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The U.S. flag flies in front of the dome atop the U.S. Capitol in Washington

Politics Apr 30

Senate bans members and staff from betting in prediction markets

By Mary Clare Jalonick, Associated Press

Nation Apr 28

Illustration shows Polymarket logo
U.S. soldier pleads not guilty to using Maduro raid intel to win $400,000 on Polymarket

A U.S. special forces soldier pleaded not guilty Tuesday to charges that he used classified information about the mission to capture former Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro to win more than $400,000 on the prediction market Polymarket.

By Michael R. Sisak, Larry Neumeister, Associated Press

Politics Apr 24

insiderbetting
Watch 5:53
Soldier's arrest over Polymarket bet on Maduro raid fuels insider trading concerns

A Special Forces soldier who helped plan the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted for allegedly using classified information about the raid to make prediction market bets. It is raising new concerns about insider trading and the need…

By Amna Nawaz, Liz Landers, Doug Adams

Nation Apr 23

A sign of Fort Bragg is seen in Fayetteville, North Carolina
U.S. soldier charged with using classified intel to win more than $400K in bet on Maduro raid

Gannon Ken Van Dyke was part of the operation to capture Maduro in January and used his access to classified information to make money on the prediction market site Polymarket, the federal prosecutor’s office in New York said.

By Hallie Golden, Associated Press

Politics Apr 23

Illustration shows Kalshi logo
Kalshi fines and suspends 3 congressional candidates for betting on their own elections

Three congressional candidates wagered on the outcome of their own elections on Kalshi, according to the prediction market, which said Wednesday that it fined and suspended the men from their platform for five years.

By Jesse Bedayn, Associated Press/ Report for America, Safiyah Riddle, Associated Press

Apr 23

Trump's threats against Iran are a boon for prediction markets, including some backed by his son

By Bernard Condon, Associated Press

Traders flocked to Polymarket this month to bet on whether Trump really was going bomb Iran back to the Stone Age or just call a ceasefire.

Continue reading

Apr 14

WATCH: CFTC chairman testifies before House panel amid scrutiny of prediction markets

By Associated Press

Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Michael Selig is set to testify before the House Agriculture Committee on Wednesday.

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Apr 12

Iran war puts prediction markets back in the spotlight

By Wyatte Grantham-Philips, Associated Press

Prediction markets let people wager on just about anything — from basketball games to elections. And among more jarring bets recently, the fate of the U.S. and Israel’s war against Iran.

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Apr 03

Federal government sues three states for trying to regulate prediction markets

By Susan Haigh, Associated Press

All three states have sent cease and desist orders to such companies accusing them of engaging in illegal online gambling under state law.

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Mar 31

Watch 7:12
Prediction markets, pardons spark questions over who's profiting from Trump's presidency

By Liz Landers, Doug Adams

The Pentagon is denying a report by The Financial Times that Defense Secretary Hegseth’s stockbroker was seeking to make large investments in major defense companies in the days before the U.S. and Israel struck Iran. That report is raising more…

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Full Episode
Friday, May 8
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