Nation Apr 23 U.S. soldier charged with using classified intel to win more than $400K in bet on Maduro raid By Hallie Golden, Associated Press
Politics Apr 23 Trump's threats against Iran are a boon for prediction markets, including some backed by his son Traders flocked to Polymarket this month to bet on whether Trump really was going bomb Iran back to the Stone Age or just call a ceasefire. By Bernard Condon, Associated Press
Economy Apr 12 Iran war puts prediction markets back in the spotlight Prediction markets let people wager on just about anything — from basketball games to elections. And among more jarring bets recently, the fate of the U.S. and Israel’s war against Iran. By Wyatte Grantham-Philips, Associated Press
Politics Apr 03 Federal government sues three states for trying to regulate prediction markets All three states have sent cease and desist orders to such companies accusing them of engaging in illegal online gambling under state law. By Susan Haigh, Associated Press
Politics Mar 31 Watch 7:12 Prediction markets, pardons spark questions over who's profiting from Trump's presidency The Pentagon is denying a report by The Financial Times that Defense Secretary Hegseth’s stockbroker was seeking to make large investments in major defense companies in the days before the U.S. and Israel struck Iran. That report is raising more… By Liz Landers, Doug Adams
Feb 19 Watch 7:30 Why prediction markets are thriving – and facing scrutiny By Paul Solman, Diane Lincoln Estes Platforms that let you bet on the outcomes of future events have seen explosive growth recently. Economics correspondent Paul Solman explains how these prediction markets work and why they’re so popular and controversial. Continue watching
Feb 17 Trump administration backs Kalshi and Polymarket as states move to ban prediction markets By Ken Sweet, Associated Press The Trump administration is throwing its support behind the prediction market operators Kalshi and Polymarket in a critical legal battle between the growing prediction market industry and states that wish to ban these platforms. Continue reading
Jan 12 A $400,000 payout after Maduro's capture put prediction markets in the spotlight. Here's how they work By Wyatte Grantham-Philips, Associated Press The commercial use of prediction markets has skyrocketed in recent years, opening the door for people to wage their money on the likelihood of a growing list of future events. But despite some eye-catching windfalls, traders still lose money everyday. Continue reading