How to read the polls in 2020 and avoid the mistakes of 2016
Political polls should not be mistaken for crystal balls. That doesn’t mean they serve no purpose.
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Pollsters largely got it wrong in 2016. How are they polling in 2020?
The national polls show Democratic nominee Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump at around the same levels as he did before the pandemic and the mass protests in the wake of George Floyd’s murder. Special Correspondent Jeff Greenfield joins Hari…
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Tamara Keith and Amy Walter on Trump vs. health experts, Stone’s commutation
NPR’s Tamara Keith and Amy Walter of the Cook Political Report join Amna Nawaz to discuss the latest political news, including President Trump’s commutation of Roger Stone’s prison sentence and the Lincoln Project’s TV ad response, Trump’s attacks on U.S.
Wanting change, Democratic voters grapple with who can win
How much change is too much in 2020? It is a question that has plagued candidates and voters alike over the last year in the Democratic Party's quest to identify the person best positioned to defeat Trump in November.
Iowa plays an outsized role in presidential politics, and new poll numbers from that state could influence how different Democratic candidates' focus their campaigns. The poll by The Des Moines Register and CNN puts Sen. Elizabeth Warren two points ahead…
Amy Walter of the Cook Political Report and NPR’s Tamara Keith join Judy Woodruff to discuss the week’s political news, including a new poll that shows Iowa voters favoring Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Sen. Cory Booker’s scramble to raise enough campaign…
Exit polls aren't perfect. But they do provide information on what mattered most to voters, and how they viewed key leaders and issues. Here's a look at what mattered to voters during the 2018 midterms.
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight blog burst onto the political scene in 2008, when he forecasted the popular vote for president within one percentage point. Becoming a key point of reference during elections, he started a podcast in 2016, and says his…
Democratic Congressional candidates now hold a nine-point advantage over Republicans, according to the latest poll from the PBS NewsHour, NPR and Marist. But can polls be trusted? In 2016, polls in key states showed Hillary Clinton winning handily. Donald Trump…
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