Watch 7:14
How FiveThirtyEight calculates the data of a divided nation
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight blog burst onto the political scene in 2008, when he forecasted the popular vote for president within one percentage point. Becoming a key point of reference during elections, he started a podcast in 2016, and says his…
Watch 7:01
How polling has changed since the 2016 election
Democratic Congressional candidates now hold a nine-point advantage over Republicans, according to the latest poll from the PBS NewsHour, NPR and Marist. But can polls be trusted? In 2016, polls in key states showed Hillary Clinton winning handily. Donald Trump…
Poll: Majority of Americans dissatisfied with U.S. politics, doubt divisons will improve soon
The newly released survey from the Associated Press and the NORC Center for Public Affairs Research found that more than 8 in 10 Americans think the country is greatly divided about important values.
Watch 7:51
Trump’s historically low approval ratings could spell trouble for Republicans
A round of new polls show historically low support for President Trump has slipped further since the spring. Amy Walter of The Cook Political Report and Tamara Keith of NPR join Judy Woodruff to discuss the president’s numbers, and how…
Donald Trump was elected president, but the grand majority of polls, pollsters and prediction markets showed that a Clinton presidency was more likely. How did they get it so wrong?…
From a media standpoint, the Election 2016 polls provided a great narrative, mathematician Ole J. Forsberg writes, but they had a margin of error, and journalists didn’t seem to understand what those words meant.
Pollsters, pundits and many journalists seemed confident that Hillary Clinton would clinch the win. Steve Deace of the Steve Deace Show, Margaret Sullivan of The Washington Post and Jim Rutenberg of The New York Times join Judy Woodruff and Hari…
The integrity of the election has been a major theme this election season. William Brangham speaks with Jessica Huseman of ProPublica about lines and security at the polls, what we are seeing in terms of voter intimidation, who’s allowed to…
The weekend before Election Day, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton traversed the country in a last effort to bring their messages home to voters. Polls currently show Clinton up by three to six points but also suggest Trump has made…
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