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Oct 30

Watch 7:30
Why Arizona’s Latino vote could be making a ‘big change’ this year

By Stephanie Sy, Lena I. Jackson, Casey Kuhn

Arizona has emerged as a surprising battleground state in this year’s presidential election, considering President Trump beat Hillary Clinton there by 3.5 percent in 2016. Latinos make up a quarter of the state’s eligible voters -- and while polls indicate…

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Oct 23

How to read the polls in 2020 and avoid the mistakes of 2016

By Laura Santhanam

Political polls should not be mistaken for crystal balls. That doesn’t mean they serve no purpose.

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Sep 13

Watch 4:34
Pollsters largely got it wrong in 2016. How are they polling in 2020?

By PBS NewsHour

The national polls show Democratic nominee Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump at around the same levels as he did before the pandemic and the mass protests in the wake of George Floyd’s murder. Special Correspondent Jeff Greenfield joins Hari…

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Jul 13

Watch 10:59
Tamara Keith and Amy Walter on Trump vs. health experts, Stone’s commutation

NPR’s Tamara Keith and Amy Walter of the Cook Political Report join Amna Nawaz to discuss the latest political news, including President Trump’s commutation of Roger Stone’s prison sentence and the Lincoln Project’s TV ad response, Trump’s attacks on U.S.

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Jan 13

Wanting change, Democratic voters grapple with who can win

By Steve Peoples, Associated Press

How much change is too much in 2020? It is a question that has plagued candidates and voters alike over the last year in the Democratic Party's quest to identify the person best positioned to defeat Trump in November.

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Sep 23

Watch 3:57
What new Iowa poll numbers mean for Warren and other 2020 Democrats

Iowa plays an outsized role in presidential politics, and new poll numbers from that state could influence how different Democratic candidates' focus their campaigns. The poll by The Des Moines Register and CNN puts Sen. Elizabeth Warren two points ahead…

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Sep 23

Watch 8:29
Amy Walter and Tamara Keith on Warren’s poll numbers, Democrats on impeachment

Amy Walter of the Cook Political Report and NPR’s Tamara Keith join Judy Woodruff to discuss the week’s political news, including a new poll that shows Iowa voters favoring Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Sen. Cory Booker’s scramble to raise enough campaign…

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Nov 08

How voters viewed Trump, health care and immigration, according to exit polls

By Laura Santhanam

Exit polls aren't perfect. But they do provide information on what mattered most to voters, and how they viewed key leaders and issues. Here's a look at what mattered to voters during the 2018 midterms.

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Nov 04

Watch 7:14
How FiveThirtyEight calculates the data of a divided nation

By Christopher Booker, Mori Rothman, Laura Fong

Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight blog burst onto the political scene in 2008, when he forecasted the popular vote for president within one percentage point. Becoming a key point of reference during elections, he started a podcast in 2016, and says his…

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Nov 02

Watch 7:01
How polling has changed since the 2016 election

Democratic Congressional candidates now hold a nine-point advantage over Republicans, according to the latest poll from the PBS NewsHour, NPR and Marist. But can polls be trusted? In 2016, polls in key states showed Hillary Clinton winning handily. Donald Trump…

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Full Episode
Thursday, Oct 2
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