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I, Cringely - The Survival of the Nerdiest with Robert X. Cringely
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BOB Predictions
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#22
OUTCOME: Pending

Microsoft Will Peak in 2009

Status: [OPEN] comments (0) | add a comment | confidence poll
By this I don't mean the company's shares will reach a peak value by any means, but its aggregate peak of wealth and influence will be reached and everything will be slowly downhill from here, accelerated primarily by the efforts of Apple. Microsoft hasn't been able to find a franchise to replace the PC. Games are big but not profitable enough. Mobile is too crowded. Content they simply aren't good at. That leaves Enterprise and Microsoft can dominate that only as a smaller company, so smaller it will become.
UPDATES
Confidence Poll

Status: [OPEN] responses (26) | July 24, 2014

Will Bob's prediction come true?
65%
AGREE
35%
DISAGREE
Track the Tribe's confidence over time

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