... college-educated white voters in the state, while Biden and Trump were drawn to a near tie among college-educated white voters, according to AP VoteCast, a comprehensive survey of the electorate. Among Michigan's nonwhite voters, who make up 16% of the state's electorate, Biden won a resounding ...
Lisa Desjardins: But it's still analyzed by real people. And you see no way that the other candidates could win? Woman: No, no. Lisa Desjardins: Those observers have added data from another unique way that AP gets election information, its VoteCast system. That is voter surveys of more than ...
... bloc in the closing three weeks before Election Day. Trump carried rural voters by a nearly two-to-one margin in 2020, according to AP VoteCast. In the closely contested race, both Democrats and Republicans are reaching out beyond their historic bases in hopes of winning over a sliver of ...
... office. Just 16% of voters in 2020 belonged to a union household. Biden secured 56% of them, compared to Trump getting 42%, according to AP VoteCast. The margin of support in union households in this year's election could decide the outcome of potentially close races in Pennsylvania, Michigan and ...
... to vote for Trump, a 10-point advantage over Harris and more than double the 4-point lead Trump had in 2020, according to AP VoteCast data. Harris holds a 21-point lead – 60 percent to 39 percent – over Trump among likely voters with a college degree, up from a ...
... tight race, every vote counts. In 2020, Biden won about 2 in 10 white evangelical voters, but performed better with evangelicals overall, according to AP VoteCast, winning about one-third of this group. A September AP-NORC poll found that around 6 in 10 Americans who identify as “born-again ...
... aligned on many issues, which could make it easier for campaigns to motivate them. Young women are already a constituency that has leaned Democratic — AP VoteCast data shows that 65% of female voters under 30 voted for Democrat Joe Biden in 2020 — but they are sometimes less reliable when it ...
... of Democrats, said they had a favorable view of Swift. Republicans were divided, with 43% having a favorable opinion and 45% an unfavorable one. AP VoteCast suggests that a partisan divide on Swift was apparent as early as 2018. That’s the year Swift made her first political endorsement, supporting ...
... narrow lead Trump had over President Joe Biden with these voters in July. The 2020 Democratic ticket won independents by 15 points, according to AP VoteCast data. Republican pollster Whit Ayers called Harris’ dipping support with independents a “warning sign” for the vice president’s campaign. “She had the honeymoon ...
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