Exclusive coverage from Lisa Desjardins and the politics team
Thank you. Please check your inbox to confirm.
... bans. The issue is resonating with voters. About one-fourth said abortion policy was the single most important factor for their vote, according to AP VoteCast, a sweeping survey of more than 110,000 voters nationwide. Close to half said it was an important factor, but not the most important ...
... history of lopsided victories. In these cases, the AP analyzes multiple sources of available data to confirm the outcome. That includes the results of AP VoteCast, a comprehensive survey of both voters and nonvoters that determines who voted, how they voted and why. The AP will not call a race ...
... of Election Day voters. After the 2016 election, the AP left the network pool to continue its independent vote count operation and launch the AP VoteCast survey of the American electorate as an alternative to the network's exit polls. The networks, now including CNN, remain with the pool today ...
... close race that ends Tuesday. Women generally vote at higher rates than men. In 2020, they made up 53% of the electorate, according to AP VoteCast. Among the nearly 67.2 million Americans who have already voted, about 53% are women, versus 44% men, according to TargetSmart, a political data ...
... points since last month. The gender split in this poll is nearly identical to the one between Biden and Trump in 2020, according to AP VoteCast surveys of the electorate. When it comes to race, however, the latest poll finds a slight reshaping of support for the two candidates since ...
... a college degree make up a sizable share of the electorate. Around 4 in 10 voters fell into this category in 2020, according to AP VoteCast. So the Harris campaign has been running advertisements on DraftKings, a sports betting website, that call Harris and her running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim ...
... Woodward that he agreed with Milley’s assessment. Throughout Trump's political rise, the businessman-turned-politician benefited from the support of military veterans. AP VoteCast found that about 6 in 10 military veterans said they voted for Trump in 2020, as did just over half of those with a ...
In 2020, AP VoteCast found that 9 percent of voters nationwide identified as Latino and 63 percent of them backed Biden in the election. That race was defined broadly by the pandemic that shut down much of the country, whereas this year’s race has issues such as the economy ...
... college-educated white voters in the state, while Biden and Trump were drawn to a near tie among college-educated white voters, according to AP VoteCast, a comprehensive survey of the electorate. Among Michigan's nonwhite voters, who make up 16% of the state's electorate, Biden won a resounding ...
Lisa Desjardins: But it's still analyzed by real people. And you see no way that the other candidates could win? Woman: No, no. Lisa Desjardins: Those observers have added data from another unique way that AP gets election information, its VoteCast system. That is voter surveys of more than ...
Support Provided By: Learn more
Subscribe to Here’s the Deal, our politics newsletter for analysis you won’t find anywhere else.