Most polls ask voters whom they plan to vote for. But it turns out that asking voters who they think will win has actually yielded more accurate results, and the 2014 midterm election was no exception. In fact, that kind…

President Barack Obama's election night rally at the McCormick Place convention center in Chicago. Photo by The Washington Post via Getty Images. The polls got it mostly right. Ray Fair's economic model forecast a result well within the final…

Digital Vision via Getty Images We have four questions today, since they all concern our recent story on polls, professors and prediction markets and yesterday's afternoon Making Sen$e post on how to make money on presidential prediction…

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