Time now to go inside Kentucky politics.

Our two political pundits, Trey Grayson and Bob Babbage, are here to do that with us.

Gentlemen, in just a few days, you all will be over at the studio desk, breaking down the results as they come in on election night.

We're almost there.

Let's talk about the last weekend that we have until we get there.

I want to start out first.

The only statewide race that's on the ballot, of course, is the U.S.

Senate.

We've got Republican Andy Barr taking on Democrats Charles Booker.

But what I want to ask you about is that we've seen quite a bit recently.

Bar is out campaigning with Ralph Alvarado, who's running in the sixth congressional now many times.

Almost every time when we see them together.

We hear very little about the Senate race, but we hear Andy Barr really just talking about the sixth district race.

Is bar that confident in his victory that he can now put his time on energy into the six and kind of pull Alvarado along to victory.

Yes.

Yes.

You know as soon as as soon as the primary was settled, when we were talking about it over across the way in the studio and became Barr versus Booker.

That race was over and it's been over.

Booker has struggled to raise money.

He has struggled to get attention.

You know, there's a lot of conversation about this Election Day being a great day for Democrats across the country.

There's a bunch of Republican held Senate seats that are that are being contested.

Democrats might pick up.

This has never been part of any conversation.

So yeah, so bar is extraordinarily confident he should be.

And it's actually a little bit of a shame for the Democrats that they haven't been able to use a a competitive Senate race to bolster their chances on the rest of the ticket.

And it is one of the things that has helped Republicans is knowing you're going to win this race and you've got this candidate.

The downside is we're not like trying really, really hard to knock on every last door because you know you're going to win the Senate race.

Would you agree, Bob?

It's been started to bar from the night of the primaries.

The question will be does bar win by a McConnell like or Rand Paul like margin?

I think Rand Paul Booker by more than 20 points.

Senator McConnell went consistently by like 20%.

So we'll watch for that.

But bar in the sixth district is a is home for him.

So any Republican group that's gathered of regular voters, those are bar voters historically almost 100%.

So he's spiking his own vote.

Well, he helps a colleague and try to keep the seat red.

Well, let's talk a little bit more about the sixth district.

Something really interesting I saw last night.

NBC sat down with their director of elections and they asked, okay, tell us just a couple races.

Could be across the whole country.

That could be indicators for maybe how the rest of the night goes.

The number one answer from that director of elections six.

Very interesting.

So we're definitely beyond the national scale there.

Let's talk about for Alvarado and Democrat Zach Dembo what for each of them what is the path to victory here.

Trey Lance started.

So so Trump won that seat by 15 points two years ago.

Now that's a different electorate a different time and a bigger electorate.

But this is a seat that Bob pointed out.

Had any bars been running in that seat since 2010 has held it since 2012.

So for Alvarado, it's making sure that the folks who have voted Republican consistently for Andy Barr show up and vote and vote for him.

So it's it's making sure that a lot of that suburban because where this is where this has really helped is in the suburban outside of Fayette County.

So Scott County, Madison County, those Jasmine County where you've seen growth and that growth has become Republican voters.

So you need to make sure that those folks go to the polls and, you know, and vote for him.

What do you think, Bob?

And are people getting out in the polls, too?

I want to ask you, what are we seeing?

We're seeing long lines today.

This is taping on Thursday.

First day of early vote.

Very long lines around Lexington.

People were shopping libraries to find the shortest line and the quickest way.

That's a good sign for Dumbo.

Very good sign for Dumbo.

The demo a year ago wasn't even a conversation point on the show.

So he emerged in that primary very well.

He's on a smart campaign.

He's had some ads that were funny and fun and raise the money.

Significant amount of money.

Although I think President Trump's group has put over $1 million in the race, and a lot of outside groups have weighed in here, but it's considered very close.

And in a bunch of polls, not many undecideds.

Oftentimes in history, we've seen a midterm go against the sitting president.

Not necessarily a permanent thing, but a message at time.

Moody said average family spent $2,000 this year.

When it ends on prices that went up, particularly the essentials that we get, those kinds of things bother people will bother them enough to come and vote in a different way.

Or will they just pass and say, I'll wait till next time?

So besides CD six, which of course now has been classified as a toss up.

Any other potential surprises when we talk about state races?

Any other things that you're keeping your eyes on?

I was with a Republican legislative leader a couple of days ago who told me, he said, I really know what's going to happen.

This is the craziest political drama I've seen.

There aren't that many competitive legislative races.

Part of that's just the nature of a lot of districts.

And there wasn't a big push by the governor to recruit candidates.

He was busy running for president.

But Julie Rocky Adams has a very tough race against a former Jefferson County school board member in Jefferson.

It's probably the top race.

Lindsay Tickner, just up the road in Oldham County, first time running for reelection.

She's in a tough race.

In the House races.

You know, you've got a couple of House races, one in central Kentucky where killing time is trying to come back and go to beat Adam Moore, who won it over the guy who beat him in the primary.

Stephanie Deitz, up in Northern Kentucky always seems to have a tough race.

And there's, you know, Susan Whitten in Jefferson County also seems to always have a tough race.

These are Republicans who are representing districts that swing a little bit.

So we'll have to see how this plays out.

Bob, am I missing any of the ones that think.

About the winter race?

Just for a briefing today.

Yeah.

This year won that race by 62% or one that area, that district in the Adam killing.

And Timothy Trump won 51%.

Adam was won by 50.3 not against Timothy but last time.

But Bashir won at 61.

So you've got districts that don't always vote party.

And given the dynamics in polling, people are mad at the establishment.

They're mad at incumbents there.

People who control things and they're mad about prices.

A lot of those things can't be fixed real easily except voting your your emotions.

And they may.

If they do, then the House nationally could go democratic and first up could be ours or not, right here in central Kentucky.

And that's what Nashville people are going to draw from.

If Alvarado wins, they'll say it's not going to be so bad for Republicans.

If devil wins, they're going to say, here comes a difference.

The blue wave, right?

Yeah.

I mean, you know, my suspicions.

We'll probably see a handful of House Republicans or Senate Republicans lose.

That doesn't change the trajectory, doesn't change much of the composition.

80% in both chambers.

So that's a little bit on the margins.

But I suspect on Tuesday night that's what we're gonna see.

I just don't know who that's going to be.

All right.

Sounds like we have some surprises in store for us, right?

Tuesday night should be a fun night.

On everybody.

Absolutely.

All right, well, thank you all for stopping in.

We will see you on election night.

Thank you.