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... office. Just 16% of voters in 2020 belonged to a union household. Biden secured 56% of them, compared to Trump getting 42%, according to AP VoteCast. The margin of support in union households in this year's election could decide the outcome of potentially close races in Pennsylvania, Michigan and ...
... bloc in the closing three weeks before Election Day. Trump carried rural voters by a nearly two-to-one margin in 2020, according to AP VoteCast. In the closely contested race, both Democrats and Republicans are reaching out beyond their historic bases in hopes of winning over a sliver of ...
... to vote for Trump, a 10-point advantage over Harris and more than double the 4-point lead Trump had in 2020, according to AP VoteCast data. Harris holds a 21-point lead – 60 percent to 39 percent – over Trump among likely voters with a college degree, up from a ...
... tight race, every vote counts. In 2020, Biden won about 2 in 10 white evangelical voters, but performed better with evangelicals overall, according to AP VoteCast, winning about one-third of this group. A September AP-NORC poll found that around 6 in 10 Americans who identify as “born-again ...
... aligned on many issues, which could make it easier for campaigns to motivate them. Young women are already a constituency that has leaned Democratic — AP VoteCast data shows that 65% of female voters under 30 voted for Democrat Joe Biden in 2020 — but they are sometimes less reliable when it ...
... of Democrats, said they had a favorable view of Swift. Republicans were divided, with 43% having a favorable opinion and 45% an unfavorable one. AP VoteCast suggests that a partisan divide on Swift was apparent as early as 2018. That’s the year Swift made her first political endorsement, supporting ...
... narrow lead Trump had over President Joe Biden with these voters in July. The 2020 Democratic ticket won independents by 15 points, according to AP VoteCast data. Republican pollster Whit Ayers called Harris’ dipping support with independents a “warning sign” for the vice president’s campaign. “She had the honeymoon ...
... older than 45 are somewhat more likely than younger ones to have a positive opinion of Vance, 32 percent to 22 percent.Data from AP VoteCast shows that when Vance ran for Senate in Ohio in 2022, he earned the support of many groups that have become the bedrock of ...
... border state explains why he just endorsed Harris for president The former president proposed mass deportations if he returns to the White House, but AP VoteCast found in 2020 that nearly 7 in 10 Nevada voters said that immigrants living in the United States illegally should be offered the chance ...
... of Joe Biden’s 2020 presidential win in Minnesota. Trump won 6 in 10 rural and small town voters nationwide in 2020, according to AP VoteCast. POLL: Harris boosts confidence that Democrats could win the 2024 election The Trump campaign was quick to try to connect Walz to its characterizations ...
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