Bob, with H.264 becoming the compression standard for the web, and its pretty amazing ability to compress, I have to disagree with this prediction. FWIW, you are right a lot more than you are wrong. Now, when is Leopard being released? That's the prediction I'd like to see! Rod L.

Hi Bob,

I don't see it happening this year, or next, or probably the year after that either.

I think you're ignoring one very large chunk of the puzzle that is buried under our feet - millions of miles of dark fiber. The telecoms were pretty smart when they did their build outs in the 1990s and laid more fiber than just what they needed. There's still a ton of capacity out there and cable and dsl isn't touching a large portion of the capacity that they can handle down to the last mile.

It won't happen ever. Businesses punish bandwidth abusers, even if the users purchased the bandwidth.