >> I am absolutely certain that

generations from now, we will be able to look back and tell our

children, "This was the moment when the rise of the oceans

began to slow and our planet began to heal."

(audience cheering) >> Having worked on many

presidential races and around presidential politics, that was

the first year where we really saw climate change as something

that American voters really wanted to hear from candidates

on. And it was interesting, because

we were not necessarily having a debate about whether or not

climate change was real. It was really, how,

collectively, can we make a meaningful contribution to

reducing greenhouse gas emissions across the economy?

♪ ♪ >> NARRATOR: Shortly before the

presidential election, ExxonMobil contacted corporate

responsibility specialist Bennett Freeman.

>> I had an informal conversation in the back of a

limousine with Ken Cohen at ExxonMobil, who was

essentially their chief policy maker and public affairs

officer. I think the observation that got

Ken Cohen's attention was that we had this unprecedented

situation where both the Republican and the Democratic

nominee for president committed, both committed to the climate

agenda. And we had a pretty frank

conversation about the implications for the company,

particularly on climate. I thought that Exxon was

shamefully out of the action, because it had become so

apparent that climate science was real.

So my advice to Ken was for the company to finally take a

public position on climate policy.

To make an unequivocal statement accepting the reality

of climate science; to make a unequivocal commitment to not

fund any more climate denial research, which Exxon was

infamous for supporting, for funding directly; and to take a

positive, proactive position supporting action at the U.S.

federal level. ♪ ♪

>> NARRATOR: Two weeks before President Obama was inaugurated,

ExxonMobil C.E.O. Tillerson would give a speech that went

farther than the company had ever gone on the urgency of the

climate change issue. >> Amazingly...

That speech happened. >> Globally, the outlook for

energy expects energy-related carbon dioxide emissions to rise

by an average of one percent per year through the year 2030.

These two fundamental realities, meeting enormous demand growth

and managing the risk of greenhouse gas emissions, are

the twin challenges of our time. >> It was, I think, the first

time that, at least at the C.E.O. level, they started, just

started, to take a policy position that was potentially

constructive. It's important to acknowledge

that this was an initial step. But it's equally important, even

more important, in my opinion, to emphasize that it was a step

that was little and late. ♪ ♪

>> I covered ExxonMobil at "The Wall Street Journal" at that

time, and Rex Tillerson was a breath of fresh air.

He starts talking about the importance of pursuing a lower

carbon path. But at the end of the day,

I can't really point to anything substantive that changed.

>> NARRATOR: Rex Tillerson did not respond to interview

requests. Despite his speech, ExxonMobil

did not endorse cap and trade. The bill, sponsored by Democrats

Henry Waxman and Edward Markey narrowly passed the House.

>> Yeas are 219, nays are 212. (cheering and applauding)

The bill is passed. (gavel pounds)

>> The president won a victory in the House of Representatives

on a sweeping climate bill. >> June 26, 2009?

It was a, it was a big day. It was the culmination of years

of work. Inside, I think there was a lot

of relieved and happy people, because this was the end of a

very long road. It was a huge moment.

>> NARRATOR: It was the first legislation to curb greenhouse

gas emissions to pass the House of Representatives.

Now the bill needed to get through the Senate.

>> We were optimistic that the Senate would pick up the bill

that summer. And I think we were a little bit

naive about that. >> When somebody's business

model is deeply affected or felt to be affected, there are always

going to be well-funded interests that make the case,

"Don't take any action, do not regulate us."

♪ ♪ >> One of our nation's largest

private companies is proudly built on American values and

skill. Koch Industries started in the

heartland. >> NARRATOR: ExxonMobil and

other companies continued their opposition to cap and trade, but

the fiercest pushback came from another powerful force in the

industry. >> You may not always see our

name on the products you use... >> In 2009, Koch Industries is

the second-largest privately held company in the

United States, whose annual sales are bigger

than that of Goldman Sachs, U.S. Steel, and Facebook combined.

Koch is just deeply embedded in the fossil fuel

infrastructure. It trades ships and transports

natural gas, oil, gasoline. So when you think about anything

that would reduce demand or increase the price for fossil

fuels, it's a tremendous threat to Koch's business.

>> This was a moment when the potential for passing climate

change regulation was more real than it has ever been in U.S.

history. Full stop.

That's why you saw the Koch political machine kick into high

gear. >> Do you believe in

anthropogenic climate change? >> I mean, there are such a

thing as greenhouse gases, and they're contributing to

that, but I don't think anybody knows how much.

I don't think science is settled.

I mean, how could it be? Matter of fact, science is

never settled. >> NARRATOR: David Hoffmann was

an environmental lawyer at Koch Industries.

This is the first time he has spoken on camera about his work

there. >> My father-in-law, basically,

his message to me was, "Don't work for the devil.

This is a company that doesn't care about the impact they're

having on the world, in the world."

It encouraged me even more to work for Koch Industries,

because I felt like, maybe I can convince people, you know,

within Koch Industries that environmental compliance is not

such a bad thing. >> NARRATOR: Hoffmann was given

the job of assessing what the cap and trade bill would mean

for Koch Industries. He met with a team of senior

Koch lobbyists. >> I was invited to this

meeting. The discussion quickly turned

from the possibility that this bill might pass and what we

should be doing to prepare for it, to a discussion about how

are we going to prevent it from passing, who are vulnerable

Republicans that we need to target to make sure that they

don't vote for this bill. "We cannot let this bill pass.

We won't let this bill pass. And we have to do everything in

our power to prevent it from passing."

>> Welcome to Americans for Prosperity Foundation's...

>> NARRATOR: The Koch-funded organization Americans for

Prosperity spearheaded the effort to stop the bill in the

Senate. >> I can't tell you what a

thrill it is for me to be here this morning.

Five years ago, my brother Charles and I provided the funds

to start the Americans for Prosperity.

And it's beyond my wildest dreams how AFP has grown into

this enormous organization. 800,000 activists from nothing

five years ago. (balloon inflating)

>> NARRATOR: AFP began rallying opposition on the ground across

the country. Steve Lonegan, a senior staffer

at AFP, helped mobilize the movement.

>> This country is heading in the wrong direction.

But like Americans have always done, we're going to rise to

the occasion. You know that, we are not going

to let this cap and trade bill pass.

Each and every day, I urge every single one of you to get up and

think about what you can do that day, what action you can take,

to change the course of history. >> Americans for Prosperity

emerged at a time when America was being challenged by the

climate change argument. It became very obvious that the

Republican Party was not prepared or willing to fight the

fight. And Charles Koch, who in my

opinion is a hero and a visionary, saw this problem.

We as Americans have reached a moment of realization that the

very core values and principles are under attack like never

before in our lifetime. We had a multifaceted, hard-

hitting approach, pressuring Republicans who were weak-kneed

and Democrats who were vulnerable whose states would

be impacted by this. If you're going to go into a

war, like this was, the first thing you need to do is get your

troops marching, get them energized.

And that's what we did in that summer.

(crowd clamoring, cheering) >> This was a volatile time in

American life. (clamoring, whistle blowing)

We had just had the biggest economic collapse since the

Depression. The Tea Party movement was

animated by a lot of genuine political passion.

Koch very cunningly stepped in and channeled that energy to

Koch's ends. (crowd clamoring)

Koch took that passion and also told these people, "Oh,

hey, by the way, the government is trying to regulate greenhouse

gases, which is another form of socialist tyranny, and they're

trying to take your country away from you."

>> All of a sudden, people started to get really energized

about climate change, and not in a positive way.

>> (chanting): No Obamacare! No cap and trade!

>> They are people screaming, and they're animated about cap

and trade. And it's, like, "What, what just

happened? How did, how did this happen?"

From the summer of 2009, through the winter into the

spring, we gradually saw the U.S. Senate back away from

climate, basically because the handful of Republicans who we

thought would engage on this issue saw what was happening.

They don't want to be one of these people who just voted for

the climate bill, and now have angry protesters storming down

their door. (crowd clamoring)

It was a bucket of cold water. >> We stopped the bill from even

going to a vote in the U.S. Senate.

So it died its own death. I think we recognized the moment

of relief is when we realized they didn't have the votes to

pass it. And the thing just fell apart.

There was just too much pressure.

There were Democrats who weren't voting for it in key energy

states. And at that point, everybody

knew it was over. Back to the drawing board for

the progressive left. >> I was demoralized.

(chuckles) I think we all knew this was

the end of climate legislation in the U.S. Congress for a long

time. We had a shot at it, and we got

beat. >> NARRATOR: No one from Koch

Industries would agree to an interview or respond to

questions. >> (chanting): You work for us!

You work for us! (car horns honking)

>> NARRATOR: The cap and trade bill was dead.

Meanwhile the Kochs' and Americans for Prosperity had

been pursuing another goal: purging the Republican Party of

lawmakers who didn't espouse their skeptical views on climate

change. >> I'm actually hopeful that

this vote that you made was a vote to put you out of office.

(crowd cheers and applauds) (inaudible)

>> It's all a hoax. >> The Republican Party needed

to be shored up, it needed to be propped up, it needed to be

given a backbone. >> Primaries are the most

important part of our election system.

You know, some incumbent can be sitting there all fat and happy,

thinking they're ensconced and can't be beaten, and someone

come out of nowhere, knock them out in the primary.

It happens all the time. >> You will get your just

deserts. >> This is where you saw

the perfection of the primary strategy, whereby Koch would,

would give money to a primary opponent to take out a

congressperson that had crossed Koch on climate change.

(crowd clamoring) >> NARRATOR: Bob Inglis was one

of those targeted. >> Escort her out.

>> NARRATOR: He says suddenly Koch Industries stopped

supporting him and backed an up-and-coming conservative

opponent. >> My most enduring heresy

against the orthodoxy at the time was just saying, "Climate

change is real, and let's do something about it."

They didn't want their money being spent on somebody that was

talking what I was talking. One very memorable occasion

was a big tent meeting-- all of my primary opponents were there.

The guy asking the questions was a local Christian radio talk

host. And his question for me was, is

climate change human-caused and do you support a carbon tax?

And so I said yes and yes. I do believe that humans

contribute to climate change. And actually, let me strike

that-- I don't really "believe" it, it's not an article of

faith for me. All my faith tells me to look at

the data. The data says that's happening.

And then it goes to the guy that we were concerned about, because

he's a very capable fella. >> No on cap and trade.

No on carbon taxes. I have been a prosecutor for 16

years. I'm used to having things

proven to me and proving it to other people.

Global warming has not been proven to the satisfaction of

the constituents that I seek to serve.

(crowd cheers and applauds) >> I remember thinking, "That

was a particularly good political answer, but it won't

win you a Profile in Courage, but, you know, a good answer,

politically." >> Let's go ahead and take a

look at the numbers. It is a huge margin of victory.

Inglis lost every county in the district.

He is a seasoned congressman going down to a huge defeat

tonight. >> You know, it's quite a

spectacular faceplant, to get just 29% of the vote after 12

years in Congress. And it became a lesson to

others, you know, that you toe the line.

>> House Democrats of every stripe were voted out of

office last night. >> It was a bloodbath for

Democrats last night. It was historic.

>> Sweeping, stunning Republican victories all across the

country. >> (cheering loudly)

>> NARRATOR: Many of the Republicans who won the 2010

midterms had signed and AFP pledge opposing climate change

legislation. And openly challenged

the climate science that had been accepted by some in their

own party and industry. >> The achievement of 2010, the

newly elected Republicans, the vast majority of which signed

our carbon pledge, was to put an end to the whole climate change

argument since then till now. It's been a dead issue.

>> Are you are you proud of what Americans for Prosperity has

achieved this year... >> You bet I am.

Man, oh, man-- we're gonna do more, too, in the next couple of

years, you know? ♪ ♪

>> Koch Industries was able to reshape the Republican Party

into one that identified with the idea that climate change is

not real, that the science is a hoax, and that is a position

of zero compromise and total opposition, not only to any

laws, but even to an acknowledgement that the

problem is real. ♪ ♪

>> A U.N. report released just this morning says climate

change is accelerating and we are running out of time

to stop it. >> Punishing and extreme weather

once again putting lives at risk.

>> Climate change is now widespread, rapid, and

intensifying, that human activity has warmed the

climate... ♪ ♪

>> The world, as an ecosystem, as an entity, is in big trouble.

To think about the fact that we are making it worse, that's a

hard thing to wrap your head around.

If I could have seen earlier that the hydrocarbon industry

writ large was responsible for distracting attention from

climate change, I would have taken a different path.

I bear responsibility for having created bad outcomes.

I consider often what kind of world are my grandchildren gonna

live in. 50 years from now, they will

rightly look back and say, "What were you thinking?"

♪ ♪

>> NARRATOR: Next time... >> Renewables weren’t quite

there yet. And natural gas could provide

continuous 24-hour generation. >> NARRATOR: The fossil fuel

industry pivots to a new energy source...

>> When they were marketing natural gas as clean energy,

they didn’t really know what they were talking about.

>> Doing something for the first time, taking advantage of this

new resource. You don’t always know what you

don’t know. And overtime, what we learned is

very, very scary. >> NARRATOR: And the challenges

that have delayed climate action...

>> We have a supply of natural gas that can last America nearly

100 years. >> The United States is now the

number one producer of oil and natural gas.

>> A global energy crisis exacerbated by Russia’s war...

>> To release 60 million barrels of oil from reserves around the

world. >> We all want a clean climate

but what we want more than that, is to be able to fill up our

cars below four dollars a gallon.

We’re still very much in the fossil fuel age.

NARRATOR: The third and final part of The Power of Big Oil -

next time, on FRONTLINE.

Captioned by Media Access Group at WGBH Access Group at WGBH

access.wgbh.org. >> For more on this and other

Frontline programs visit our website at pbs.org/frontline.

>> To order Frontline's "The Power of Big Oil"

on DVD visit Shop PBS or call 1.800.PLAY.PBS.

♪ ♪ Frontline is also available

on Amazon Prime Video.