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Brazil's President and candidate for re-election Bolsonaro attends a rally in Duque de Caxias

World Oct 14

Brazil polls face backlash from Bolsonaro administration after election miss

By Carla Bridi, Associated Press

Economy Dec 15

Watch 8:49
How prediction market prophets bet on the wrong president

The election outcome shocked the world. Pollsters, pundits and prediction market traders overwhelmingly predicted a huge Clinton victory. There were, however, some dissenters. Economics correspondent Paul Solman explores how history and economic factors can shed light on the upset.

By PBS News Hour

Economy Dec 15

How did the pollsters get Trump’s win so wrong? They didn’t, says economist Justin Wolfers

Donald Trump was elected president, but the grand majority of polls, pollsters and prediction markets showed that a Clinton presidency was more likely. How did they get it so wrong?…

By Paul Solman

Politics Nov 09

Watch 8:53
How the mainstream media missed Trump’s momentum

Pollsters, pundits and many journalists seemed confident that Hillary Clinton would clinch the win. Steve Deace of the Steve Deace Show, Margaret Sullivan of The Washington Post and Jim Rutenberg of The New York Times join Judy Woodruff and Hari…

By PBS News Hour

Politics Dec 09

Watch 10:32
Polls offer a snapshot, but not always reliable predictions

Early polling often doesn't reflect who goes on to become president (think Howard Dean or Newt Gingrich). These days pollsters acknowledge they are wrestling with a sea change in polling methods that's making it harder to collect a sample opinion…

By PBS News Hour

Sep 25

Watch
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Where They Stand: How Voters, Pollsters and Historians Judge Presidents

Where They Stand: How Voters, Pollsters and Historians Judge Presidents…

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Full Episode
Friday, Sep 5
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