In "Living on the Edge," reporter Martin Smith shares some devastating
field notes from the melting Himalayas, drought-stricken Africa and the warming
waters of the South East Atlantic. Smith came across these stories while
working on Heat,
a two-hour FRONTLINE documentary on climate change to air
this fall on PBS. Visit the site and watch
a preview.
When reporter Martin Smith set out to investigate climate change a year
and a half ago, he’d heard a lot about polar bears and melting
ice shelves in the Antarctic but less about the earth’s third pole,
the Himalayas.
Traveling to the world’s highest point, Smith’s guide is American
mountaineer David Breashears. Breashears has climbed Everest five times but this
time he is returning on a special mission. He’s going to climb to 19,000
feet,
to the place where British explorer George Mallory took a photograph in 1921,
to see just how much the landscape has changed.
Eight hours later, with Mallory’s
image in hand, Breashears looks across at the Rongbuk Glacier, a frozen river
of ice that flows from the north side of the mountain. “I know this place,"
Breashears says. The mountaineer was last here in 1996. “Look
at the glacier here in 1921,” he says pointing to Mallory’s black
and white photo. “To
look at it out there now, the glacier’s just gone.”
Scientists report that glaciers are disappearing at an alarming rate across
the Himalayas. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change estimates that
80 percent of all Himalayan glacier ice will be gone by 2035.
Before his journey to the Himalayas, Smith visited one of the world’s
foremost glacier labs in Columbus, Ohio, where ice cores taken from across
the planet are
analyzed.
The lab’s founder and director Dr. Lonnie Thompson is said to
have spent
more time at high altitude than any other scientist in the world.
When Smith asks Thompson how important glaciers are to those living on
either side of the Himalayas, Thompson explains that glaciers are the world's
natural water towers.“They
kind of store water in the wet season and they disperse it during the dry
season. And they do that for free,” he says. But
he also points out that the valleys that lie beneath this great
mountain range are really dry parts of the world that rely on the
water from
these
glaciers.
For now, the melting glaciers are bringing more water to these slopes.
But it’s a short-term boon and a mixed blessing. More water has attracted
more farmers and that’s
straining the environment.
In the stunning foothills, a Nepali man tells Smith that an increasing
population has meant more deforestation and so cattle are
producing less milk. “If temperatures continue rising like this,
there will be a crisis," he
says.
These climate changes will have consequences far beyond the Nepalese
foothills.
“You hear people talk about, ‘Oh, we’ve had these huge climate changes in the past.’ Yeah, that’s true,” says Thompson. “But we’ve
never had 6.5 billion people.”
Half of the global population, Smith reports, depends on the rivers that
originate in the Himalayas. Among them, the Ganges, the Indus, the Mekong,
the Brahmaputra,
the Irrawaddy, the Yangtze, and the Yellow rivers. The IPCC predicts
that in the near future, some will no longer flow year round.
Dr. Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the IPCC, says that 500 million people
on the Asian subcontinent -- 250 million people in China alone -- will
suffer from water scarcity as a result of melting
glaciers. “In terms of the impact on the lives and livelihoods
of people,” he tells Smith, “we’re turning thousands
of years of human history around and perhaps, leaving people with no
choice now.” Vast
parts of China are already water stretched, making conflicts with neighboring
countries over water rights inevitable.
A continent away, those conflicts have already begun.
Next, Smith travels to northwestern Kenya, near the Sudanese border,
where the Turkana tribespeople live on the edge of poverty.
When he arrives, they have just had their first rain in months and the
landscape has turned a rich green.
The people here have always lived with droughts. But they used to come
every decade. Now severe droughts are hitting the Turkana every few years
and lasting
longer. The worst in living memory began in 1999 and lasted six years.
Smith meets some of the tribespeople who are gathered for a wedding feast.
But the mood is subdued. Many men here are unable to pay a bride
price and have to go into debt in order to get married.
One woman explains to Smith that in the past men had enough cattle to
afford many wives. “Now,” she says, “even paying for one wife
is difficult. No one can afford to marry.”
In the last drought, the tribe lost half its cattle. Since then,
food aid has been keeping them alive.
When Smith asks the tribe who is responsible for these changes, one tribesman
responds, “First,
I have to blame God, because God gives out the rain and can refuse at any
time. But I also blame the white man. Since he left, there has been no rain.
And that’s
why the droughts are so frequent.”
Many men have already left Turkana to look for work in the crowded slums
of provincial towns.
Professor Jeffrey Sachs, Director of the
Earth Institute at Columbia University, tells Smith that pastoralist
communities
in
Northern Kenya, Somalia and Sudan are living at the edge of survival. “Those
places are experiencing a significant, long term decline in precipitation
and the effects have been devastating,” he tells Smith. “They've
contributed to the massive conflicts in Darfur. They've contributed
to the instability in Somalia. They
become security threats for the world, in fact, as well as devastating
shocks to these societies themselves.”
In some places, climate change may be causing whole economies to collapse.
To see this firsthand, Smith travels to the beautiful and remote Skeleton
Coast, along the shores of Namibia.
Namibia’s sardine or pilchard fishing industry used to be one of the richest in the world. Fishing made up 60 percent of the nation’s
economy.
The industry was built around the Benguela Current, where cold waters
streamed up to the surface full of rich nutrients, spawning millions
of fish year
after year. But decades of overfishing and shifting currents that
scientists believe are due to a rise in ocean temperatures, have left
the industry in steep decline.
On a tour of the fishing harbor in Walvis Bay, veteran
fisherman David Narburgh tells Smith that catches are down 90 percent
from the good days.
Twenty years ago, Narburgh tells the reporter, there were 44 active fishing
boats, which have dwindled to 10 at most today. As the boat moves
across the harbor, the scene is like a graveyard filled with boats that
have been
junked.
Onshore, the picture is no brighter. Nearly all the canneries have been
driven out of business.
“The pelagic [or seafood] industry was the biggest industry in its heyday,” Willem
Pronk, Managing Director of the United Fishing Enterprises, tells Smith,
as they tour one of the few canneries still operating.
“ I don’t know about the rest of the world. I do know what’s going on out here. Something has changed. What it is exactly, I don’t know,” Pronk
says.
Just outside the cannery gates, unemployed young men line up hoping for
a day’s pay. Thousands of jobs have been lost since the fishing industry
collapsed.
Sixty-five percent of the region’s economy once relied on the fishing
industry, now it’s down to less than half that amount, says Daniel Imbili,
President of the Namibian Fishing Workers Union.
They are all victims of what is happening now,”says
Imbili, pointing to groups of men.“With
this climate change, there is less hope."
To restore pilchard stocks, the government has imposed strict quotas
on fishermen, but the fish stocks have not rebounded.
Although this community and many others across Africa have seen more
dramatic environmental changes in recent years, climate expert Joseph
Romm says it’s unlikely that global warming is the only cause of
what they are seeing. But, he says, “It adds such a
terrible stress on over-fished lands so [that] you cross a threshold
and you get
a collapse. Unfortunately, once you've changed the climate, it becomes
very hard to un-collapse,” Romm says. “It
may be that some of these changes are irreversible.”
Across the world, pilchard, salmon, cod, Atlantic blue fin tuna, and
anchovy have all suffered serious collapses, reports Smith – all have been
struck by the double blows of overfishing and warming oceans.
As the oceans continue to heat up, scientists expect the long-term decline
in fisheries to worsen, which will place the billions of people who depend
on the seas for their food and income under increasing pressure.
It’s not an easy fix says Romm, "The problem with the way
a lot of people look at global warming is they think the climate will
change
to a new state and that we will adapt to it.” But the big fear,
Romm says, is that “the
climate just keeps changing and changing and changing, and adaptation
is going be exceedingly difficult.”
After reporting on climate change across the world, Smith
reflects on what the real story has become -- how the world will deal
with global warming. “It’s become a story about the future
and the inconveniences we may face," he
says.
And for the people he has met in Asia and Africa, the effects of climate
change are already far too real.