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4 How necessary is so-called 'negative' advertising?
PAUL TAYLOR replies:
The research is mixed. There is one set of scholarship that says it actually sort of cuts the baby in half and says the people these negative ads fire up are the people at the polls, are the true believers left or right: "They're attacking my guy. They can't do this" or "Yeah, go get 'em!" And the broad middle, the 50, 60, 70% of the population that's not strongly identified with a party or ideology looks at this back and forth "So's your old lady, so's your old lady" and says to himself, "I'm out of here. I don't need this sort of childish, back and forth. I got more important things to do with my life." So it's possible that both things are true simultaneously. There's no question turnout has been on a steep, steep decline. It's happened over thiry or forty years. That happens to be the same period where the paid political spot, the 30-second spot, has become the coin of the realm.
Has one caused the other? You know, it's hard to know, and the scholarship is mixed on it. It seems to me that there is some connection somewhere.
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