Visit Your Local PBS Station PBS Home PBS Home Programs A-Z TV Schedules Watch Video Donate Shop PBS Search PBS
I, Cringely - The Survival of the Nerdiest with Robert X. Cringely
Search I,Cringely:

Predictions
BOB Predictions TRIBE Predictions
BOB Predictions
Read and vote on all of Bob's 2007 predictions below. Be sure to check back for updates...you can even change your confidence vote as new information comes in! How often is Bob really right? Check Bob's Batting Average in the archive.
#14
OUTCOME: No Way!

Remember outsourcing and offshoring? That tide turns for a bunch of reasons but mainly because a new class of CEOs will say the old class of CEOs was filled with idiots.more >>>
Status: [CLOSED] comments (56) | related links (0)
[an error occurred while processing this directive]
#13
OUTCOME: Right On!

Sand Hill Road goes into a panic when it becomes clear that there is more money available than good opportunities for investing it, shades of 1999. No bubble this time, though, because the reasons behind the effect are different -- there is a decided lack of IPO activity -- but VCs will still be excessively crashing their MacLaren F1s as they see their era fading.more >>>
Status: [CLOSED] comments (2) | related links (0)
[an error occurred while processing this directive]
#12
OUTCOME: Right On!

Some smart or lucky company will buy FeedBurner, which ought to be the YouTube or Skype equivalent for 2007. Yahoo really needs it and ought to buy, but being without a brain or a required sense of urgency Yahoo may miss the opportunity. Google ought to buy it but may not because Google has a similar service in beta that probably won't succeed. But SOME company will buy FeedBurner and start printing money as a...more >>>
Status: [CLOSED] comments (4) | related links (0)
[an error occurred while processing this directive]
#11
OUTCOME: Right On!

This one is subtle, you may have to read it twice. The year will see two kinds of large cap tech and media companies: those that destroy shareholder value quickly by acquiring companies and those that destroy shareholder value slowly by not acquiring them.more >>>
Status: [CLOSED] | related links (0)
[an error occurred while processing this directive]
#10
OUTCOME: No Way!

The year the net crashed (in the USA). Video overwhelms the net and we all learn that the broadband ISPs have been selling us something they can't really deliver.more >>>
Status: [CLOSED] comments (4) | related links (0)
[an error occurred while processing this directive]
#9
OUTCOME: Right On!

Zune 2.0 appears, isn't brown, but still nobody buys it.more >>>
Status: [CLOSED] comments (4) | related links (0)
[an error occurred while processing this directive]
#8
OUTCOME: Right On!

Speaking of Microsoft, Windows Vista SP1 ships in June despite the fact that Vista structurally shouldn't require service packs. Except it will.more >>>
Status: [CLOSED] comments (2) | related links (0)
[an error occurred while processing this directive]
#7
OUTCOME: Pending

The Sony news is SO bad that it deserves two predictions. I would predict the fall of CEO Howard Stringer again if there were clearly somebody at Sony who wants his job. The business is in such difficulty that Microsoft is discussing internally how to help Sony from going under, since that would create a raft of antitrust problems for Redmond. I am not making this up.more >>>
Status: [OPEN] comments (2) | related links (0)
Confidence Poll
Status: [OPEN]
Will Bob's prediction come true?

right on!
no way!

Skip the vote and see results

#6
OUTCOME: No Way!

Sony solves Blu-ray laser diode problem just in time for IBM to suffer production difficulties with the Cell processor. More bad news for Sony.more >>>
Status: [CLOSED] | related links (0)
[an error occurred while processing this directive]
#5
OUTCOME: Right On!

AMD and Intel continue to beat the crap out of each other with customers gaining but wondering why there is no software that supports those new 8-way processors, as both compilers and third-party developers fail to keep up.more >>>
Status: [CLOSED] comments (1) | related links (0)
[an error occurred while processing this directive]
#4
OUTCOME: Right On!

No one DRM technology emerges as the winner and the RIAA begins to back off as it loses a few legal cases. Still, no Internet-only song wins a Grammy or is even recognized as existing.more >>>
Status: [CLOSED] comments (3) | related links (0)
[an error occurred while processing this directive]
#3
OUTCOME: No Way!

Apple drops Akamai in favor of a different edge-serving CDN (content delivery network) -- possibly Apple's own or one Apple-labeled but Google-owned. I keep looking for a reason why Eric Schmidt is on the Apple board.more >>>
Status: [CLOSED] comments (4) | related links (0)
Confidence Poll
Status: [CLOSED] responses (1)
Will Bob's prediction come true?
0%
RIGHT ON!
100%
NO WAY!
#2
OUTCOME: Right On!

Apple settles with Burst.com, takes a license, etc. Same broken record, same reason.more >>>
Status: [CLOSED] comments (4) | related links (0)
[an error occurred while processing this directive]
#1
OUTCOME: No Way!

This is broken record and exactly what I predicted last year, but I still mean it.more >>>
Status: [CLOSED] comments (1) | related links (0)
[an error occurred while processing this directive]