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The Summit Day
part 2 |
back to part 1
Everest and the Jet Stream
Dramatic forces of nature are at play on the slopes of Everest
with the jet stream blowing directly overhead. The jet stream
is a fast-moving wind current that blows west to east around
Earth between the altitudes of 25,000 to 45,000 feet. The
speed of the average wind at the jet core is about 80 knots,
or 120 mph, but can reach upwards of 200 mph in the winter.
During the spring in the Himalaya, the jet stream typically
blows on an oscillating trajectory between the 70th and 90th
latitudes. Its position fluctuates during this season,
sometimes blowing to the south of Everest, sometimes to the
north, and often directly onto Everest's slopes. Ideally, low
pressure systems will push the jet stream northward into Tibet
just before the monsoon season hits the Everest region,
creating a small window of opportunity for Everest's climbers.
This is what David and his team are holding out for.
The climbers have once again departed Base Camp and are
waiting at Camp 2 at 21,500 feet for the right configuration
of high and low pressures which will push the jet stream to
the north. If this happens, the weather on the mountain should
remain calm for a brief period just before the onset of the
monsoon. High pressure last week is what pushed the jet stream
south and brought on deceptively mild conditions. According to
Bob Rice, a jet stream specialist and meteorologist out of
Lancaster, MA: "When the jet stream moves south it becomes
extremely unstable and could snap back north very quickly,
catching climbers on Everest unaware." David Breashears is
well aware of the deceptive weather patterns on Everest:
"Several seasons of good weather have led people to think of
Everest as benevolent. But there were three consecutive
seasons in the mid eighties when no one climbed Everest
because of wind."
Martin Harris, a U.K. meteorologist and Everest upper air
specialist agrees that this year has been fraught with
unreliable conditions: "As a presumed result of global
warming, the winter airflow pattern was disrupted as early as
February this year, but it became re-established later, and is
now undergoing a period of significant oscillations between
the winter and pre-monsoonal patterns." As a result of this
instability in the jet stream, last Friday's storm blew up
without warning, leaving 21 climbers stranded at night on the
exposed southeast ridge. Temperatures dropped to 40 degrees
below zero and wind speeds reached 75 mph and higher.
Receiving weather reports from around the globe, David and his
team wait it out at Camp 2 for a forecast of ideal conditions.
"We hope and expect to get this period of calm," said David.
"If we don't, our climbing permit expires on the first of
June—though our motivation to stay may run out before
then." David knows that to climb Everest one has only a brief
moment of opportunity. If you wait too long for the right
conditions you might not get your chance, as team members get
progressively more exhausted from prolonged time spent at
altitude.
Continue
Photos: (1) courtesy Robert Schauer; (2) courtesy Ed
Viesturs; (3) Liesl Clark.
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